RGA · TickerCove

RGAReinsurance Group of America, IncorporatedFinancial Services · Insurance - Reinsuranceas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $248.09 · now $248.09 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RGA has typically landed between $221.83 and $277.73 — a range of −10.6% to +11.9% from the issuance price $248.09.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($248.09) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$248.09 · 90% of range

$179.11 low$255.91 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.4%

typical move · IQR 8.5%

−10.6%worst (p90)+11.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where RGA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $248.09 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $248.09 (+0.0%)
typical $251.56 (+1.4%)
middle 50% $241.01–$262.12
90% range $221.83–$277.73

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−62.2%	−62.2%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−60.4%	−60.4%	+0.0%
2020-02-24	−56.4%	−61.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23	+72.7%	+0.0%	+95.5%
2020-03-20	+58.7%	−5.6%	+84.6%
2020-03-24	+52.6%	+0.0%	+75.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

+0.8%

n=20

Feb

55%

−0.3%

n=20

Mar

60%

+0.8%

n=20

Apr

40%

+1.4%

n=20

May

55%

+1.3%

n=20

Jun

35%

−2.6%

n=20

Jul

65%

+3.5%

n=20

Aug

55%

+0.9%

n=20

Sep

65%

+1.4%

n=20

Oct

65%

+1.6%

n=20

Nov

65%

+2.8%

n=20

Dec

60%

+1.2%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-12	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Sale	8,589 @ $246.30	$2.1M	−36.6% of holding	+2.1%	not yet — horizon still open	14,885	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-20	Hayden John W.	officer	Sale	414 @ $214.95	$89K	−1.9% of holding	−3.0%	not yet — horizon still open	20,949	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-14	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Sale	6,830 @ $210.56	$1.4M	−62.4% of holding	−0.8%	not yet — horizon still open	4,108	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-14	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Sale	170 @ $211.28	$36K	−4.1% of holding	−0.8%	not yet — horizon still open	3,938	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

296 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-11	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Withheld for tax	2,857	5,841	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Withheld for tax	2,750	18,761	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Option exercise	5,707	21,511	Form 4
2026-08-11	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Option exercise	3,311	8,698	Form 4
2026-08-11	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Withheld for tax	2,337	5,387	Form 4
2026-08-11	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Withheld for tax	1,889	4,626	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Withheld for tax	1,887	22,357	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Option exercise	4,332	24,244	Form 4
2026-08-11	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Option exercise	3,098	7,724	Form 4
2026-08-11	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Withheld for tax	1,600	6,057	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Withheld for tax	1,454	23,474	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Option exercise	2,571	24,928	Form 4
2026-08-11	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Option exercise	1,816	7,657	Form 4
2026-08-11	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Option exercise	2,577	6,515	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Withheld for tax	1,345	15,804	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Option exercise	2,264	17,149	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Withheld for tax	1,286	19,912	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Option exercise	2,437	21,198	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Option exercise	4,332	0	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Option exercise	2,437	0	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Option exercise	2,264	0	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Option exercise	5,707	0	Form 4
2026-08-11	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Option exercise	3,311	1,656	Form 4
2026-08-11	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Option exercise	3,098	1,033	Form 4
2026-08-11	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Option exercise	2,577	0	Form 4
2026-08-11	HERRMANN RONALD	officer	Option exercise	1,816	3,632	Form 4
2026-08-11	PORTER JONATHAN	officer	Option exercise	2,571	857	Form 4
2026-07-01	TULLOCH MAURICE	director	Award / grant	406	406	Form 4
2026-06-25	To My Chi	officer	Withheld for tax	2,515	3,525	Form 4
2026-06-06	To My Chi	officer	Option exercise	5,661	11,323	Form 4
2026-06-06	To My Chi	officer	Option exercise	5,661	6,040	Form 4
2026-06-06	To My Chi	officer	Option exercise	5,661	6,040	Form 4
2026-05-20	Hayden John W.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,453	21,363	Form 4
2026-05-20	Hayden John W.	officer	Option exercise	1,867	22,816	Form 4
2026-05-20	Guinn Patricia Lynn	director	Award / grant	817	817	Form 4
2026-05-20	Babej Peter	director	Award / grant	613	613	Form 4
2026-05-20	Gauthier John J	director	Award / grant	817	817	Form 4
2026-05-20	McNeilage Hazel	director	Award / grant	817	817	Form 4
2026-05-20	Hayden John W.	officer	Option exercise	1,867	0	Form 4
2026-05-20	Van Wyk Steven C.	director	Award / grant	1,518	1,518	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i