Issued 2026-09-16 at $172.91 · now $172.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RGEN has typically landed between $139.75 and $209.61 — a range of −19.2% to +21.2% from the issuance price $172.91.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($172.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RGEN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $172.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $172.91 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $170.77 (-1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $157.36–$184.19
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $139.75–$209.61
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2012-04-25 | −37.6% | −40.2% | +0.0% |
| 2011-02-07 | −35.5% | −35.5% | +0.0% |
| 2011-02-04 | −35.4% | −35.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-07-12 | +58.2% | −0.9% | +58.2% |
| 2022-07-18 | +57.3% | +0.0% | +59.7% |
| 2022-07-14 | +54.4% | −1.4% | +57.4% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
65%
+3.3%
n=20
Feb
35%
−1.9%
n=20
Mar
50%
+2.3%
n=20
Apr
60%
+2.7%
n=20
May
60%
+3.2%
n=20
Jun
60%
+3.3%
n=20
Jul
60%
+7.2%
n=20
Aug
65%
+5.2%
n=20
Sep
35%
−3.1%
n=20
Oct
40%
+1.0%
n=20
Nov
50%
+5.4%
n=20
Dec
40%
+0.4%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Loeillot Olivier | director | Sale | 3,035 @ $165.90 | $504K | −5.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 48,369 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Loeillot Olivier | director | Sale | 5,426 @ $180.00 | $977K | −9.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 54,246 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Garland Jason K | officer | Sale | 530 @ $150.00 | $80K | −2.7% of holding | +8.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,829 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Garland Jason K | officer | Sale | 733 @ $145.00 | $106K | −3.6% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,359 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Loeillot Olivier | director | Sale | 3,832 @ $140.00 | $536K | −6.6% of holding | −21.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 54,246 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | DAWES KAREN A | director | Sale | 275 @ $161.00 | $44K | −0.3% of holding | +2.9% | −31.1% | 91,821 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Loeillot Olivier | director | Sale | 7,041 @ $170.00 | $1.2M | −16.4% of holding | −5.8% | −40.5% | 35,898 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Bylund James | officer | Sale | 2,191 @ $151.21 | $331K | −9.2% of holding | +0.6% | −39.1% | 21,520 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 5,737 @ $156.22 | $896K | −6.5% of holding | +5.4% | −41.3% | 82,699 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $155.45 | $466K | −3.3% of holding | +5.4% | −41.3% | 88,436 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 2,923 @ $153.14 | $448K | −3.0% of holding | +5.4% | −41.3% | 93,936 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $154.32 | $386K | −2.7% of holding | +5.4% | −41.3% | 91,436 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 2,100 @ $152.17 | $320K | −2.1% of holding | +5.4% | −41.3% | 96,859 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 1,956 @ $157.11 | $307K | −2.4% of holding | +5.4% | −41.3% | 80,743 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 1,784 @ $151.01 | $269K | −1.8% of holding | +5.4% | −41.3% | 98,959 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 11,096 @ $158.01 | $1.8M | −9.9% of holding | −0.2% | −43.7% | 101,207 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 4,959 @ $156.65 | $777K | −4.2% of holding | −0.2% | −43.7% | 112,303 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 4,740 @ $155.85 | $739K | −3.9% of holding | −0.2% | −43.7% | 117,262 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 3,741 @ $154.92 | $580K | −3.0% of holding | −0.2% | −43.7% | 122,002 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 464 @ $158.51 | $74K | −0.5% of holding | −0.2% | −43.7% | 100,743 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 14,882 @ $120.19 | $1.8M | −11.9% of holding | +20.6% | −8.1% | 110,506 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 7,584 @ $121.42 | $921K | −6.9% of holding | +20.6% | −8.1% | 102,922 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 3,262 @ $119.64 | $390K | −2.5% of holding | +20.6% | −8.1% | 125,388 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 2,179 @ $122.23 | $266K | −2.1% of holding | +20.6% | −8.1% | 100,743 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 1,108 @ $118.32 | $131K | −0.9% of holding | +20.6% | −8.1% | 128,650 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 96 @ $116.34 | $11K | −0.1% of holding | +20.6% | −8.1% | 129,758 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Madaus Martin D | director | Purchase | 1,800 @ $112.13 | $202K | ownership Δ n/a | +4.5% | +19.3% | 1,800 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 17,596 @ $123.57 | $2.2M | −13.1% of holding | +0.2% | +7.7% | 116,662 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 6,533 @ $124.34 | $812K | −5.6% of holding | +0.2% | +7.7% | 110,129 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 2,043 @ $122.66 | $251K | −1.5% of holding | +0.2% | +7.7% | 134,258 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 268 @ $125.20 | $34K | −0.2% of holding | +0.2% | +7.7% | 109,861 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 