REYN · TickerCove

REYNReynolds Consumer Products Inc.Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Productsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $22.43 · now $22.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, REYN has typically landed between $20.53 and $24.42 — a range of −8.5% to +8.9% from the issuance price $22.43.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,644 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-01-31 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($22.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$22.43 · 31% of range

$20.34 low$27.18 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.0%

typical move · IQR 6.8%

−8.5%worst (p90)+8.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where REYN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $22.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $22.43 (+0.0%)
typical $22.44 (+0.0%)
middle 50% $21.67–$23.2
90% range $20.53–$24.42

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,644 windows spanning 2020-01-31 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-13	−21.5%	−21.5%	+0.0%
2020-02-11	−19.2%	−19.2%	+0.8%
2026-08-05	−18.4%	−18.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-16	+28.1%	+0.0%	+28.1%
2026-06-01	+27.0%	+0.0%	+27.0%
2026-06-02	+26.0%	−0.1%	+26.0%

1,644 overlapping windows · 2020-01-31 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+0.0%

n=6

Feb

43%

−1.0%

n=7

Mar

43%

−1.7%

n=7

Apr

57%

+1.2%

n=7

May

57%

−0.1%

n=7

Jun

71%

+3.9%

n=7

Jul

29%

−0.9%

n=7

Aug

43%

+0.8%

n=7

Sep

14%

−3.3%

n=7

Oct

17%

−1.0%

n=6

Nov

100%

+5.6%

n=6

Dec

33%

−1.3%

n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-18	Stangl Rolf	director	Purchase	2,380 @ $21.00	$50K	+6.8% of holding	−1.0%	not yet — horizon still open	37,212	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-18	Stangl Rolf	director	Purchase	2,325 @ $21.12	$49K	+6.2% of holding	−1.0%	not yet — horizon still open	39,537	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-26	Hawkesby Duncan	director	Purchase	67,685 @ $22.90	$1.5M	+38.8% of holding	−1.8%	+2.7%	242,271	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-26	Hawkesby Duncan	director	Purchase	43,479 @ $23.00	$1.0M	+17.9% of holding	−1.8%	+2.7%	285,750	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-26	Hawkesby Duncan	director	Purchase	32,467 @ $23.10	$750K	+11.4% of holding	−1.8%	+2.7%	318,217	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-26	Hawkesby Duncan	director	Purchase	15,875 @ $23.15	$368K	+5.0% of holding	−1.8%	+2.7%	334,092	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-21	Hawkesby Duncan	director	Purchase	67,269 @ $23.04	$1.5M	+62.7% of holding	−3.3%	+1.0%	174,586	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-20	Hawkesby Duncan	director	Purchase	4,317 @ $23.16	$100K	+4.2% of holding	−5.7%	−1.3%	107,317	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-20	Stangl Rolf	director	Purchase	4,500 @ $21.24	$96K	+17.1% of holding	−2.6%	+1.0%	30,889	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-06	Stangl Rolf	director	Purchase	4,500 @ $21.70	$98K	+20.6% of holding	−4.5%	−2.5%	26,389	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-30	Mayrhofer Chris	officer	Purchase	5,048 @ $21.99	$111K	+27.7% of holding	−6.5%	−1.2%	23,266	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-29	Mayrhofer Chris	officer	Purchase	18,218 @ $22.14	$403K	ownership Δ n/a	−8.9%	−2.2%	18,218	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-07	Stangl Rolf	director	Purchase	2,500 @ $22.75	$57K	+12.9% of holding	−10.7%	−10.9%	21,889	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-06	Stangl Rolf	director	Purchase	2,500 @ $23.22	$58K	+14.8% of holding	−11.5%	−12.2%	19,389	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-10	Stangl Rolf	director	Purchase	6,000 @ $24.89	$149K	+55.1% of holding	+3.8%	−12.9%	16,889	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

285 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-01	Clark Ryan Gerard	officer	Withheld for tax	6,421	8,676	Form 4
2026-06-01	Hooker Carlen	officer	Withheld for tax	5,779	7,808	Form 4
2026-06-01	Clark Ryan Gerard	officer	Withheld for tax	2,649	12,255	Form 4
2026-06-01	Hooker Carlen	officer	Withheld for tax	2,212	10,797	Form 4
2026-06-01	Clark Ryan Gerard	officer	Option exercise	6,228	14,904	Form 4
2026-06-01	Hooker Carlen	officer	Option exercise	13,587	27,174	Form 4
2026-06-01	Hooker Carlen	officer	Option exercise	5,201	13,009	Form 4
2026-06-01	Hooker Carlen	officer	Option exercise	13,587	13,587	Form 4
2026-06-01	Clark Ryan Gerard	officer	Option exercise	6,228	12,454	Form 4
2026-06-01	Hooker Carlen	officer	Option exercise	5,201	10,401	Form 4
2026-06-01	Clark Ryan Gerard	officer	Option exercise	15,097	15,097	Form 4
2026-06-01	Clark Ryan Gerard	officer	Option exercise	15,097	30,193	Form 4
2026-05-01	Barnett Jill	officer	Withheld for tax	2,035	13,223	Form 4
2026-05-01	Barnett Jill	officer	Option exercise	4,791	9,582	Form 4
2026-05-01	Barnett Jill	officer	Option exercise	4,791	15,258	Form 4
2026-04-30	Barnett Jill	officer	Withheld for tax	7,520	10,467	Form 4
2026-04-30	Barnett Jill	officer	Option exercise	17,987	17,987	Form 4
2026-04-30	Barnett Jill	officer	Option exercise	17,987	0	Form 4
2026-04-29	ZIEGLER ANN ELIZABETH	director	Award / grant	7,539	7,539	Form 4
2026-04-29	Stangl Rolf	director	Award / grant	10,700	10,700	Form 4
2026-04-29	McGrath Christine Montenegro	director	Award / grant	7,539	7,539	Form 4
2026-04-29	GOTTSCHALK MARLA C	director	Award / grant	7,539	7,539	Form 4
2026-04-23	GOTTSCHALK MARLA C	director	Option exercise	6,568	0	Form 4
2026-04-23	Stangl Rolf	director	Option exercise	9,322	48,859	Form 4
2026-04-23	Stangl Rolf	director	Option exercise	9,322	0	Form 4
2026-04-23	GOTTSCHALK MARLA C	director	Option exercise	6,568	29,917	Form 4
2026-02-01	Huckins Scott E.	director	Withheld for tax	10,163	52,985	Form 4
2026-02-01	Buckner Judith K.	director	Withheld for tax	7,076	39,366	Form 4
2026-02-01	Estes Stephen C.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,391	38,298	Form 4
2026-02-01	Fisher Rita	officer	Withheld for tax	5,317	33,194	Form 4
2026-02-01	Smith Lisa M	officer	Withheld for tax	5,236	39,296	Form 4
2026-02-01	Huckins Scott E.	director	Withheld for tax	3,812	39,002	Form 4
2026-02-01	Corey Christopher	officer	Withheld for tax	3,546	12,479	Form 4
2026-02-01	Huckins Scott E.	director	Withheld for tax	3,301	33,759	Form 4
2026-02-01	Lowe Nathan D.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,446	22,526	Form 4
2026-02-01	Mayrhofer Chris	officer	Withheld for tax	2,290	21,003	Form 4
2026-02-01	Buckner Judith K.	director	Withheld for tax	2,200	45,050	Form 4
2026-02-01	Lowe Nathan D.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,014	13,522	Form 4
2026-02-01	Estes Stephen C.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,980	43,422	Form 4
2026-02-01	Lowe Nathan D.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,906	19,161	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i