Issued 2026-09-16 at $41.39 · now $41.39 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RAPP has typically landed between $30.81 and $58.08 — a range of −25.6% to +40.3% from the issuance price $41.39.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
548 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-06-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($41.39) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RAPP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $41.39 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $41.39 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $42.77 (+3.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $38.19–$47.36
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $30.81–$58.08
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 548 windows spanning 2024-06-07 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-01-30 | −57.1% | −57.1% | +6.7% |
| 2025-02-04 | −54.5% | −59.8% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-05 | −51.1% | −59.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-09-03 | +89.8% | −4.5% | +97.5% |
| 2025-08-18 | +87.5% | −2.4% | +92.1% |
| 2025-08-27 | +86.8% | −4.1% | +87.2% |
548 overlapping windows · 2024-06-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
0%
−9.9%
n=2
Feb
50%
−14.9%
n=2
Mar
50%
+3.9%
n=2
Apr
100%
+10.0%
n=2
May
50%
−4.3%
n=2
Jun
100%
+21.5%
n=2
Jul
33%
+7.4%
n=3
Aug
67%
+12.4%
n=3
Sep
33%
+15.9%
n=3
Oct
50%
+8.6%
n=2
Nov
50%
−2.1%
n=2
Dec
50%
−10.1%
n=2
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 7,141 @ $45.55 | $325K | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 460,046 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 1,069 @ $46.01 | $49K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 458,977 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Sale | 20,799 @ $50.31 | $1.0M | −8.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 212,063 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 18,921 @ $49.57 | $938K | −3.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 467,187 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Sale | 16,201 @ $51.06 | $827K | −7.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 195,862 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Sale | 13,160 @ $50.00 | $658K | −5.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 232,862 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Sale | 404 @ $49.90 | $20K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 246,022 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 19,500 @ $48.04 | $937K | −3.8% of holding | −9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 491,902 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 5,794 @ $48.62 | $282K | −1.2% of holding | −9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 486,108 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 3,664 @ $46.90 | $172K | −0.7% of holding | −9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 511,402 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 14,171 @ $45.97 | $651K | −2.6% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 523,436 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 8,370 @ $46.75 | $391K | −1.6% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 515,066 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 2,203 @ $42.11 | $93K | −0.4% of holding | +17.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 537,614 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 7 @ $42.73 | $299 | −0.0% of holding | +17.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 537,607 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-14 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 5,481 @ $39.72 | $218K | −1.0% of holding | +12.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 542,546 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-14 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 2,729 @ $40.57 | $111K | −0.5% of holding | +12.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 539,817 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Sale | 3,792 @ $41.39 | $157K | −2.4% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 154,222 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Sale | 3,308 @ $42.17 | $140K | −2.1% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 150,914 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Sale | 1,900 @ $40.09 | $76K | −1.2% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 158,014 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $43.15 | $43K | −0.7% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 149,914 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 7,344 @ $39.77 | $292K | −1.3% of holding | +2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 548,903 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 876 @ $40.34 | $35K | −0.2% of holding | +2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 548,027 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Third Rock Ventures V, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 18,572 @ $40.05 | $744K | −0.3% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,280,525 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Third Rock Ventures V, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 133,618 @ $40.24 | $5.4M | −2.1% of holding | −6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,299,097 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Third Rock Ventures V, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,018 @ $40.31 | $202K | −0.1% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,432,715 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Third Rock Ventures V, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 271,495 @ $40.12 | $10.9M | −4.0% of holding | −9.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,437,733 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | Third Rock Ventures V, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 426,005 @ $40.32 | $17.2M | −6.0% of holding | −15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,709,228 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Sale | 20,225 @ $39.99 | $809K | −7.6% of holding | −15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 246,426 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Sale | 10,200 @ $35.08 | $358K | −3.7% of holding | −1.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 266,651 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-13 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Sale | 9,165 @ $34.97 | $321K | −3.2% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 276,851 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-10 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Sale | 500 @ $34.98 | $17K | −0.2% of holding | +3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 286,016 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Sale | 360 @ $34.90 | $13K | −0.1% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 286,516 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Sale | 7,161 @ $28.04 | $201K | −4.2% of holding | +6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 162,753 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Sale | 2,839 @ $28.55 | $81K | −1.7% of holding | +6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 159,914 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Sale | 10,115 @ $29.99 | $303K | −3.4% of holding | +17.