Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.62 · now $27.62 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RGS has typically landed between $18.07 and $39.56 — a range of −34.6% to +43.2% from the issuance price $27.62.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,001 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.62) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RGS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.62 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $27.62 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $27.05 (-2.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $23–$31.09
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $18.07–$39.56
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-04-08 | −60.2% | −60.2% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-04 | −59.7% | −59.7% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-30 | −59.1% | −59.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-06-21 | +595.6% | +0.0% | +595.6% |
| 2024-06-24 | +570.6% | +0.0% | +580.5% |
| 2024-06-20 | +564.3% | +0.0% | +564.3% |
5,001 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | MERRIMAN MICHAEL J | director | Sale | 500 @ $28.00 | $14K | −3.7% of holding | −18.4% | −16.8% | 13,067 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
26 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Zupfer Kersten Delores | officer | Withheld for tax | 886 | 14,582 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | LAIN JIM BRIAN | officer | Withheld for tax | 798 | 12,988 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Suarez James Raymon | officer | Withheld for tax | 708 | 12,728 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Charters William | director | Award / grant | 1,631 | 55,631 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Alfano Andrew | director | Award / grant | 2,409 | 2,409 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Benacci Nancy Cunningham | director | Award / grant | 1,219 | 7,146 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Lintonsmith Susan | director | Award / grant | 12,125 | 19,074 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | MacDonald Keelee | officer | Award / grant | 1,486 | 1,486 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-22 | Zupfer Kersten Delores | officer | Withheld for tax | 622 | 15,468 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Lintonsmith Susan | director | Award / grant | 1,470 | 6,949 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Zupfer Kersten Delores | officer | Withheld for tax | 886 | 16,090 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | LAIN JIM BRIAN | officer | Withheld for tax | 802 | 13,786 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Ferranti Michael Heath | officer | Withheld for tax | 708 | 12,913 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Suarez James Raymon | officer | Withheld for tax | 551 | 13,436 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | DeVore Michelle St. Lawrence | officer | Withheld for tax | 328 | 4,672 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-14 | ANDREWS LOCKIE | director | Award / grant | 2,727 | 8,068 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-14 | MANSBACH MICHAEL JOSEPH | director | Award / grant | 2,727 | 8,114 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-14 | MERRIMAN MICHAEL J | director | Award / grant | 2,727 | 13,567 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-14 | Benacci Nancy Cunningham | director | Award / grant | 2,727 | 5,927 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-14 | Lintonsmith Susan | director | Award / grant | 2,727 | 5,479 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-05 | Zupfer Kersten Delores | officer | Award / grant | 5,400 | 16,976 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-05 | Suarez James Raymon | officer | Award / grant | 5,400 | 13,987 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-05 | LAIN JIM BRIAN | officer | Award / grant | 5,400 | 14,588 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-05 | Ferranti Michael Heath | officer | Award / grant | 5,400 | 13,621 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-05 | DeVore Michelle St. Lawrence | officer | Award / grant | 2,500 | 5,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-15 | Lintonsmith Susan | director | Award / grant | 2,752 | 2,752 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.