RIOTRiot Platforms, Inc.Technology · Hardware, Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $20.35 · now $20.35 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RIOT has typically landed between $13.13 and $31.39 — a range of −35.5% to +54.2% from the issuance price $20.35.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,610 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-03-31 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($20.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where RIOT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $20.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$13.13worst · -35.5%$31.39best · +54.2%
  • now $20.35 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $20.06 (-1.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $16.21–$23.91
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $13.13–$31.39
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,610 windows spanning 2016-03-31 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−59.1%−59.1%+1.9%
2022-04-11−57.0%−57.0%+0.6%
2020-02-11−56.7%−56.7%+0.0%
3 best
2017-11-17+374.8%+0.0%+374.8%
2017-11-16+349.1%+0.0%+349.1%
2017-11-10+293.9%−2.0%+293.9%

2,610 overlapping windows · 2016-03-31 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+6.0%
n=10
Feb
50%
+16.6%
n=10
Mar
50%
+1.1%
n=10
Apr
64%
+8.3%
n=11
May
55%
+4.6%
n=11
Jun
55%
+2.9%
n=11
Jul
55%
+9.3%
n=11
Aug
45%
−2.7%
n=11
Sep
27%
−5.6%
n=11
Oct
60%
+4.8%
n=10
Nov
60%
+28.8%
n=10
Dec
40%
+11.6%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$29$112026-08-05: 3 insider sales, $1.1M — Werner Ryan D. …2026-07-07: 2 insider sales, $384K — Werner Ryan D. …2026-06-22: 2 insider sales, $2.6M — Les Jason, Werner Ryan D.2026-05-27: 1 insider sale, $997K — Werner Ryan D.2026-05-11: 1 insider sale, $4.4M — Les Jason2025-10-10: 1 insider sale, $345K — Werner Ryan D.2025-10-03: 1 insider sale, $2.3M — Les Jason2025-09-29: 1 insider sale, $256K — Les Jason2025-09-24: 1 insider sale, $466K — Les Jason2025-09-10: 1 insider sale, $3.9M — Jackman William Richard2025-09: 3 open-market sales, $4.6M2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $2.6M2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $5.4M2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $2.6M2026-07: 2 open-market sales, $384K2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $1.1M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Werner Ryan D. — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Werner Ryan D. — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Werner Ryan D. — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Werner Ryan D. — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Werner Ryan D. — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Les Jason — Sale on 2026-06-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Werner Ryan D. — Sale on 2026-06-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Werner Ryan D. — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Les Jason — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Werner Ryan D. — Sale on 2025-10-10, filed same daydirector Les Jason — Sale on 2025-10-03, filed same daydirector Les Jason — Sale on 2025-09-29, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Les Jason — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jackman William Richard — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-05Werner Ryan D.officerSale35,430 @ $21.98$779K−4.7% of holding−2.1%not yet — horizon still open711,796Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-05Werner Ryan D.officerSale9,802 @ $22.82$224K−1.4% of holding−2.1%not yet — horizon still open701,994Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-05Werner Ryan D.officerSale2,501 @ $23.53$59K−0.4% of holding−2.1%not yet — horizon still open699,493Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07Werner Ryan D.officerSale10,232 @ $21.22$217K−1.1% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open903,322Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07Werner Ryan D.officerSale7,596 @ $21.93$167K−0.8% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open895,726Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-22Les JasondirectorSale62,703 @ $30.09$1.9M−4.7% of holding−18.7%not yet — horizon still open1,263,556Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-22Werner Ryan D.officerSale25,375 @ $30.00$761K−2.7% of holding−18.7%not yet — horizon still open927,423Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-27Werner Ryan D.officerSale37,616 @ $26.50$997K−3.8% of holding+8.7%not yet — horizon still open952,798Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Les JasondirectorSale175,000 @ $25.19$4.4M−11.7% of holding−3.1%not yet — horizon still open1,326,259Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-10Werner Ryan D.officerSale14,984 @ $23.00$345K−1.8% of holding−21.9%−20.7%822,775Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-03Les JasondirectorSale113,948 @ $20.04$2.3M−12.9% of holding+4.5%−26.1%769,911Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-29Les JasondirectorSale12,800 @ $20.00$256K−1.4% of holding+5.5%−36.1%883,859Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-24Les JasondirectorSale23,252 @ $20.04$466K−2.5% of holding+12.3%−20.3%896,659Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-10Jackman William RichardofficerSale248,168 @ $15.78$3.9M−9.9% of holding+32.7%−14.3%2,261,157Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-21Les JasondirectorSale100,000 @ $15.12$1.5M−9.8% of holding−16.4%+20.7%919,911Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-07Werner Ryan D.officerSale3,747 @ $11.88$45K−0.4% of holding−4.8%+16.6%837,759Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17Mouton DouglasdirectorPurchase8,384 @ $7.74$65K+69.9% of holding−10.7%+108.7%20,384Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-14Cho HannahdirectorSale12,000 @ $7.70$92K−16.8% of holding−6.4%+95.2%59,265Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-03Marleau HubertdirectorSale61,000 @ $9.58$584K−92.4% of holding−11.3%+48.7%5,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-10Les JasondirectorSale50,000 @ $11.34$567K−4.7% of holding+9.3%−12.1%1,019,911Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12Howell Stephen Mitchell Jr.officerGift21,1981,834,408Form 4
2026-07-31Les JasondirectorWithheld for tax2,896,9214,944,637Form 4
2026-07-31Howell Stephen Mitchell Jr.officerWithheld for tax153,1621,855,606Form 4
2026-07-31Werner Ryan D.officerWithheld for tax148,500747,226Form 4
2026-07-01Les JasondirectorWithheld for tax101,0157,841,558Form 4
2026-07-01Howell Stephen Mitchell Jr.officerWithheld for tax21,9662,008,768Form 4
2026-07-01Werner Ryan D.officerWithheld for tax13,869913,554Form 4
2026-07-01Yee Colin M.officerOption exercise124,823428,435Form 4
2026-07-01D'Ambrosio Lance VarrodirectorAward / grant8,34768,891Form 4
2026-07-01Leverton JaimedirectorAward / grant8,34736,450Form 4
2026-07-01Mouton DouglasdirectorAward / grant8,34744,834Form 4
2026-07-01Yee Colin M.officerOption exercise41,0712,074,295Form 4
2026-07-01Yee Colin M.officerOption exercise83,7521,990,543Form 4
2026-07-01Turner Michael JohndirectorAward / grant8,34736,450Form 4
2026-04-12Gibbs JonathanofficerDisposition1,147,91084,989Form 4
2026-01-01Howell Stephen Mitchell Jr.officerWithheld for tax29,4821,438,786Form 4
2026-01-01Werner Ryan D.officerWithheld for tax9,943812,832Form 4
2026-01-01Chung JasonofficerAward / grant473,5583,129,142Form 4
2026-01-01Gibbs JonathanofficerAward / grant236,779759,341Form 4
2026-01-01Gibbs JonathanofficerAward / grant473,5581,232,899Form 4
2026-01-01Chung JasonofficerAward / grant236,7792,655,584Form 4
2026-01-01Jackman William RichardofficerAward / grant197,3162,458,473Form 4
2026-01-01Jackman William RichardofficerAward / grant394,6322,853,105Form 4
2026-01-01Werner Ryan D.officerAward / grant59,194872,026Form 4
2026-01-01Werner Ryan D.officerAward / grant118,388990,414Form 4
2026-01-01Yee Colin M.officerAward / grant157,8532,115,366Form 4
2026-01-01Yi Soo il BenjamindirectorAward / grant473,5598,691,221Form 4
2026-01-01Yi Soo il BenjamindirectorAward / grant947,1189,638,339Form 4
2026-01-01Les JasondirectorAward / grant473,5597,726,803Form 4
2026-01-01Les JasondirectorAward / grant947,1188,673,921Form 4
2026-01-01Howell Stephen Mitchell Jr.officerAward / grant197,3161,636,102Form 4
2026-01-01Howell Stephen Mitchell Jr.officerAward / grant394,6322,030,734Form 4
2025-12-01Gibbs JonathanofficerWithheld for tax60,868522,562Form 4
2025-07-11Leverton JaimedirectorAward / grant16,10328,103Form 4
2025-07-11D'Ambrosio Lance VarrodirectorAward / grant16,10360,544Form 4
2025-07-11Mouton DouglasdirectorAward / grant16,10336,487Form 4
2025-07-11Turner Michael JohndirectorAward / grant16,10328,103Form 4
2025-07-01Les JasondirectorWithheld for tax101,6107,253,244Form 4
2025-07-01Howell Stephen Mitchell Jr.officerWithheld for tax20,345802,785Form 4
2025-07-01Werner Ryan D.officerWithheld for tax12,965641,861Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.