REAX · TickerCove

REAXThe Real Brokerage Inc.Real Estate · Real Estate - Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $19.02 · now $19.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, REAX has typically landed between $14.61 and $26.35 — a range of −23.2% to +38.5% from the issuance price $19.02.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,541 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-06-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($19.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$19.02 · 65% of range

$1.59 low$28.43 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.6%

typical move · IQR 22.5%

−23.2%worst (p90)+38.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where REAX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $19.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $19.02 (+0.0%)
typical $18.71 (-1.6%)
middle 50% $16.57–$20.85
90% range $14.61–$26.35

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,541 windows spanning 2020-06-24 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-12-04	−49.4%	−49.4%	+0.0%
2020-12-07	−40.1%	−40.1%	+0.0%
2022-05-13	−39.5%	−39.5%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-07-27	+1515.3%	−9.1%	+1515.3%
2026-07-28	+1445.9%	−7.0%	+1552.9%
2026-07-29	+1332.1%	−3.0%	+1623.0%

1,541 overlapping windows · 2020-06-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

67%

+19.3%

n=6

Feb

67%

+5.7%

n=6

Mar

33%

−6.0%

n=6

Apr

33%

−0.3%

n=6

May

33%

−3.8%

n=6

Jun

83%

+13.6%

n=6

Jul

14%

−4.7%

n=7

Aug

100%

+199.1%

n=7

Sep

29%

−1.2%

n=7

Oct

33%

−3.6%

n=6

Nov

50%

+12.6%

n=6

Dec

17%

−9.6%

n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

76 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-13	Damani Pritesh	officer	Option exercise	1,285	13,545	Form 4
2026-09-13	Damani Pritesh	officer	Disposition	834	12,711	Form 4
2026-09-13	Lumpkin Alexandra	officer	Option exercise	304	10,786	Form 4
2026-09-13	Poleg Tamir	director	Option exercise	5,392	32,351	Form 4
2026-09-13	Rozenblat Jenna	officer	Option exercise	914	9,735	Form 4
2026-09-13	Rozenblat Jenna	officer	Option exercise	914	19,250	Form 4
2026-09-13	Poleg Tamir	director	Option exercise	5,392	767,624	Form 4
2026-09-13	Rozenblat Jenna	officer	Disposition	608	9,127	Form 4
2026-09-13	Lumpkin Alexandra	officer	Disposition	98	2,401	Form 4
2026-09-13	Lumpkin Alexandra	officer	Option exercise	304	2,499	Form 4
2026-09-13	Damani Pritesh	officer	Option exercise	1,285	76,540	Form 4
2026-09-10	Rozenblat Jenna	officer	Option exercise	1,029	18,336	Form 4
2026-09-10	Poleg Tamir	director	Option exercise	4,102	41,015	Form 4
2026-09-10	Poleg Tamir	director	Option exercise	4,102	762,232	Form 4
2026-09-10	Damani Pritesh	officer	Disposition	575	14,581	Form 4
2026-09-10	Damani Pritesh	officer	Option exercise	884	75,255	Form 4
2026-09-10	Damani Pritesh	officer	Option exercise	884	15,156	Form 4
2026-09-10	Lumpkin Alexandra	officer	Option exercise	593	8,026	Form 4
2026-09-10	Lumpkin Alexandra	officer	Disposition	191	7,835	Form 4
2026-09-10	Lumpkin Alexandra	officer	Option exercise	593	10,482	Form 4
2026-09-10	Rozenblat Jenna	officer	Disposition	428	14,569	Form 4
2026-09-10	Rozenblat Jenna	officer	Option exercise	1,029	14,997	Form 4
2026-09-09	Rozenblat Jenna	officer	Award / grant	58,131	58,131	Form 4
2026-09-09	Jenkins Norman K.	director	Award / grant	4,914	4,914	Form 4
2026-09-09	Lumpkin Alexandra	officer	Award / grant	31,264	31,264	Form 4
2026-09-09	RAFFAELI C CATHLEEN	director	Award / grant	6,526	6,526	Form 4
2026-09-09	Carlson Erik	director	Award / grant	4,914	4,914	Form 4
2026-09-09	Damani Pritesh	officer	Award / grant	58,180	58,180	Form 4
2026-09-09	Jani Ravi	officer	Award / grant	27,502	27,502	Form 4
2026-09-01	Jani Ravi	officer	Option exercise	437	15,487	Form 4
2026-09-01	Jani Ravi	officer	Disposition	248	7,531	Form 4
2026-09-01	Jani Ravi	officer	Option exercise	437	7,779	Form 4
2026-09-01	Carlson Erik	director	Disposition	112,465	0	Form 4
2026-09-01	Carlson Erik	director	Disposition	112,465	0	Form 4
2026-09-01	Carlson Erik	director	Disposition	184,221	0	Form 4
2026-09-01	Carlson Erik	director	Award / grant	601,998	721,554	Form 4
2026-09-01	Carlson Erik	director	Withheld for tax	263,369	458,185	Form 4
2026-09-01	Carlson Erik	director	Disposition	33,227	0	Form 4
2026-09-01	Carlson Erik	director	Disposition	87,864	0	Form 4
2026-09-01	Carlson Erik	director	Disposition	184,221	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i