Issued 2026-09-16 at $59.55 · now $59.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, QTWO has typically landed between $46.59 and $72.14 — a range of −21.8% to +21.1% from the issuance price $59.55.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,121 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-03-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($59.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where QTWO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $59.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $59.55 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $59.73 (+0.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $54.44–$65.03
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $46.59–$72.14
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,121 windows spanning 2014-03-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-13 | −42.4% | −42.4% | +1.3% |
| 2020-02-18 | −39.9% | −42.0% | +2.1% |
| 2020-02-21 | −38.8% | −40.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2014-05-09 | +47.4% | +0.0% | +49.4% |
| 2020-04-01 | +42.9% | +0.0% | +48.7% |
| 2020-04-03 | +41.9% | +0.0% | +44.5% |
3,121 overlapping windows · 2014-03-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
+1.0%
n=12
Feb
42%
−0.0%
n=12
Mar
33%
−3.5%
n=12
Apr
46%
+2.2%
n=13
May
77%
+6.3%
n=13
Jun
69%
+2.8%
n=13
Jul
77%
+5.6%
n=13
Aug
54%
+1.2%
n=13
Sep
23%
−5.5%
n=13
Oct
25%
−2.9%
n=12
Nov
83%
+10.9%
n=12
Dec
33%
−0.2%
n=12
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Sale | 636 @ $60.96 | $39K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 80,739 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-13 | Price Jonathan | officer | Sale | 77,180 @ $65.71 | $5.1M | −27.1% of holding | −4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 207,633 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Rutledge Kimberly Anne | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $63.07 | $631K | −8.1% of holding | −4.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 113,913 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Sale | 3,603 @ $43.48 | $157K | −1.1% of holding | +15.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 329,658 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Sale | 20,894 @ $49.50 | $1.0M | −6.5% of holding | −3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 298,366 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Sale | 397 @ $44.98 | $18K | −0.5% of holding | −3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 81,375 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-11 | Breeden John E | officer | Sale | 8,924 @ $50.34 | $449K | −10.6% of holding | −9.9% | +6.8% | 75,312 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Rutledge Kimberly Anne | officer | Sale | 3,187 @ $50.37 | $161K | −3.8% of holding | −9.9% | +6.8% | 80,551 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Sale | 2,071 @ $50.33 | $104K | −4.4% of holding | −9.9% | +6.8% | 45,156 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Flake Matthew P | director | Sale | 20,613 @ $51.35 | $1.1M | −4.1% of holding | −8.5% | +0.9% | 483,202 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Sale | 10,849 @ $51.35 | $557K | −4.1% of holding | −8.5% | +0.9% | 251,808 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Price Jonathan | officer | Sale | 8,680 @ $51.35 | $446K | −4.4% of holding | −8.5% | +0.9% | 188,455 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Breeden John E | officer | Sale | 6,076 @ $51.35 | $312K | −6.7% of holding | −8.5% | +0.9% | 84,236 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-09 | Rutledge Kimberly Anne | officer | Sale | 4,340 @ $51.35 | $223K | −4.9% of holding | −8.5% | +0.9% | 83,738 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-09 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Sale | 2,821 @ $51.35 | $145K | −5.6% of holding | −8.5% | +0.9% | 47,227 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-09 | Mukkamala Himagiri K | officer | Sale | 1,343 @ $51.35 | $69K | −1.4% of holding | −8.5% | +0.9% | 92,910 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Breeden John E | officer | Sale | 68,707 @ $51.73 | $3.6M | −43.2% of holding | −3.4% | +9.0% | 90,312 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Rutledge Kimberly Anne | officer | Sale | 20,948 @ $51.66 | $1.1M | −19.2% of holding | −3.4% | +9.0% | 88,078 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Sale | 9,554 @ $51.66 | $494K | −16.0% of holding | −3.4% | +9.0% | 50,048 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Flake Matthew P | director | Sale | 91,590 @ $49.75 | $4.6M | −15.4% of holding | −0.5% | +15.8% | 503,815 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-04 | Breeden John E | officer | Sale | 33,445 @ $49.75 | $1.7M | −17.4% of holding | −0.5% | +15.8% | 159,019 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-04 | Price Jonathan | officer | Sale | 32,156 @ $49.75 | $1.6M | −14.0% of holding | −0.5% | +15.8% | 197,135 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-04 