REZIResideo Technologies, Inc.Technology · Communication Equipmentas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $18.67 · now $18.67 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, REZI has typically landed between $15.32 and $22.47 — a range of −17.9% to +20.3% from the issuance price $18.67.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,959 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-10-29 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($18.67) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where REZI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $18.67 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$15.32worst · -17.9%$22.47best · +20.3%
  • now $18.67 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $18.75 (+0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $17.13–$20.37
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $15.32–$22.47
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,959 windows spanning 2018-10-29 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-03-05−59.6%−59.6%+0.0%
2020-03-03−59.2%−59.2%+0.0%
2020-03-04−58.4%−58.4%+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-22+111.7%+0.0%+111.7%
2020-05-14+101.1%+0.0%+101.1%
2020-05-15+97.9%+0.0%+97.9%

1,959 overlapping windows · 2018-10-29 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
38%
−0.4%
n=8
Feb
75%
+7.2%
n=8
Mar
25%
−11.3%
n=8
Apr
50%
+3.3%
n=8
May
50%
+3.6%
n=8
Jun
63%
+8.3%
n=8
Jul
75%
+8.7%
n=8
Aug
38%
−5.0%
n=8
Sep
25%
−3.5%
n=8
Oct
14%
−4.3%
n=7
Nov
63%
+10.9%
n=8
Dec
63%
+5.4%
n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$31$192026-08-17: 1 insider purchase, $226K — Mehta Amit Ashvin2026-08-14: 2 insider purchases, $622K — Foster Joshua Peter, SURRAN THOMAS A2025-11-13: 2 insider purchases, $18.0M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. …2025-11-12: 1 insider purchase, $12.8M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.2025-11-11: 1 insider purchase, $11.9M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.2025-11-10: 2 insider purchases, $10.5M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P., TEICH ANDREW C2025-09-03: 1 insider purchase, $7.7M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.2025-09-02: 1 insider purchase, $6.0M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.2025-08-29: 1 insider purchase, $1.0M — TEICH ANDREW C2025-08-26: 1 insider sale, $115K — Richardson Nina2025-08-25: 1 insider purchase, $419K — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.2025-08-22: 2 insider purchases, $1.2M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. …2025-08-21: 1 insider purchase, $8.0M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.2025-08-20: 1 insider purchase, $9.5M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.2025-08-19: 1 insider purchase, $4.4M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.2025-08-18: 1 insider purchase, $3.5M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.2025-08-15: 1 insider purchase, $10.7M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.2025-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $6.5M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.2025-08-12: 3 insider purchases, $10.4M — CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. …2025-08-12: 3 insider sales, $2.7M — Geldmacher Jay L, Lane Jeannine J, Richardson Nina2025-08: 15 open-market purchases, $80.4M2025-08: 4 open-market sales, $2.8M2025-09: 2 open-market purchases, $13.7M2025-11: 6 open-market purchases, $53.2M2026-08: 3 open-market purchases, $848K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Mehta Amit Ashvin — Purchase on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Foster Joshua Peter — Purchase on 2026-08-14, filed 3 days after the tradedirector SURRAN THOMAS A — Purchase on 2026-08-14, filed 3 days after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-11-13, filed same daytenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-11-13, filed same daytenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-11-12, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-11-10, filed 3 days after the tradedirector TEICH ANDREW C — Purchase on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-09-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector TEICH ANDREW C — Purchase on 2025-08-29, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Richardson Nina — Sale on 2025-08-26, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-08-25, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-08-21, filed same daytenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-08-18, filed same daytenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-08-12, filed same daytenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-08-12, filed same daydirector Geldmacher Jay L — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Lane Jeannine J — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. — Purchase on 2025-08-12, filed same daydirector Richardson Nina — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 241 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17Mehta Amit AshvinofficerPurchase10,928 @ $20.68$226K+23.5% of holding−7.1%not yet — horizon still open57,362Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-14Foster Joshua PeterofficerPurchase15,317 @ $20.58$315K+9.1% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open183,509Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14SURRAN THOMAS AdirectorPurchase15,000 @ $20.46$307K+4.6% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open338,573Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-13CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase287,819 @ $32.08$9.2M+2.0% of holding+14.1%−19.9%14,960,492Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-13CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase278,939 @ $31.55$8.8M+1.9% of holding+14.1%−19.9%14,672,673Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-12CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase400,000 @ $32.02$12.8M+2.9% of holding+14.0%−19.6%14,393,734Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-11CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase390,000 @ $30.54$11.9M+2.9% of holding+18.4%−11.2%13,993,734Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase333,000 @ $30.69$10.2M+2.5% of holding+14.5%−11.2%13,603,734Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-10TEICH ANDREW CdirectorPurchase8,149 @ $30.68$250K+2.5% of holding+14.5%−11.2%340,621Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-03CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase228,573 @ $33.63$7.7M+1.8% of holding+23.2%−0.2%13,270,734Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-02CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase180,000 @ $33.55$6.0M+1.4% of holding+22.3%+3.3%13,042,161Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-29TEICH ANDREW CdirectorPurchase29,460 @ $34.01$1.0M+9.7% of holding+23.2%+3.4%332,472Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-26Richardson NinadirectorSale3,333 @ $34.55$115K−5.2% of holding+15.7%+9.7%60,675Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-25CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase12,327 @ $33.95$419K+0.1% of holding+14.6%+10.2%12,862,161Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase20,589 @ $33.90$698K+0.2% of holding+19.8%−2.1%12,849,834Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-22CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase14,037 @ $32.68$459K+0.1% of holding+19.8%−2.1%12,829,245Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-21CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase250,000 @ $32.16$8.0M+2.0% of holding+26.0%−0.2%12,815,208Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-20CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase297,000 @ $31.94$9.5M+2.4% of holding+26.9%+5.9%12,565,208Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-19CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase135,641 @ $32.41$4.4M+1.1% of holding+23.9%+3.6%12,268,208Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-18CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase111,000 @ $31.66$3.5M+0.9% of holding+22.2%+8.5%12,132,567Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-15CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase339,863 @ $31.42$10.7M+2.9% of holding+23.6%+9.3%12,021,567Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-14CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase203,161 @ $31.89$6.5M+1.8% of holding+19.5%+5.9%11,681,704Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-12CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase216,432 @ $30.94$6.7M+1.9% of holding+15.0%+8.1%11,446,664Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-12CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase91,417 @ $30.03$2.7M+0.8% of holding+15.0%+8.1%11,230,232Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-12Geldmacher Jay LdirectorSale47,500 @ $31.29$1.5M−8.4% of holding+15.0%+8.1%519,689Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-12Lane Jeannine JdirectorSale35,398 @ $31.31$1.1M−18.6% of holding+15.0%+8.1%155,136Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-12CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase31,879 @ $31.49$1.0M+0.3% of holding+15.0%+8.1%11,478,543Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-12Richardson NinadirectorSale2,789 @ $29.67$83K−4.6% of holding+15.0%+8.1%57,886Form 4 · filed 241 days after the trade
