Issued 2026-09-16 at $42.49 · now $42.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, QURE has typically landed between $29.84 and $64.58 — a range of −29.8% to +52.0% from the issuance price $42.49.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,146 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-02-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($42.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where QURE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $42.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $42.49 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $40.84 (-3.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $35.5–$46.19
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $29.84–$64.58
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,146 windows spanning 2014-02-05 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-02-02 | −63.4% | −63.4% | +12.6% |
| 2025-10-31 | −62.6% | −62.6% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-03 | −61.7% | −67.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-09-19 | +354.7% | −1.5% | +360.9% |
| 2025-09-23 | +334.3% | +0.0% | +367.9% |
| 2025-09-18 | +333.6% | −7.3% | +333.6% |
3,146 overlapping windows · 2014-02-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
25%
−0.9%
n=12
Feb
50%
+3.3%
n=12
Mar
31%
−4.6%
n=13
Apr
46%
+3.4%
n=13
May
69%
+7.3%
n=13
Jun
46%
+3.9%
n=13
Jul
23%
+2.6%
n=13
Aug
54%
+1.4%
n=13
Sep
23%
+10.3%
n=13
Oct
50%
+6.0%
n=12
Nov
75%
+6.2%
n=12
Dec
25%
+12.5%
n=12
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 9,200 @ $44.43 | $409K | −1.7% of holding | +3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 531,109 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 7,600 @ $45.89 | $349K | −1.4% of holding | +3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 519,227 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 4,282 @ $45.43 | $195K | −0.8% of holding | +3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 526,827 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Abi-Saab Walid | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $46.40 | $928K | −11.9% of holding | −7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 148,235 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Kaye Jack | director | Sale | 17,060 @ $46.43 | $792K | −39.6% of holding | −7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,996 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Abi-Saab Walid | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $46.46 | $465K | −5.6% of holding | −7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 168,235 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Kaye Jack | director | Sale | 4,107 @ $46.49 | $191K | −13.6% of holding | −7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,996 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Abi-Saab Walid | officer | Sale | 1,434 @ $46.86 | $67K | −0.8% of holding | −24.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 168,235 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 28,716 @ $50.02 | $1.4M | −5.2% of holding | −22.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 519,227 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 6,696 @ $50.00 | $335K | −1.3% of holding | −21.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 519,227 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 37,015 @ $50.00 | $1.9M | −6.6% of holding | −13.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 521,795 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 4,656 @ $50.00 | $233K | −0.8% of holding | −13.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 558,810 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 56,929 @ $43.43 | $2.5M | −8.6% of holding | +47.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 603,729 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 33,334 @ $45.01 | $1.5M | −5.5% of holding | +47.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 570,395 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 32,581 @ $45.02 | $1.5M | −4.7% of holding | +47.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 660,658 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 23,977 @ $42.61 | $1.0M | −3.3% of holding | +47.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 699,262 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 11,585 @ $48.65 | $564K | −2.0% of holding | +47.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 558,810 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 6,023 @ $43.70 | $263K | −0.9% of holding | +47.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 693,239 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Sale | 5,295 @ $47.08 | $249K | −9.6% of holding | +47.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,644 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Kaye Jack | director | Sale | 5,295 @ $42.57 | $225K | −16.9% of holding | +47.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,996 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Sale | 4,700 @ $43.66 | $205K | −9.5% of holding | +47.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 44,944 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Sale | 1,690 @ $42.60 | $72K | −3.8% of holding | +47.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,254 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $27.85 | $279K | −18.8% of holding | +45.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,254 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Potts Jeannette | officer | Sale | 5,237 @ $27.67 | $145K | −3.8% of holding | +45.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 133,246 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | O'Keefe Kylie | officer | Sale | 15,936 @ $27.06 | $431K | −12.8% of holding | +50.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 108,864 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Gut Robert | director | Sale | 2,726 @ $27.06 | $74K | −7.8% of holding | +50.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,259 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Sale | 1,993 @ $27.06 | $54K | −4.4% of holding | +50.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,254 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Jacques Rachelle Suzanne | director | Sale | 1,993 @ $27.06 | $54K | −5.6% of holding | +50.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,903 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Kaye Jack | director | Sale | 1,993 @ $27.06 | $54K | −7.1% of holding | +50.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,996 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Meek David D. | director | Sale | 1,993 @ $27.06 | $54K | −4.8% of holding | +50.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 39,747 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | POST LEONARD E | director | Sale | 1,993 @ $27.06 | $54K | −5.3% of holding | +50.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,494 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Springhorn Jeremy P. | director | Sale | 1,993 @ $27.06 | $54K | −4.4% of holding | +50.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,251 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Gut Robert | director | Sale | 3,127 @ $26.03 | $81K | −9.7% of holding | +50.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,215 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Gut Robert | director | Sale | 2,645 @ $26.07 | $69K | −7.6% of holding | +50.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,342 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Gut Robert | director | Sale | 1,780 @ $26.05 | $46K | −6.1% of holding | +50.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,435 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Kaye Jack | director | Sale | 2,645 @ $30.01 | $79K | −11.5% of holding | +39.