RGP · TickerCove

RGPResources Connection, Inc.Industrials · Consulting Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.03 · now $4.03 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RGP has typically landed between $3.36 and $4.58 — a range of −16.6% to +13.6% from the issuance price $4.03.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.03) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$4.03 · 34% of range

$3.42 low$5.21 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.5%

typical move · IQR 12.2%

−16.6%worst (p90)+13.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where RGP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.03 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $4.03 (+0.0%)
typical $3.97 (-1.5%)
middle 50% $3.73–$4.22
90% range $3.36–$4.58

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−39.5%	−39.5%	+0.0%
2008-09-25	−39.0%	−39.0%	+0.0%
2008-09-24	−36.6%	−36.6%	+1.1%
3 best
2010-09-17	+35.6%	+0.0%	+35.6%
2010-09-10	+34.5%	+0.0%	+34.5%
2010-09-09	+34.0%	+0.0%	+34.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

35%

−1.4%

n=20

Feb

50%

−2.5%

n=20

Mar

55%

+1.6%

n=20

Apr

25%

−4.0%

n=20

May

55%

+0.0%

n=20

Jun

60%

+0.2%

n=20

Jul

55%

+2.0%

n=20

Aug

40%

−2.5%

n=20

Sep

35%

−0.2%

n=20

Oct

45%

−0.2%

n=20

Nov

70%

+3.6%

n=20

Dec

65%

+1.6%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-11-12	FOX JEFFREY H	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $4.53	$45K	+0.7% of holding	+16.2%	−8.5%	1,389,243	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-12	CG Core Value Fund, L.P.	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $4.53	$45K	+0.7% of holding	+16.2%	−8.5%	1,389,243	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-11	CG Core Value Fund, L.P.	director	Purchase	90,000 @ $4.52	$407K	+7.0% of holding	+16.2%	−11.1%	1,379,243	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-11	FOX JEFFREY H	director	Purchase	90,000 @ $4.52	$407K	+7.0% of holding	+16.2%	−11.1%	1,379,243	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-15	DUCHENE KATE W	director	Purchase	23,015 @ $4.36	$100K	+4.1% of holding	+4.7%	−15.0%	590,234	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-10	Cherbak Anthony	director	Sale	10,000 @ $4.50	$45K	−40.0% of holding	−9.0%	−21.3%	15,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-21	White David P	director	Sale	5,204 @ $5.26	$27K	−17.6% of holding	−17.8%	−48.1%	24,331	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-07	Patel Bhadreskumar	officer	Purchase	9,900 @ $5.05	$50K	+8.2% of holding	−6.0%	−36.4%	131,099	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-04	Carlile Roger D	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $5.06	$126K	+100.0% of holding	−4.4%	−36.4%	50,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-04	DUCHENE KATE W	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $5.14	$103K	+3.6% of holding	−4.4%	−36.4%	571,451	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

85 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-10	Rottmann Scott Glenn	officer	Withheld for tax	4,739	208,811	Form 4
2026-06-19	Carlile Roger D	director	Award / grant	11,728	732,842	Form 4
2026-06-19	Iyer Venkataraman Ramaswamy	officer	Award / grant	1,318	84,629	Form 4
2026-06-19	KISTINGER ROBERT F	director	Award / grant	1,502	92,586	Form 4
2026-06-19	Lane Michael Wayne	officer	Award / grant	3,221	201,442	Form 4
2026-06-19	von Maltzan Marco	director	Award / grant	1,416	87,318	Form 4
2026-06-19	Ryu Jennifer Y	officer	Award / grant	2,231	211,517	Form 4
2026-06-19	Rottmann Scott Glenn	officer	Award / grant	3,428	210,550	Form 4
2026-06-10	Lane Michael Wayne	officer	Withheld for tax	1,481	198,221	Form 4
2026-06-01	PISANO A ROBERT	director	Gift	112,371	7,932	Form 4
2026-06-01	PISANO A ROBERT	director	Gift	112,371	122,907	Form 4
2026-03-20	Rottmann Scott Glenn	officer	Award / grant	3,825	207,122	Form 4
2026-03-20	Ryu Jennifer Y	officer	Award / grant	2,490	209,286	Form 4
2026-03-20	Carlile Roger D	director	Award / grant	13,089	721,115	Form 4
2026-03-20	KISTINGER ROBERT F	director	Award / grant	1,677	91,084	Form 4
2026-03-20	Lane Michael Wayne	officer	Award / grant	3,688	199,702	Form 4
2026-03-20	von Maltzan Marco	director	Award / grant	1,582	85,902	Form 4
2026-03-20	Iyer Venkataraman Ramaswamy	officer	Award / grant	1,471	83,311	Form 4
2026-03-17	Pierozzi Lisa	director	Gift	38,421	0	Form 4
2026-03-17	Pierozzi Lisa	director	Gift	38,421	57,083	Form 4
2026-02-02	Carlile Roger D	director	Gift	4,137	708,025	Form 4
2026-02-02	Carlile Roger D	director	Gift	4,137	54,137	Form 4
2026-01-21	Patel Bhadreskumar	officer	Award / grant	75,000	197,352	Form 4
2026-01-21	Carlile Roger D	director	Award / grant	87,500	712,162	Form 4
2026-01-21	Ryu Jennifer Y	officer	Award / grant	75,000	206,796	Form 4
2026-01-02	Gyde Filip J.L.	director	Award / grant	19,801	29,234	Form 4
2026-01-02	PISANO A ROBERT	director	Award / grant	19,801	120,303	Form 4
2026-01-02	FOX JEFFREY H	director	Award / grant	19,801	29,234	Form 4
2026-01-02	COLLYNS SUSAN	director	Award / grant	19,801	40,757	Form 4
2026-01-02	Pierozzi Lisa	director	Award / grant	19,801	38,421	Form 4
2026-01-02	KISTINGER ROBERT F	director	Award / grant	19,801	89,407	Form 4
2026-01-02	von Maltzan Marco	director	Award / grant	19,801	84,320	Form 4
2025-12-12	Carlile Roger D	director	Award / grant	8,108	624,662	Form 4
2025-12-12	Ryu Jennifer Y	officer	Award / grant	764	131,796	Form 4
2025-12-12	KISTINGER ROBERT F	director	Award / grant	924	69,606	Form 4
2025-12-12	von Maltzan Marco	director	Award / grant	856	64,519	Form 4
2025-12-12	Patel Bhadreskumar	officer	Award / grant	912	122,352	Form 4
2025-11-12	Ryu Jennifer Y	officer	Withheld for tax	4,005	131,032	Form 4
2025-11-12	Patel Bhadreskumar	officer	Withheld for tax	3,369	121,440	Form 4
2025-11-11	Ryu Jennifer Y	officer	Withheld for tax	1,158	135,037	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i