2025-08-11CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase457,508 @ $27.34$12.5M+4.3% of holding+29.2%+21.4%11,138,815Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-08CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase448,887 @ $27.30$12.3M+4.4% of holding+28.5%+22.2%10,681,307Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-30Aarnes Robert BdirectorSale47,000 @ $28.00$1.3M−8.5% of holding+17.9%+8.0%503,692Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-25CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase4,477,919 @ $22.33$100.0M+77.8% of holding+40.0%+35.0%10,232,420Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-07Richardson NinadirectorSale2,790 @ $23.68$66K−4.2% of holding+10.4%+42.8%64,008Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-22TEICH ANDREW CdirectorPurchase50,000 @ $20.20$1.0M+20.1% of holding+5.8%+30.3%298,555Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-09CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase5,754,501 @ $17.38$100.0Mownership Δ n/a+2.5%+37.5%5,754,501Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-26TEICH ANDREW CdirectorPurchase18,154 @ $19.29$350K+8.2% of holding+1.2%+72.2%239,768Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

120 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01HARRISON SHANE RofficerAward / grant51,20351,203Form 4
2026-08-13Campelli AndrewdirectorAward / grant6,4076,407Form 4
2026-08-03SURRAN THOMAS AdirectorAward / grant45,125323,573Form 4
2026-08-03CD&R Investment Associates XII, Ltd.tenPercentOwnerDisposition149,550348,950Form 4
2026-08-03CD&R Investment Associates XII, Ltd.tenPercentOwnerDisposition149,550348,950Form 4
2026-08-03CD&R Investment Associates XII, Ltd.tenPercentOwnerDisposition149,550348,950Form 4
2026-08-03CD&R Investment Associates XII, Ltd.tenPercentOwnerDisposition149,550348,950Form 4
2026-08-03CD&R Investment Associates XII, Ltd.tenPercentOwnerDisposition149,550348,950Form 4
2026-07-07Kutz JeffreyofficerWithheld for tax2,46636,332Form 4
2026-07-01TEICH ANDREW CdirectorAward / grant4,834359,677Form 4
2026-07-01LAZAR JACK RdirectorAward / grant1,010123,188Form 4
2026-06-03LAZAR JACK RdirectorAward / grant5,468122,178Form 4
2026-06-03Yusuf KareemdirectorAward / grant5,46841,403Form 4
2026-06-03Richardson NinadirectorAward / grant5,46863,354Form 4
2026-06-03Wienbar Sharon LdirectorAward / grant5,46886,023Form 4
2026-06-03Sleeper Nathan KdirectorAward / grant5,4685,468Form 4
2026-06-03Stroup John SdirectorAward / grant5,4685,468Form 4
2026-06-03DENINGER PAUL FdirectorAward / grant5,46880,294Form 4
2026-06-03Hostetler Cynthia LynndirectorAward / grant5,46858,778Form 4
2026-06-03Kushner BriandirectorAward / grant5,46870,039Form 4
2026-06-03TEICH ANDREW CdirectorAward / grant5,468354,843Form 4
2026-05-15Carlet MichaelofficerWithheld for tax1,944166,706Form 4
2026-04-01TEICH ANDREW CdirectorAward / grant4,442349,375Form 4
2026-04-01LAZAR JACK RdirectorAward / grant928116,710Form 4
2026-02-18Geldmacher Jay LdirectorAward / grant82,530849,645Form 4
2026-02-15Geldmacher Jay LdirectorWithheld for tax22,286767,115Form 4
2026-02-15Carlet MichaelofficerWithheld for tax10,862168,550Form 4
2026-02-14Geldmacher Jay LdirectorWithheld for tax23,546789,401Form 4
2026-02-14Aarnes Robert BdirectorWithheld for tax7,582561,875Form 4
2026-02-14Lane Jeannine JdirectorWithheld for tax5,813218,423Form 4
2026-02-14Kelly Stephen MontgomeryofficerWithheld for tax2,418307,929Form 4
2026-02-13Geldmacher Jay LdirectorWithheld for tax211,208812,947Form 4
2026-02-13Aarnes Robert BdirectorWithheld for tax45,491569,457Form 4
2026-02-13Lane Jeannine JdirectorWithheld for tax34,874223,713Form 4
2026-02-13Kelly Stephen MontgomeryofficerWithheld for tax17,950309,886Form 4
2026-02-13Geldmacher Jay LdirectorAward / grant504,4661,024,155Form 4
2026-02-13Aarnes Robert BdirectorAward / grant30,615499,342Form 4
2026-02-13Aarnes Robert BdirectorAward / grant115,606614,948Form 4
2026-02-13Carlet MichaelofficerAward / grant27,831179,412Form 4
2026-02-13Kutz JeffreyofficerAward / grant11,82838,798Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.