RHIRobert Half Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $37.09 · now $37.09 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RHI has typically landed between $32.02 and $42.32 — a range of −13.7% to +14.1% from the issuance price $37.09.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($37.09) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where RHI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $37.09 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$32.02worst · -13.7%$42.32best · +14.1%
  • now $37.09 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $36.63 (-1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $34.35–$38.91
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $32.02–$42.32
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−42.0%−42.0%+0.0%
2020-02-20−40.6%−40.6%+0.0%
2008-09-25−38.6%−38.6%+0.0%
3 best
2026-06-23+45.5%+0.0%+45.5%
2026-06-24+40.1%+0.0%+41.9%
2026-06-22+39.8%+0.0%+43.7%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+1.3%
n=18
Feb
53%
−1.2%
n=19
Mar
53%
+0.5%
n=19
Apr
32%
−1.9%
n=19
May
58%
−0.5%
n=19
Jun
53%
−0.1%
n=19
Jul
63%
+3.8%
n=19
Aug
58%
−0.4%
n=19
Sep
37%
−0.5%
n=19
Oct
56%
−0.5%
n=18
Nov
83%
+6.2%
n=18
Dec
61%
+3.0%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$45$212025-10-28: 1 insider sale, $188K — Kempthorne Dirk A2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $188K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Kempthorne Dirk A — Sale on 2025-10-28, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-10-28Kempthorne Dirk AdirectorSale6,505 @ $28.87$188K−35.7% of holding−2.9%−9.1%11,712Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

66 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-13Morial MarcdirectorAward / grant10,80337,742Form 4
2026-05-13Richman Frederick AdirectorAward / grant10,80367,569Form 4
2026-05-13Morial MarcdirectorAward / grant10,80337,742Form 4
2026-05-13Wilking Marnie HussdirectorAward / grant10,80324,795Form 4
2026-05-13Barsten JanadirectorAward / grant10,80320,739Form 4
2026-05-13Pace Robert JdirectorAward / grant10,803127,933Form 4
2026-05-13Coronado Julia LynndirectorAward / grant10,80341,741Form 4
2026-05-13Barsten JanadirectorAward / grant10,80320,739Form 4
2026-05-13Coronado Julia LynndirectorAward / grant10,80341,741Form 4
2026-05-13Wilking Marnie HussdirectorAward / grant10,80324,795Form 4
2026-03-23WADDELL M KEITHdirectorWithheld for tax33,1201,571,432Form 4
2026-03-23GENTZKOW PAUL FofficerWithheld for tax27,910534,878Form 4
2026-03-23BUCKLEY MICHAEL CofficerWithheld for tax10,549290,497Form 4
2026-03-23Tarantino Joseph AofficerWithheld for tax9,077251,080Form 4
2026-03-23GLASS ROBERT WofficerWithheld for tax6,114212,927Form 4
2026-03-23MESSMER HAROLD M JRdirectorWithheld for tax5,896684,158Form 4
2026-03-23GENTZKOW PAUL FofficerAward / grant2,164413,715Form 4
2026-03-23GLASS ROBERT WofficerAward / grant450198,896Form 4
2026-03-23GLASS ROBERT WofficerAward / grant20,145219,041Form 4
2026-03-23MESSMER HAROLD M JRdirectorAward / grant44,319690,054Form 4
2026-03-23GENTZKOW PAUL FofficerAward / grant149,073562,788Form 4
2026-03-23MESSMER HAROLD M JRdirectorAward / grant649645,735Form 4
2026-03-23Tarantino Joseph AofficerAward / grant724179,577Form 4
2026-03-23Tarantino Joseph AofficerAward / grant80,580260,157Form 4
2026-03-23BUCKLEY MICHAEL CofficerAward / grant56,406301,046Form 4
2026-03-23WADDELL M KEITHdirectorAward / grant2,5541,427,276Form 4
2026-03-23WADDELL M KEITHdirectorAward / grant177,2761,604,552Form 4
2026-03-23BUCKLEY MICHAEL CofficerAward / grant845244,640Form 4
2026-02-28Tarantino Joseph AofficerWithheld for tax2,796178,853Form 4
2025-05-14Morial MarcdirectorAward / grant5,90726,939Form 4
2025-05-14Wilking Marnie HussdirectorAward / grant5,90713,992Form 4
2025-05-14Wilking Marnie HussdirectorAward / grant5,90713,992Form 4
2025-05-14Barsten JanadirectorAward / grant5,9079,936Form 4
2025-05-14Coronado Julia LynndirectorAward / grant5,90730,938Form 4
2025-05-14Kempthorne Dirk AdirectorAward / grant5,90718,217Form 4
2025-05-14Morial MarcdirectorAward / grant5,90726,939Form 4
2025-05-14Pace Robert JdirectorAward / grant5,907117,130Form 4
2025-05-14Richman Frederick AdirectorAward / grant5,90756,766Form 4
2025-05-14Barsten JanadirectorAward / grant5,9079,936Form 4
2025-05-14Coronado Julia LynndirectorAward / grant5,90730,938Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-09-112025-08-21$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-09-112025-08-21$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-07-072025-06-11$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2025-02-112025-01-31$15–50K
Byron DonaldsHouseexchange2024-11-082021-08-03$1–15K
Byron DonaldsHouseexchange2024-11-082021-08-03$1–15K
Byron DonaldsHousepurchase2024-11-082022-04-05$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2024-09-162024-08-26$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2024-09-162024-08-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-05-062024-04-23$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2024-02-132024-01-17$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2024-02-132024-01-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-12-062023-11-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-09-062023-08-03$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.