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,439 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Abi-Saab Walid | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $25.10 | $628K | −11.6% of holding | −4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 189,669 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Abi-Saab Walid | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $25.00 | $500K | −10.5% of holding | −4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 169,669 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 14,581 @ $9.06 | $132K | −2.2% of holding | +93.8% | +382.8% | 660,658 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | KLEMT CHRISTIAN | officer | Sale | 12,000 @ $9.06 | $109K | −5.0% of holding | +93.8% | +382.8% | 226,581 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Potts Jeannette | officer | Sale | 3,412 @ $9.06 | $31K | −2.4% of holding | +93.8% | +382.8% | 138,483 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Abi-Saab Walid | officer | Sale | 808 @ $9.06 | $7K | −0.4% of holding | +93.8% | +382.8% | 189,669 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 34,437 @ $9.95 | $343K | −5.4% of holding | +60.7% | +344.2% | 604,639 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | KLEMT CHRISTIAN | officer | Sale | 12,532 @ $9.95 | $125K | −5.9% of holding | +60.7% | +344.2% | 198,981 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Potts Jeannette | officer | Sale | 8,578 @ $9.95 | $85K | −7.5% of holding | +60.7% | +344.2% | 106,495 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Abi-Saab Walid | officer | Sale | 1,660 @ $9.95 | $17K | −1.1% of holding | +60.7% | +344.2% | 148,777 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 12,378 @ $23.86 | $295K | −1.9% of holding | −30.6% | +87.4% | 639,076 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | KLEMT CHRISTIAN | officer | Sale | 6,217 @ $23.86 | $148K | −2.9% of holding | −30.6% | +87.4% | 211,513 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-12 | Gut Robert | director | Sale | 17,310 @ $24.39 | $422K | −29.9% of holding | +5.1% | +62.3% | 40,645 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-12 | Gut Robert | director | Sale | 7,803 @ $25.09 | $196K | −19.4% of holding | +5.1% | +62.3% | 32,342 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-12 | Gut Robert | director | Sale | 500 @ $25.03 | $13K | −1.2% of holding | +5.1% | +62.3% | 40,145 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-09 | Kaye Jack | director | Sale | 6,390 @ $27.28 | $174K | −23.8% of holding | −2.1% | +52.6% | 20,439 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Gut Robert | director | Sale | 15,840 @ $27.22 | $431K | −22.1% of holding | −22.9% | −10.4% | 55,739 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Gut Robert | director | Sale | 15,594 @ $27.30 | $426K | −28.0% of holding | −22.9% | −10.4% | 40,145 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | Kaye Jack | director | Sale | 17,810 @ $30.33 | $540K | −46.6% of holding | −26.7% | −29.6% | 20,439 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | Kaye Jack | director | Sale | 11,000 @ $30.34 | $334K | −35.0% of holding | −26.7% | −29.6% | 20,439 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | Kaye Jack | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $30.36 | $304K | −32.9% of holding | −26.7% | −29.6% | 20,439 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-26 | KLEMT CHRISTIAN | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $55.00 | $825K | −6.4% of holding | +21.5% | −68.9% | 217,730 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-24 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 60,000 @ $45.10 | $2.7M | −8.4% of holding | +333.0% | +16.4% | 651,454 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-24 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Sale | 60,000 @ $40.04 | $2.4M | −7.3% of holding | +333.0% | +16.4% | 766,454 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
102 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Option exercise | 21,082 | 540,309 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Option exercise | 21,082 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Kaye Jack | director | Option exercise | 17,060 | 43,056 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Kaye Jack | director | Option exercise | 4,107 | 30,103 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Abi-Saab Walid | officer | Option exercise | 10,000 | 178,235 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Abi-Saab Walid | officer | Option exercise | 10,000 | 50,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Kaye Jack | director | Option exercise | 4,107 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Kaye Jack | director | Option exercise | 17,060 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Option exercise | 28,716 | 547,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Option exercise | 28,716 | 45,862 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Option exercise | 4,128 | 525,923 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Option exercise | 4,128 | 74,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Option exercise | 4,656 | 563,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Option exercise | 4,656 | 78,706 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Option exercise | 62,581 | 723,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Kaye Jack | director | Option exercise | 5,295 | 31,291 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Option exercise | 5,295 | 48,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Option exercise | 6,390 | 54,939 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Option exercise | 5,295 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Option exercise | 6,390 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Kaye Jack | director | Option exercise | 5,295 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Kapusta Matthew C | director | Option exercise | 62,581 | 21,082 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Option exercise | 10,000 | 53,254 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Option exercise | 10,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Gut Robert | director | Option exercise | 2,645 | 34,987 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Jacques Rachelle Suzanne | director | Award / grant | 13,980 | 13,980 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kaye Jack | director | Award / grant | 7,550 | 27,989 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kaye Jack | director | Award / grant | 13,980 | 13,980 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Meek David D. | director | Award / grant | 7,550 | 41,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Meek David D. | director | Award / grant | 13,980 | 13,980 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | POST LEONARD E | director | Award / grant | 7,550 | 37,487 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Award / grant | 13,980 | 13,980 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Gut Robert | director | Option exercise | 2,645 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Gut Robert | director | Award / grant | 13,980 | 13,980 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Jacques Rachelle Suzanne | director | Award / grant | 7,550 | 35,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | POST LEONARD E | director | Award / grant | 13,980 | 13,980 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Springhorn Jeremy P. | director | Award / grant | 7,550 | 45,244 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Springhorn Jeremy P. | director | Award / grant | 13,980 | 13,980 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Balachandran Madhavan | director | Award / grant | 7,550 | 45,247 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Gut Robert | director | Award / grant | 7,550 | 34,985 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.