7 @ $127.00 | $889 | −0.0% of holding | +0.2% | +7.7% | 109,854 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 15,619 @ $152.82 | $2.4M | −10.1% of holding | −12.2% | −38.7% | 138,584 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 6,176 @ $151.96 | $939K | −3.9% of holding | −12.2% | −38.7% | 154,203 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 2,518 @ $151.09 | $380K | −1.5% of holding | −12.2% | −38.7% | 160,379 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 2,283 @ $153.70 | $351K | −1.6% of holding | −12.2% | −38.7% | 136,301 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Pax Margaret | director | Purchase | 250 @ $150.69 | $38K | +31.5% of holding | −12.2% | −38.7% | 1,043 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 100 @ $150.38 | $15K | −0.1% of holding | −12.2% | −38.7% | 162,897 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Hunt Anthony | director | Sale | 60 @ $148.05 | $9K | −0.0% of holding | −12.2% | −38.7% | 162,997 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
107 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Loeillot Olivier | director | Withheld for tax | 2,842 | 51,404 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Hughes Violetta | officer | Withheld for tax | 277 | 6,331 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Loeillot Olivier | director | Option exercise | 5,426 | 59,672 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Loeillot Olivier | director | Option exercise | 5,426 | 10,852 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Pax Margaret | director | Award / grant | 2,239 | 2,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Konstantinov Konstantin | director | Award / grant | 995 | 3,889 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE | director | Award / grant | 995 | 5,461 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE | director | Award / grant | 2,239 | 2,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Konstantinov Konstantin | director | Award / grant | 2,239 | 2,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | BARTHELEMY NICOLAS | director | Award / grant | 995 | 5,436 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | BARTHELEMY NICOLAS | director | Award / grant | 2,239 | 2,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | DAWES KAREN A | director | Award / grant | 2,239 | 2,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | DAWES KAREN A | director | Award / grant | 995 | 92,816 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Madaus Martin D | director | Award / grant | 995 | 6,581 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Madaus Martin D | director | Award / grant | 2,239 | 2,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | MUIR GLENN P | director | Award / grant | 995 | 40,051 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | MUIR GLENN P | director | Award / grant | 2,239 | 2,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Mhatre Rohin | director | Award / grant | 995 | 5,014 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Mhatre Rohin | director | Award / grant | 2,239 | 2,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Pax Margaret | director | Award / grant | 995 | 3,011 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | MUIR GLENN P | director | Option exercise | 2,434 | 39,056 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Douglass Brian Robb | officer | Withheld for tax | 334 | 7,985 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | MUIR GLENN P | director | Option exercise | 2,434 | 2,434 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | KURIYEL RALF | officer | Award / grant | 5,669 | 5,669 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Loeillot Olivier | director | Award / grant | 24,134 | 58,078 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Loeillot Olivier | director | Award / grant | 25,890 | 25,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Bylund James | officer | Award / grant | 7,751 | 25,423 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Bylund James | officer | Award / grant | 8,315 | 8,315 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Hughes Violetta | officer | Award / grant | 2,466 | 6,608 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Garland Jason K | officer | Award / grant | 7,751 | 20,092 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Garland Jason K | officer | Award / grant | 8,315 | 8,315 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | KURIYEL RALF | officer | Award / grant | 5,284 | 20,062 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Bylund James | officer | Withheld for tax | 62 | 17,672 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | KURIYEL RALF | officer | Withheld for tax | 42 | 14,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Bylund James | officer | Award / grant | 125 | 17,734 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | KURIYEL RALF | officer | Award / grant | 125 | 14,820 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Hunt Anthony | director | Withheld for tax | 9,897 | 89,062 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Bylund James | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,433 | 17,609 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Loeillot Olivier | director | Withheld for tax | 1,610 | 33,944 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | KURIYEL RALF | officer | Withheld for tax | 923 | 14,695 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.