RHPRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motelas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $119.93 · now $119.93 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RHP has typically landed between $105.55 and $136.76 — a range of −12.0% to +14.0% from the issuance price $119.93.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($119.93) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where RHP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $119.93 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$105.55worst · -12.0%$136.76best · +14.0%
  • now $119.93 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $121.35 (+1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $115.11–$127.59
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $105.55–$136.76
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−84.4%−84.4%+0.0%
2020-02-19−79.1%−84.3%+0.0%
2020-02-14−77.8%−77.8%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+104.1%+0.0%+162.0%
2009-04-08+101.0%+0.0%+101.0%
2009-04-06+100.0%−4.4%+100.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
+0.8%
n=20
Feb
65%
+1.1%
n=20
Mar
60%
+1.5%
n=20
Apr
60%
+4.6%
n=20
May
50%
−0.7%
n=20
Jun
60%
−1.6%
n=20
Jul
50%
+3.5%
n=20
Aug
55%
+2.1%
n=20
Sep
35%
−2.3%
n=20
Oct
70%
+1.9%
n=20
Nov
75%
+3.8%
n=20
Dec
70%
+3.9%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$136$832026-02-27: 1 insider purchase, $785K — REED COLIN V2025-11-07: 1 insider purchase, $829K — REED COLIN V2025-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $191K — BOLTON H ERIC JR2025-08-13: 1 insider purchase, $820K — REED COLIN V2025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $1.0M2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $829K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $785K↑ buys↓ salesdirector REED COLIN V — Purchase on 2026-02-27, filed same daydirector REED COLIN V — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector BOLTON H ERIC JR — Purchase on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector REED COLIN V — Purchase on 2025-08-13, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-27REED COLIN VdirectorPurchase7,800 @ $100.67$785K+0.9% of holding−0.1%+21.2%895,810Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-07REED COLIN VdirectorPurchase8,993 @ $92.16$829K+1.0% of holding−4.0%+7.0%888,010Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-14BOLTON H ERIC JRdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $95.33$191Kownership Δ n/a+1.7%+1.8%2,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-13REED COLIN VdirectorPurchase8,611 @ $95.21$820K+1.0% of holding+0.9%−0.8%879,017Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-10Bowles Alvin L JRdirectorSale1,300 @ $99.01$129K−33.5% of holding+0.6%−20.0%2,576Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09REED COLIN VdirectorPurchase8,356 @ $96.92$810K+1.0% of holding+3.0%−19.1%870,406Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-26REED COLIN VdirectorPurchase8,231 @ $97.54$803K+1.0% of holding+0.9%−4.3%832,260Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-26Bowles Alvin L JRdirectorSale473 @ $97.03$46K−15.0% of holding+0.9%−4.3%2,675Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

219 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-09Pantoya ChristinedirectorOption exercise1,2600Form 4
2026-05-09Pantoya ChristinedirectorOption exercise1,2607,602Form 4
2026-05-08ROTH MICHAEL ISORdirectorOption exercise1,3320Form 4
2026-05-08Bowles Alvin L JRdirectorOption exercise1,3323,908Form 4
2026-05-08Bhasin RachnadirectorOption exercise1,3320Form 4
2026-05-08Bowles Alvin L JRdirectorOption exercise1,3320Form 4
2026-05-08Haslam WilliamdirectorOption exercise1,33225,323Form 4
2026-05-08Helgren Erin ClairedirectorOption exercise1,3322,533Form 4
2026-05-08ROTH MICHAEL ISORdirectorOption exercise1,33243,448Form 4
2026-05-08Helgren Erin ClairedirectorOption exercise1,3320Form 4
2026-05-08Bhasin RachnadirectorOption exercise1,3329,860Form 4
2026-05-07Helgren Erin ClairedirectorAward / grant1,2621,262Form 4
2026-05-07ROTH MICHAEL ISORdirectorAward / grant1,2621,262Form 4
2026-05-07BOLTON H ERIC JRdirectorAward / grant1,2621,262Form 4
2026-05-07Bhasin RachnadirectorAward / grant1,2621,262Form 4
2026-05-07Haslam WilliamdirectorAward / grant1,2621,262Form 4
2026-05-07Pantoya ChristinedirectorAward / grant1,2621,262Form 4
2026-05-07PRATHER ROBERT S JRdirectorAward / grant1,2621,262Form 4
2026-05-07Bowles Alvin L JRdirectorAward / grant1,2621,262Form 4
2026-03-15Lynn Scott JofficerWithheld for tax29134,602Form 4
2026-03-15FIORAVANTI MARKdirectorOption exercise4,6084,617Form 4
2026-03-15FIORAVANTI MARKdirectorOption exercise3,6247,252Form 4
2026-03-15FIORAVANTI MARKdirectorOption exercise4,22012,657Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorOption exercise5,355901,165Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorWithheld for tax2,108899,057Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorOption exercise2,922901,979Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorWithheld for tax1,150900,829Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorOption exercise1,725902,554Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorWithheld for tax679901,875Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorOption exercise1,998903,873Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorWithheld for tax787903,086Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorOption exercise16,409919,495Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorWithheld for tax6,457913,038Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorOption exercise5,3550Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorOption exercise2,9222,926Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorOption exercise1,7253,453Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorOption exercise1,9985,994Form 4
2026-03-15REED COLIN VdirectorOption exercise16,4090Form 4
2026-03-15Lynn Scott JofficerOption exercise6971,393Form 4
2026-03-15Lynn Scott JofficerOption exercise4,1880Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.