Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.48 · now $3.48 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RCKT has typically landed between $2.54 and $4.57 — a range of −26.9% to +31.4% from the issuance price $3.48.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,887 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-02-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.48) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RCKT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.48 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.48 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.37 (-3.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.95–$3.79
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.54–$4.57
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,887 windows spanning 2015-02-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2016-12-27 | −78.5% | −78.8% | +0.0% |
| 2016-12-23 | −78.3% | −79.0% | +0.0% |
| 2016-12-21 | −78.2% | −78.2% | +3.6% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2015-06-25 | +234.6% | −5.9% | +245.4% |
| 2015-06-24 | +233.2% | −4.4% | +250.9% |
| 2015-06-23 | +233.0% | −9.2% | +233.0% |
2,887 overlapping windows · 2015-02-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Pending catalysts
- April 2028 — Trial primary completion: Phase 2 primary completion: A Gene Therapy Study of RP-A501 in Male Patients With Danon Disease (source, as of 2026-08-14)
Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
27%
−6.1%
n=11
Feb
45%
+2.1%
n=11
Mar
33%
−8.5%
n=12
Apr
58%
+1.0%
n=12
May
33%
−4.3%
n=12
Jun
58%
+0.5%
n=12
Jul
58%
+12.0%
n=12
Aug
50%
−0.9%
n=12
Sep
50%
+8.1%
n=12
Oct
55%
+4.8%
n=11
Nov
55%
+1.5%
n=11
Dec
55%
+10.3%
n=11
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 75,364 @ $3.40 | $256K | −11.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 598,489 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Shah Gaurav | director | Sale | 2,293 @ $3.38 | $8K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,056,594 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 631 @ $3.38 | $2K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 673,853 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 3,493 @ $3.38 | $12K | −0.5% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 674,484 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Shah Gaurav | director | Sale | 2,837 @ $3.38 | $10K | −0.3% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,058,887 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Stevens Christopher James | officer | Sale | 36,658 @ $3.50 | $128K | −6.8% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 505,784 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Chaudhuri Sarbani | officer | Sale | 4,701 @ $3.50 | $16K | −1.8% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 262,809 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Shah Gaurav | director | Sale | 55,684 @ $3.09 | $172K | −5.0% of holding | +12.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,061,724 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Shah Gaurav | director | Sale | 2,409 @ $3.01 | $7K | −0.2% of holding | +12.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,040,918 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 662 @ $3.01 | $2K | −0.1% of holding | +12.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 677,977 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 384 @ $3.01 | $1K | −0.4% of holding | +12.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 89,780 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 3,361 @ $3.61 | $12K | −0.5% of holding | −23.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 678,639 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Shah Gaurav | director | Sale | 2,728 @ $3.61 | $10K | −0.3% of holding | −23.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,043,327 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 855 @ $3.61 | $3K | −0.9% of holding | −23.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 90,164 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Chaudhuri Sarbani | officer | Sale | 17,650 @ $3.84 | $68K | −6.2% of holding | −27.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 267,510 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Shah Gaurav | director | Sale | 5,990 @ $3.34 | $20K | −0.6% of holding | +31.1% | −6.9% | 1,046,055 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 1,376 @ $3.34 | $5K | −0.2% of holding | +31.1% | −6.9% | 682,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 1,157 @ $3.34 | $4K | −1.3% of holding | +31.1% | −6.9% | 91,019 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | Shah Gaurav | director | Sale | 12,279 @ $3.31 | $41K | −1.2% of holding | +43.2% | −10.0% | 1,052,045 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 12,253 @ $3.31 | $41K | −1.8% of holding | +43.2% | −10.0% | 683,376 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 3,726 @ $3.31 | $12K | −3.9% of holding | +43.2% | −10.0% | 92,176 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Bjork Elisabeth | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $3.44 | $34K | +25.0% of holding | −0.9% | +7.6% | 50,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Shah Gaurav | director | Sale | 6,276 @ $2.98 | $19K | −0.8% of holding | +7.4% | −7.4% | 778,296 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Schwartz Jonathan David | officer | Sale | 2,545 @ $2.98 | $8K | −0.8% of holding | +7.4% | −7.4% | 299,064 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 1,646 @ $2.98 | $5K | −0.4% of holding | +7.4% | −7.4% | 383,816 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 1,086 @ $2.98 | $3K | −1.6% of holding | +7.4% | −7.4% | 65,920 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-14 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 19,841 @ $3.96 | $79K | −20.7% of holding | −25.9% | −15.2% | 76,083 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-14 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 5,514 @ $3.96 | $22K | −7.2% of holding | −25.9% | −15.2% | 70,569 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-14 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 3,005 @ $3.97 | $12K | −4.3% of holding | −25.9% | −15.2% | 67,564 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-14 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 558 @ $3.98 | $2K | −0.8% of holding | −25.9% | −15.2% | 67,006 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Bjork Elisabeth | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $3.41 | $34K | +33.3% of holding | −4.4% | +44.2% | 40,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-19 | Schwartz Jonathan David | officer | Sale | 805 @ $3.00 | $2K | −0.4% of holding | +5.4% | +20.9% | 221,609 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 588 @ $3.00 | $2K | −0.4% of holding | +5.4% | +20.9% | 135,462 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 361 @ $3.00 | $1K | −0.6% of holding | +5.4% | +20.9% | 55,924 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Schwartz