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 286,876 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Sale | 2,014 @ $28.93 | $58K | −1.2% of holding | +12.2% | +46.6% | 169,914 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 3,552 @ $29.05 | $103K | −0.6% of holding | −2.1% | +55.4% | 558,528 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 2,983 @ $29.04 | $87K | −11.6% of holding | −2.1% | +55.4% | 22,829 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 2,281 @ $29.80 | $68K | −0.4% of holding | −2.1% | +55.4% | 556,247 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 2,100 @ $29.80 | $63K | −9.2% of holding | −2.1% | +55.4% | 20,729 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Bredt David | officer | Sale | 5,400 @ $28.95 | $156K | −1.4% of holding | −5.7% | +55.7% | 389,275 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Bredt David | officer | Sale | 2,200 @ $29.59 | $65K | −0.6% of holding | −5.7% | +55.7% | 387,075 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Bredt David | officer | Sale | 900 @ $28.02 | $25K | −0.2% of holding | −5.7% | +55.7% | 394,675 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 5,833 @ $26.12 | $152K | −1.0% of holding | +14.5% | +48.3% | 562,080 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 5,083 @ $26.11 | $133K | −16.5% of holding | +14.5% | +48.3% | 25,812 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Bredt David | officer | Sale | 8,300 @ $26.83 | $223K | −2.1% of holding | +9.5% | +41.9% | 395,775 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Bredt David | officer | Sale | 200 @ $27.40 | $5K | −0.1% of holding | +9.5% | +41.9% | 395,575 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-31 | Bredt David | officer | Sale | 6,567 @ $30.05 | $197K | −1.6% of holding | −10.5% | +16.4% | 404,075 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-31 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Sale | 2,840 @ $30.05 | $85K | −0.9% of holding | −10.5% | +16.4% | 296,991 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 2,792 @ $30.04 | $84K | −0.5% of holding | −10.7% | +21.4% | 568,513 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 2,421 @ $30.04 | $73K | −7.2% of holding | −10.7% | +21.4% | 31,410 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 2,441 @ $28.84 | $70K | −0.4% of holding | −10.7% | +21.4% | 571,305 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 2,147 @ $28.84 | $62K | −6.0% of holding | −10.7% | +21.4% | 33,831 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 600 @ $31.04 | $19K | −0.1% of holding | −10.7% | +21.4% | 567,913 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Sale | 515 @ $31.04 | $16K | −1.6% of holding | −10.7% | +21.4% | 30,895 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Bredt David | officer | Sale | 7,704 @ $29.95 | $231K | −1.9% of holding | −11.2% | +15.1% | 393,438 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Bredt David | officer | Sale | 796 @ $30.68 | $24K | −0.2% of holding | −11.2% | +15.1% | 392,642 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $30.10 | $150K | −2.8% of holding | +1.3% | +13.9% | 171,928 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Bredt David | officer | Sale | 5,344 @ $25.39 | $136K | −1.3% of holding | +13.4% | +30.3% | 401,142 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Bredt David | officer | Sale | 3,156 @ $24.84 | $78K | −0.8% of holding | +13.4% | +30.3% | 406,486 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
39 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | PAUL STEVEN M | director | Award / grant | 15,200 | 15,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | HEALY JAMES | director | Award / grant | 15,200 | 15,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Huber Reid M | director | Award / grant | 15,200 | 15,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | MARAGANORE JOHN | director | Award / grant | 15,200 | 15,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | PEREZ ROBERT J | director | Award / grant | 15,200 | 15,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Sanchez Ramiro | director | Award / grant | 15,200 | 15,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Young Wendy B. | director | Award / grant | 15,200 | 15,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Silva Paul M | director | Award / grant | 15,200 | 15,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Bredt David | officer | Option exercise | 6,000 | 393,075 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Bredt David | officer | Option exercise | 6,000 | 88,080 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Award / grant | 132,000 | 132,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Award / grant | 428,000 | 428,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Ignelzi Troy A. | director | Award / grant | 148,000 | 148,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Award / grant | 120,000 | 120,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Bredt David | officer | Award / grant | 103,000 | 103,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Sevigny Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 130,000 | 130,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Award / grant | 9,000 | 299,831 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Bredt David | officer | Award / grant | 18,000 | 410,642 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Award / grant | 9,000 | 299,831 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Bredt David | officer | Award / grant | 18,000 | 410,642 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-26 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 176,928 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-26 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 105,407 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-08 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 176,928 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-08 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 110,407 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | PAUL STEVEN M | director | Award / grant | 21,850 | 21,850 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | MARAGANORE JOHN | director | Award / grant | 21,850 | 21,850 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | Young Wendy B. | director | Award / grant | 10,925 | 10,925 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | PEREZ ROBERT J | director | Award / grant | 10,925 | 10,925 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | Sanchez Ramiro | director | Award / grant | 10,925 | 10,925 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | HEALY JAMES | director | Award / grant | 21,850 | 21,850 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | Huber Reid M | director | Award / grant | 21,850 | 21,850 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | Silva Paul M | director | Award / grant | 10,925 | 10,925 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Sevigny Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 300,000 | 300,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Award / grant | 13,987 | 171,928 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Ceesay Abraham | director | Award / grant | 428,000 | 428,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Gault Cheryl | officer | Award / grant | 129,000 | 129,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Bredt David | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Ignelzi Troy A. | director | Award / grant | 142,000 | 142,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Yeleswaram Krishnaswamy | officer | Award / grant | 110,000 | 110,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.