QUAD · TickerCove

QUADQuad/Graphics, Inc.Industrials · Specialty Business Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.63 · now $9.63 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, QUAD has typically landed between $7.58 and $12.49 — a range of −21.3% to +29.7% from the issuance price $9.63.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,054 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-07-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.63) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$9.63 · 79% of range

$5.04 low$10.85 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+2.1%

typical move · IQR 20.2%

−21.3%worst (p90)+29.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where QUAD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.63 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $9.63 (+0.0%)
typical $9.83 (+2.1%)
middle 50% $8.86–$10.8
90% range $7.58–$12.49

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,054 windows spanning 2010-07-06 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2019-10-22	−64.2%	−64.2%	+5.2%
2019-10-21	−62.5%	−62.5%	+7.8%
2019-10-23	−62.5%	−64.8%	+3.4%
3 best
2022-10-21	+62.4%	+0.0%	+62.4%
2022-10-24	+61.8%	+0.0%	+61.8%
2016-05-03	+60.5%	+0.0%	+60.5%

4,054 overlapping windows · 2010-07-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+0.5%

n=16

Feb

75%

+10.3%

n=16

Mar

25%

−6.0%

n=16

Apr

31%

−1.3%

n=16

May

38%

−3.4%

n=16

Jun

69%

+5.5%

n=16

Jul

44%

+6.1%

n=16

Aug

53%

+1.1%

n=17

Sep

24%

−3.4%

n=17

Oct

50%

−2.7%

n=16

Nov

56%

+2.5%

n=16

Dec

56%

+3.8%

n=16

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

88 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-31	Huet Melanie Arlene	director	Disposition	28,543	58,750	Form 4
2026-07-31	Fowler John C	director	Disposition	26,000	245,104	Form 4
2026-07-31	McKenna Donald M	officer	Disposition	12,289	162,779	Form 4
2026-05-27	Flores Kathryn Quadracci	director	Disposition	9,692	74,313	Form 4
2026-05-26	Flores Kathryn Quadracci	director	Disposition	17,735	84,005	Form 4
2026-05-20	Eason Beth-Ann	director	Award / grant	19,178	86,321	Form 4
2026-05-20	Flores Kathryn Quadracci	director	Award / grant	19,178	101,740	Form 4
2026-05-20	Fowler John C	director	Award / grant	19,178	268,220	Form 4
2026-05-20	Fuller Stephen M.	director	Award / grant	19,178	225,503	Form 4
2026-05-20	Harned Christopher B	director	Award / grant	19,178	300,533	Form 4
2026-05-20	Huet Melanie Arlene	director	Award / grant	19,178	86,725	Form 4
2026-05-20	Buth Douglas P	director	Award / grant	19,178	165,950	Form 4
2026-05-20	Rothman Jay O.	director	Award / grant	19,178	218,852	Form 4
2026-05-01	Eason Beth-Ann	director	Disposition	30,738	67,143	Form 4
2026-05-01	Flores Kathryn Quadracci	director	Disposition	7,675	82,562	Form 4
2026-03-06	Flores Kathryn Quadracci	director	Disposition	10,655	89,363	Form 4
2026-03-02	Jaeger Steven D	officer	Disposition	8,205	130,148	Form 4
2026-03-01	Quadracci J Joel	director	Withheld for tax	176,536	2,424,441	Form 4
2026-03-01	Honan David J	officer	Withheld for tax	73,557	697,501	Form 4
2026-03-01	Vanderboom Kelly A	officer	Withheld for tax	25,407	319,556	Form 4
2026-03-01	Staniak Anthony	officer	Withheld for tax	21,463	387,498	Form 4
2026-03-01	McKenna Donald M	officer	Withheld for tax	20,122	175,068	Form 4
2026-03-01	Currie Julie A	officer	Withheld for tax	13,101	175,638	Form 4
2026-03-01	Gruen Dana B.	officer	Withheld for tax	10,508	205,847	Form 4
2026-03-01	Jaeger Steven D	officer	Withheld for tax	10,423	138,353	Form 4
2026-03-01	Gruen Dana B.	officer	Withheld for tax	8,694	197,153	Form 4
2026-03-01	Flores Kathryn Quadracci	director	Withheld for tax	7,232	100,018	Form 4
2026-03-01	BAUER ANNE M	officer	Withheld for tax	5,526	53,281	Form 4
2026-03-01	Quadracci Robert H	officer	Withheld for tax	4,883	168,263	Form 4
2026-03-01	Quadracci Robert H	officer	Withheld for tax	2,862	165,401	Form 4
2026-03-01	Honan David J	officer	Award / grant	38,820	736,321	Form 4
2026-02-23	Buth Douglas P	director	Disposition	20,000	146,013	Form 4
2026-02-20	Flores Kathryn Quadracci	director	Disposition	11,633	107,250	Form 4
2026-02-20	McKenna Donald M	officer	Disposition	7,927	195,190	Form 4
2026-02-01	McKenna Donald M	officer	Award / grant	16,695	203,117	Form 4
2026-01-01	Quadracci Robert H	officer	Award / grant	46,849	173,146	Form 4
2026-01-01	Golden Joshua J	officer	Award / grant	42,590	157,469	Form 4
2026-01-01	BAUER ANNE M	officer	Award / grant	11,500	58,807	Form 4
2026-01-01	Currie Julie A	officer	Award / grant	42,590	188,739	Form 4
2026-01-01	Vanderboom Kelly A	officer	Award / grant	76,661	344,963	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i