Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.22 · now $4.22 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RLMD has typically landed between $3.04 and $6.45 — a range of −28.0% to +52.9% from the issuance price $4.22.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,053 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-06-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.22) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RLMD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.22 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.22 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.26 (+1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.49–$5.03
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.04–$6.45
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-10-06 | −79.2% | −79.2% | +0.0% |
| 2022-10-10 | −78.7% | −78.7% | +0.0% |
| 2022-10-07 | −78.1% | −78.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-08-11 | +185.9% | +0.0% | +193.0% |
| 2019-10-02 | +181.2% | +0.0% | +197.0% |
| 2025-08-13 | +179.8% | +0.0% | +190.4% |
3,053 overlapping windows · 2014-06-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | TRAVERSA SERGIO | director | Purchase | 100,000 @ $4.10 | $410K | +7.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,500,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Shenouda Maged | officer | Purchase | 79,800 @ $4.25 | $339K | +8.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,000,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Shenouda Maged | officer | Purchase | 120,200 @ $4.20 | $505K | +15.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 920,200 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | TRAVERSA SERGIO | director | Purchase | 100,000 @ $4.18 | $418K | +7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,400,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | TRAVERSA SERGIO | director | Purchase | 27,500 @ $4.12 | $113K | +2.2% of holding | −14.8% | +43.8% | 1,300,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Shenouda Maged | officer | Purchase | 11,665 @ $4.12 | $48K | +1.5% of holding | −14.8% | +43.8% | 800,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | Shenouda Maged | officer | Purchase | 500,000 @ $2.20 | $1.1M | +173.4% of holding | +67.7% | +183.5% | 788,335 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | TRAVERSA SERGIO | director | Purchase | 272,500 @ $2.20 | $600K | +27.3% of holding | +67.7% | +183.5% | 1,272,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | Ence Chuck | officer | Purchase | 136,000 @ $2.20 | $299K | +50.8% of holding | +67.7% | +183.5% | 403,931 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | Kelly Paul Edward | director | Purchase | 90,000 @ $2.20 | $198K | +21.8% of holding | +67.7% | +183.5% | 502,295 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | TRAVERSA SERGIO | director | Purchase | 55,976 @ $0.74 | $41K | +5.9% of holding | +140.0% | +518.1% | 1,000,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-27 | TRAVERSA SERGIO | director | Purchase | 129,455 @ $0.67 | $87K | +15.9% of holding | +167.7% | +574.4% | 944,024 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | TRAVERSA SERGIO | director | Purchase | 80,545 @ $0.62 | $50K | +11.0% of holding | +148.7% | +588.0% | 814,569 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | TRAVERSA SERGIO | director | Purchase | 147,686 @ $0.56 | $82K | +25.2% of holding | +13.1% | +603.3% | 734,024 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-20 | Shenouda Maged | officer | Purchase | 60,000 @ $0.52 | $31K | +26.3% of holding | +13.1% | +603.3% | 288,335 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-19 | Shenouda Maged | officer | Purchase | 90,000 @ $0.49 | $44K | +65.1% of holding | +37.1% | +667.4% | 228,335 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | TRAVERSA SERGIO | director | Purchase | 30,000 @ $0.50 | $15K | +5.4% of holding | +37.1% | +667.4% | 586,338 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Ence Chuck | officer | Purchase | 228,961 @ $0.45 | $103K | +587.5% of holding | +52.2% | +743.1% | 267,931 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Kelly Paul Edward | director | Purchase | 200,000 @ $0.43 | $86K | +94.2% of holding | +52.2% | +743.1% | 412,295 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | TRAVERSA SERGIO | director | Purchase | 172,314 @ $0.45 | $77K | +44.9% of holding | +52.2% | +743.1% | 556,338 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Shenouda Maged | officer | Purchase | 50,000 @ $0.44 | $22K | +56.6% of holding | +52.2% | +743.1% | 138,335 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
13 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | Shenouda Maged | officer | Award / grant | 828,000 | 828,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | Ence Chuck | officer | Award / grant | 828,000 | 828,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | Fedeli Fabiana | director | Award / grant | 164,000 | 164,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | GLASSPOOL JOHN | director | Award / grant | 164,000 | 164,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | CASAMENTO CHARLES J | director | Award / grant | 164,000 | 164,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | Kelly Paul Edward | director | Award / grant | 828,000 | 828,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | TRAVERSA SERGIO | director | Award / grant | 1,198,000 | 1,198,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | Fedeli Fabiana | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | Kelly Paul Edward | director | Award / grant | 400,000 | 400,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | Shenouda Maged | officer | Award / grant | 600,000 | 600,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | CASAMENTO CHARLES J | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | TRAVERSA SERGIO | director | Award / grant | 800,000 | 800,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | GLASSPOOL JOHN | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.