RBARB Global, Inc.Industrials · Specialty Business Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $84.29 · now $84.29 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RBA has typically landed between $73.97 and $94.59 — a range of −12.2% to +12.2% from the issuance price $84.29.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($84.29) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where RBA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $84.29 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$73.97worst · -12.2%$94.59best · +12.2%
  • now $84.29 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $85.52 (+1.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $81.02–$90.02
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $73.97–$94.59
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−36.6%−36.6%+1.9%
2020-02-21−36.0%−37.7%+0.0%
2020-02-20−35.1%−37.8%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+52.4%+0.0%+52.4%
2020-03-18+52.2%+0.0%+52.2%
2020-07-17+48.9%−0.2%+48.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
+0.2%
n=20
Feb
65%
−0.3%
n=20
Mar
50%
+2.1%
n=20
Apr
70%
+3.2%
n=20
May
60%
+0.4%
n=20
Jun
55%
+1.5%
n=20
Jul
55%
+1.7%
n=20
Aug
55%
+1.4%
n=20
Sep
45%
−1.4%
n=20
Oct
60%
+0.7%
n=20
Nov
60%
+2.9%
n=20
Dec
50%
+1.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$119$812026-09-09: 2 insider purchases, $40K — Stein Deborah …2026-08-24: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Harford Chloe2026-06-25: 1 insider sale, $17K — Carlson Christopher2026-05-19: 1 insider purchase, $44K — Stein Deborah2026-05-05: 1 insider sale, $15K — Carlson Christopher2026-03-18: 1 insider purchase, $39K — Stein Deborah2026-01-21: 1 insider sale, $2.4M — KESSLER JAMES FRANCIS2025-11-13: 1 insider purchase, $101K — Stein Deborah2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $1.2M2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $254K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $101K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $2.4M2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $39K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $44K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $15K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $17K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $100K2026-09: 2 open-market purchases, $40K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Stein Deborah — Purchase on 2026-09-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Stein Deborah — Purchase on 2026-09-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Harford Chloe — Purchase on 2026-08-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Carlson Christopher — Sale on 2026-06-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Stein Deborah — Purchase on 2026-05-19, filed same dayofficer Carlson Christopher — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Stein Deborah — Purchase on 2026-03-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KESSLER JAMES FRANCIS — Sale on 2026-01-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Stein Deborah — Purchase on 2025-11-13, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-09Stein DeborahdirectorPurchase300 @ $81.14$24K+16.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,125Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-09Stein DeborahdirectorPurchase200 @ $80.56$16K+9.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,325Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-24Harford ChloedirectorPurchase1,200 @ $83.74$100Kownership Δ n/anot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,200Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-25Carlson ChristopherofficerSale150 @ $115.00$17K−4.1% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open3,514Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19Stein DeborahdirectorPurchase425 @ $103.15$44K+30.4% of holding+5.3%not yet — horizon still open1,825Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-05Carlson ChristopherofficerSale140 @ $110.00$15K−3.7% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open3,664Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-18Stein DeborahdirectorPurchase400 @ $98.74$39K+40.0% of holding−0.4%not yet — horizon still open1,400Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-21KESSLER JAMES FRANCISdirectorSale20,742 @ $115.00$2.4M−16.2% of holding−10.8%−13.2%107,569Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Stein DeborahdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $101.26$101Kownership Δ n/a+1.1%−7.8%1,000Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

291 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-18O'Day Timothy J.directorAward / grant873Form 4
2026-06-18Guerin EricdirectorAward / grant18159Form 4
2026-06-18O'Day Timothy J.directorAward / grant527Form 4
2026-06-18O'Day Timothy J.directorAward / grant66Form 4
2026-06-18Stephenson CaroldirectorAward / grant13200Form 4
2026-06-18Stephenson CaroldirectorAward / grant873Form 4
2026-06-18Guerin EricdirectorAward / grant17317Form 4
2026-06-18Stephenson CaroldirectorAward / grant527Form 4
2026-06-18Stephenson CaroldirectorAward / grant66Form 4
2026-06-18Elton Robert GeorgedirectorAward / grant964,758Form 4
2026-06-18KESSLER JAMES FRANCISdirectorAward / grant37680Form 4
2026-06-18KESSLER JAMES FRANCISdirectorAward / grant88624Form 4
2026-06-18Bales Brian AdirectorAward / grant66Form 4
2026-06-18KESSLER JAMES FRANCISdirectorAward / grant132132Form 4
2026-06-18LEWIS MICHAEL THOMAS STEVENofficerAward / grant10139Form 4
2026-06-18Bales Brian AdirectorAward / grant527Form 4
2026-06-18LEWIS MICHAEL THOMAS STEVENofficerAward / grant857Form 4
2026-06-18LEWIS MICHAEL THOMAS STEVENofficerAward / grant1212Form 4
2026-06-18Stein DeborahdirectorAward / grant873Form 4
2026-06-18Stein DeborahdirectorAward / grant527Form 4
2026-06-18Bales Brian AdirectorAward / grant873Form 4
2026-06-18Stein DeborahdirectorAward / grant66Form 4
2026-06-18Carlson ChristopherofficerAward / grant371Form 4
2026-06-18Bales Brian AdirectorAward / grant773Form 4
2026-06-18Guerin EricdirectorAward / grant2727Form 4
2026-06-18Harford ChloedirectorAward / grant66Form 4
2026-06-18DeWitt AdamdirectorAward / grant66Form 4
2026-06-18Carlson ChristopherofficerAward / grant214Form 4
2026-06-18Morrison Gregory BdirectorAward / grant66Form 4
2026-06-18Sieger Michael DdirectorAward / grant773Form 4
2026-06-18Sieger Michael DdirectorAward / grant66Form 4
2026-06-18Watt Darren JeffreyofficerAward / grant236Form 4
2026-06-18Watt Darren JeffreyofficerAward / grant324Form 4
2026-06-18Watt Darren JeffreyofficerAward / grant66Form 4
2026-06-18Schmit Jennifer LauraofficerAward / grant334Form 4
2026-06-18Schmit Jennifer LauraofficerAward / grant322Form 4
2026-06-18Schmit Jennifer LauraofficerAward / grant55Form 4
2026-06-18DeWitt AdamdirectorAward / grant25580Form 4
2026-06-18Elton Robert GeorgedirectorAward / grant735Form 4
2026-06-18Carlson ChristopherofficerAward / grant44Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.