Jonathan David | officer | Sale | 1,680 @ $3.06 | $5K | −0.7% of holding | −2.5% | +6.6% | 222,414 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 1,004 @ $3.06 | $3K | −0.7% of holding | −2.5% | +6.6% | 136,050 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 699 @ $3.06 | $2K | −1.2% of holding | −2.5% | +6.6% | 56,285 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 12,109 @ $3.02 | $37K | −8.1% of holding | +3.8% | +1.6% | 137,054 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | Schwartz Jonathan David | officer | Sale | 11,161 @ $3.02 | $34K | −4.7% of holding | +3.8% | +1.6% | 224,094 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 7,043 @ $3.02 | $21K | −11.0% of holding | +3.8% | +1.6% | 56,984 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-03 | Ondrey Aaron | officer | Sale | 1,477 @ $2.88 | $4K | −1.1% of holding | +4.9% | +9.4% | 128,173 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Shah Gaurav | director | Sale | 2,253 @ $6.45 | $15K | −0.3% of holding | −63.1% | −70.4% | 786,806 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Schwartz Jonathan David | officer | Sale | 801 @ $6.45 | $5K | −0.3% of holding | −63.1% | −70.4% | 235,255 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Patel Kinnari | officer | Sale | 767 @ $6.45 | $5K | −0.2% of holding | −63.1% | −70.4% | 441,927 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 587 @ $6.45 | $4K | −0.4% of holding | −63.1% | −70.4% | 149,163 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 357 @ $6.45 | $2K | −0.6% of holding | −63.1% | −70.4% | 64,027 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Shah Gaurav | director | Sale | 3,621 @ $6.53 | $24K | −0.5% of holding | −57.0% | −65.9% | 789,059 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Schwartz Jonathan David | officer | Sale | 1,582 @ $6.53 | $10K | −0.7% of holding | −57.0% | −65.9% | 236,056 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Patel Kinnari | officer | Sale | 1,409 @ $6.53 | $9K | −0.3% of holding | −57.0% | −65.9% | 442,694 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 946 @ $6.53 | $6K | −0.6% of holding | −57.0% | −65.9% | 149,750 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 655 @ $6.53 | $4K | −1.0% of holding | −57.0% | −65.9% | 64,384 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-22 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 718 @ $7.16 | $5K | −1.1% of holding | −16.0% | −72.9% | 65,039 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | Shah Gaurav | director | Purchase | 20,000 @ $5.08 | $102K | +2.6% of holding | +30.6% | −56.9% | 792,680 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-09 | Patel Kinnari | officer | Purchase | 21,099 @ $4.70 | $99K | +371.8% of holding | +26.6% | −56.4% | 26,774 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-04 | Ondrey Aaron | officer | Sale | 7,489 @ $5.29 | $40K | −5.5% of holding | +12.6% | −71.9% | 129,650 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-25 | Schwartz Jonathan David | officer | Sale | 6,532 @ $10.58 | $69K | −2.7% of holding | −13.8% | −74.0% | 237,638 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-21 | Shah Gaurav | director | Sale | 16,303 @ $10.58 | $172K | −2.1% of holding | −12.6% | −73.9% | 772,680 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-21 | Patel Kinnari | officer | Sale | 6,078 @ $10.58 | $64K | −1.4% of holding | −12.6% | −73.9% | 444,103 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-21 | Wilson Martin | officer | Sale | 3,222 @ $10.58 | $34K | −2.1% of holding | −12.6% | −73.9% | 150,696 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-21 | Militello John | officer | Sale | 2,737 @ $10.58 | $29K | −4.0% of holding | −12.6% | −73.9% | 65,757 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
118 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | SOUTHWELL DAVID P | director | Other acquisition | 150,000 | 204,522 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Stevens Christopher James | officer | Award / grant | 73,313 | 542,442 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Stevens Christopher James | officer | Award / grant | 101,428 | 101,428 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | BOESS CARSTEN | director | Award / grant | 64,860 | 64,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dolsten Mikael | director | Award / grant | 64,860 | 64,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dolsten Mikael | director | Award / grant | 22,862 | 67,082 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | WONG RODERICK | director | Award / grant | 78,960 | 78,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | WONG RODERICK | director | Award / grant | 27,832 | 75,499 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | SOUTHWELL DAVID P | director | Award / grant | 64,860 | 64,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | SOUTHWELL DAVID P | director | Award / grant | 22,862 | 54,522 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Award / grant | 64,860 | 64,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Award / grant | 22,862 | 52,862 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Fong Peter | director | Award / grant | 64,860 | 64,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Fong Peter | director | Award / grant | 22,862 | 76,195 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | BOESS CARSTEN | director | Award / grant | 22,862 | 52,862 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 2,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 10,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 10,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 20,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 10,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 20,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 18,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 18,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 27,003 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 28,910 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 49,798 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 24,545 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Award / grant | 51,509 | 51,509 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Award / grant | 15,002 | 15,002 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Award / grant | 16,061 | 16,061 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Award / grant | 24,899 | 24,899 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Award / grant | 9,091 | 9,091 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 10,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 10,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 20,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 10,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 20,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 2,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 18,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Militello John | officer | Disposition | 18,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.