Issued 2026-09-16 at $38.84 · now $38.84 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, REXR has typically landed between $34.03 and $43.91 — a range of −12.4% to +13.0% from the issuance price $38.84.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,289 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-07-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($38.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where REXR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $38.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $38.84 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $38.59 (-0.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $36.55–$40.63
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $34.03–$43.91
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-20 | −35.9% | −35.9% | +0.8% |
| 2020-02-21 | −34.4% | −36.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −32.7% | −33.9% | +1.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-11-13 | +25.5% | +0.0% | +25.5% |
| 2023-11-14 | +22.4% | −0.0% | +22.4% |
| 2023-01-03 | +22.0% | +0.0% | +22.0% |
3,289 overlapping windows · 2013-07-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Lanzer David E. | officer | Sale | 33,299 @ $35.47 | $1.2M | −100.0% of holding | −5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-17 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Sale | 23,132 @ $35.29 | $816K | −4.0% of holding | −0.5% | +1.3% | 560,406 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | CLARK LAURA E | officer | Purchase | 5,310 @ $37.73 | $200K | ownership Δ n/a | −5.3% | −11.0% | 5,310 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-27 | STOCKERT DAVID P | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $37.39 | $187K | +273.4% of holding | −5.3% | −11.0% | 6,829 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-27 | Fitzmaurice Michael | officer | Purchase | 2,650 @ $37.55 | $100K | +23.1% of holding | −5.3% | −11.0% | 14,133 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-08 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Sale | 18,750 @ $40.06 | $751K | −3.1% of holding | +1.4% | −17.7% | 583,538 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-04 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Sale | 20,318 @ $41.61 | $845K | −3.3% of holding | −6.1% | −24.2% | 602,288 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-03 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Sale | 7,400 @ $41.51 | $307K | −1.2% of holding | −6.1% | −24.6% | 622,606 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Sale | 10,650 @ $41.50 | $442K | −1.7% of holding | −4.9% | −26.7% | 630,006 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-21 | Lanzer David E. | officer | Sale | 26,449 @ $36.87 | $975K | −100.0% of holding | +5.2% | +1.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
67 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Nahas John | officer | Withheld for tax | 127 | 23,133 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kleiman Angela L. | director | Award / grant | 4,855 | 18,780 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | MORRIS DEBRA L | director | Award / grant | 4,855 | 20,766 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | ROSE TYLER H | director | Award / grant | 4,855 | 36,294 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | ANTIN ROBERT L | director | Award / grant | 4,855 | 56,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | STOCKERT DAVID P | director | Award / grant | 4,855 | 11,684 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Ingram Diana J | director | Award / grant | 4,855 | 27,450 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Lanzer David E. | officer | Conversion | 33,299 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Lanzer David E. | officer | Conversion | 33,299 | 33,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Lanzer David E. | officer | Option exercise | 2,301 | 62,944 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Lanzer David E. | officer | Option exercise | 2,301 | 33,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Lanzer David E. | officer | Option exercise | 30,998 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Lanzer David E. | officer | Option exercise | 30,998 | 30,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-09 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Withheld for tax | 281,813 | 278,593 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-09 | Schwimmer Howard | director | Withheld for tax | 281,813 | 328,806 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Award / grant | 61,058 | 753,991 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Schwimmer Howard | director | Award / grant | 61,058 | 812,077 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Award / grant | 61,058 | 753,991 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Schwimmer Howard | director | Award / grant | 61,058 | 812,077 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-16 | Schwimmer Howard | director | Award / grant | 80,096 | 657,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-16 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Award / grant | 80,096 | 612,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-16 | Lanzer David E. | officer | Award / grant | 14,200 | 30,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-16 | CLARK LAURA E | officer | Award / grant | 26,305 | 55,290 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-16 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Award / grant | 80,096 | 612,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-16 | Lanzer David E. | officer | Award / grant | 14,200 | 30,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-16 | CLARK LAURA E | officer | Award / grant | 26,305 | 55,290 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-16 | Schwimmer Howard | director | Award / grant | 80,096 | 657,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | STOCKERT DAVID P | director | Award / grant | 1,829 | 1,829 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Lanzer David E. | officer | Award / grant | 14,913 | 65,245 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Fitzmaurice Michael | officer | Award / grant | 19,431 | 19,431 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Lanzer David E. | officer | Award / grant | 14,913 | 65,245 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | CLARK LAURA E | officer | Award / grant | 59,873 | 148,420 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | CLARK LAURA E | officer | Award / grant | 59,873 | 148,420 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Fitzmaurice Michael | officer | Award / grant | 19,431 | 19,431 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Conversion | 80,250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Conversion | 80,250 | 640,656 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Option exercise | 80,250 | 532,871 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Frankel Michael S. | director | Option exercise | 80,250 | 80,250 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-18 | Fitzmaurice Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,397 | 11,483 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Schwimmer Howard | director | Award / grant | 560,406 | 610,619 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.