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Sale | 31,104 @ $49.75 | $1.5M | −10.6% of holding | −0.5% | +15.8% | 262,657 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-04 | Rutledge Kimberly Anne | officer | Sale | 19,924 @ $49.75 | $991K | −15.5% of holding | −0.5% | +15.8% | 109,026 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-04 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Sale | 7,157 @ $49.75 | $356K | −10.7% of holding | −0.5% | +15.8% | 59,602 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-04 | Mukkamala Himagiri K | officer | Sale | 1,793 @ $49.75 | $89K | −1.9% of holding | −0.5% | +15.8% | 94,253 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-03 | Flake Matthew P | director | Sale | 26,921 @ $49.72 | $1.3M | −4.8% of holding | −2.8% | +13.9% | 529,803 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Breeden John E | officer | Sale | 8,521 @ $49.72 | $424K | −4.8% of holding | −2.8% | +13.9% | 167,818 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Sale | 7,752 @ $49.72 | $385K | −2.8% of holding | −2.8% | +13.9% | 272,015 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Price Jonathan | officer | Sale | 7,680 @ $49.72 | $382K | −3.6% of holding | −2.8% | +13.9% | 207,545 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Rutledge Kimberly Anne | officer | Sale | 3,905 @ $49.72 | $194K | −3.3% of holding | −2.8% | +13.9% | 114,452 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Sale | 1,550 @ $49.72 | $77K | −2.5% of holding | −2.8% | +13.9% | 60,960 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Sale | 12,917 @ $52.48 | $678K | −4.8% of holding | −3.0% | +6.5% | 256,211 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Volanoski Michael A. | officer | Sale | 5,123 @ $75.46 | $387K | −3.0% of holding | −10.2% | −50.8% | 166,512 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-10 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Sale | 8,559 @ $73.68 | $631K | −3.1% of holding | −8.6% | −49.6% | 269,128 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Volanoski Michael A. | officer | Sale | 4,177 @ $73.68 | $308K | −2.4% of holding | −8.6% | −49.6% | 171,635 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Mukkamala Himagiri K | officer | Sale | 3,024 @ $73.68 | $223K | −3.1% of holding | −8.6% | −49.6% | 96,046 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Offerdahl James | director | Sale | 794 @ $70.84 | $56K | −4.5% of holding | −0.1% | −47.6% | 16,998 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Sale | 967 @ $82.60 | $80K | −1.7% of holding | −25.5% | −42.2% | 56,228 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-11 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Sale | 641 @ $82.65 | $53K | −1.1% of holding | −24.3% | −42.9% | 57,195 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Sale | 39,508 @ $80.93 | $3.2M | −12.5% of holding | −26.8% | −44.0% | 277,687 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Sale | 5,985 @ $80.04 | $479K | −1.9% of holding | −6.5% | −47.6% | 317,195 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Breeden John E | officer | Sale | 6,105 @ $75.27 | $460K | −3.9% of holding | +7.1% | −38.2% | 149,643 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Offerdahl James | director | Sale | 786 @ $74.15 | $58K | −4.2% of holding | +7.8% | −32.9% | 17,792 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Sale | 605 @ $86.33 | $52K | −1.0% of holding | −0.4% | −30.6% | 57,836 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-12 | Volanoski Michael A. | officer | Sale | 1,428 @ $88.88 | $127K | −0.8% of holding | −2.8% | −29.5% | 175,812 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Sale | 3,574 @ $90.55 | $324K | −1.1% of holding | −5.1% | −32.2% | 323,180 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Volanoski Michael A. | officer | Sale | 1,166 @ $90.55 | $106K | −0.7% of holding | −5.1% | −32.2% | 177,240 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Sale | 7,093 @ $87.45 | $620K | −2.1% of holding | +0.3% | −33.1% | 326,754 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-22 | Offerdahl James | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $87.77 | $88K | −5.8% of holding | +4.8% | −32.7% | 16,241 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Sale | 397 @ $92.90 | $37K | −0.7% of holding | −8.3% | −37.1% | 58,441 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | Flake Matthew P | director | Sale | 36,023 @ $80.35 | $2.9M | −6.9% of holding | −2.4% | −36.2% | 485,666 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Sale | 13,733 @ $74.34 | $1.0M | −18.9% of holding | +3.4% | −8.9% | 58,838 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-13 | Flake Matthew P | director | Sale | 57,025 @ $72.90 | $4.2M | −9.9% of holding | +5.2% | −7.5% | 521,689 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-13 | Breeden John E | officer | Sale | 24,085 @ $72.91 | $1.8M | −13.4% of holding | +5.2% | −7.5% | 155,748 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-13 | Volanoski Michael A. | officer | Sale | 19,560 @ $72.90 | $1.4M | −9.9% of holding | +5.2% | −7.5% | 178,406 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-13 | Price Jonathan | officer | Sale | 17,709 @ $72.89 | $1.3M | −8.5% of holding | +5.2% | −7.5% | 191,669 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-13 | Rutledge Kimberly Anne | officer | Sale | 10,625 @ $73.20 | $778K | −9.4% of holding | +5.2% | −7.5% | 102,653 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-12 | Flake Matthew P | director | Sale | 35,723 @ $74.12 | $2.6M | −5.8% of holding | +2.4% | −8.5% | 578,714 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-12 | Price Jonathan | officer | Sale | 17,147 @ $74.39 | $1.3M | −7.1% of holding | +2.4% | −8.5% | 223,789 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
83 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | TAYLOR MARGARET | director | Award / grant | 4,741 | 25,727 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Mintz Andre L | director | Award / grant | 4,741 | 7,676 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Tyson Lynn Antipas | director | Award / grant | 4,741 | 18,741 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Atchison Rebecca Lynn | director | Award / grant | 4,741 | 26,981 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Hooley Stephen C | director | Award / grant | 4,741 | 25,523 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Offerdahl James | director | Award / grant | 4,741 | 21,739 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Award / grant | 17,934 | 333,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Award / grant | 16,961 | 315,327 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Award / grant | 7,322 | 70,786 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Award / grant | 7,322 | 78,108 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Award / grant | 3,664 | 81,772 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Flake Matthew P | director | Award / grant | 96,358 | 579,560 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Flake Matthew P | director | Award / grant | 38,542 | 618,102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Flake Matthew P | director | Award / grant | 38,542 | 656,644 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Flake Matthew P | director | Award / grant | 19,274 | 675,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Price Jonathan | officer | Award / grant | 48,179 | 236,634 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Price Jonathan | officer | Award / grant | 19,272 | 255,906 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Price Jonathan | officer | Award / grant | 19,272 | 275,178 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Price Jonathan | officer | Award / grant | 9,635 | 284,813 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Rutledge Kimberly Anne | officer | Award / grant | 21,681 | 102,232 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Breeden John E | officer | Award / grant | 28,908 | 104,220 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Breeden John E | officer | Award / grant | 11,562 | 115,782 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Breeden John E | officer | Award / grant | 11,562 | 127,344 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Breeden John E | officer | Award / grant | 5,784 | 133,128 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Rutledge Kimberly Anne | officer | Award / grant | 8,672 | 110,904 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Rutledge Kimberly Anne | officer | Award / grant | 8,672 | 119,576 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Rutledge Kimberly Anne | officer | Award / grant | 4,337 | 123,913 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Mukkamala Himagiri K | officer | Award / grant | 38,544 | 131,454 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Mukkamala Himagiri K | officer | Award / grant | 15,418 | 146,872 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Mukkamala Himagiri K | officer | Award / grant | 15,418 | 162,290 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Mukkamala Himagiri K | officer | Award / grant | 7,708 | 169,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Award / grant | 33,726 | 285,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Award / grant | 13,490 | 299,024 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Award / grant | 13,490 | 312,514 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Award / grant | 6,746 | 319,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Kerr Michael S | officer | Award / grant | 18,308 | 63,464 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Breeden John E | officer | Award / grant | 24,646 | 192,464 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Flake Matthew P | director | Award / grant | 65,602 | 595,405 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Coleman Kirk L | officer | Award / grant | 21,746 | 293,761 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Price Jonathan | officer | Award / grant | 21,746 | 229,291 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.