QTRX · TickerCove

QTRXQuanterix CorporationHealthcare · Medical - Devicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.91 · now $2.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, QTRX has typically landed between $2.02 and $3.79 — a range of −30.7% to +30.2% from the issuance price $2.91.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,183 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-12-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$2.91 · 9% of range

$2.42 low$8.06 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−4.4%

typical move · IQR 25.8%

−30.7%worst (p90)+30.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where QTRX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $2.91 (+0.0%)
typical $2.78 (-4.4%)
middle 50% $2.41–$3.16
90% range $2.02–$3.79

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,183 windows spanning 2017-12-07 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−59.8%	−59.8%	+3.5%
2022-07-11	−58.5%	−58.5%	+7.3%
2022-07-12	−52.9%	−58.9%	+6.1%
3 best
2020-03-18	+112.2%	+0.0%	+112.2%
2020-03-25	+82.7%	+0.0%	+82.7%
2020-12-18	+82.5%	+0.0%	+82.5%

2,183 overlapping windows · 2017-12-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

44%

+0.7%

n=9

Feb

67%

+0.2%

n=9

Mar

22%

−14.4%

n=9

Apr

33%

−3.5%

n=9

May

44%

+3.2%

n=9

Jun

56%

+9.6%

n=9

Jul

44%

−0.5%

n=9

Aug

33%

−9.9%

n=9

Sep

56%

+5.6%

n=9

Oct

50%

−4.0%

n=8

Nov

75%

+10.6%

n=8

Dec

50%

−0.4%

n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-13	DONNELLY WILLIAM P	director	Purchase	72,245 @ $2.93	$212K	+266.0% of holding	−10.4%	not yet — horizon still open	99,400	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12	DONNELLY WILLIAM P	director	Purchase	27,155 @ $2.75	$75K	ownership Δ n/a	−11.6%	not yet — horizon still open	27,155	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Meadows Benjamin	officer	Purchase	3,500 @ $2.77	$10K	ownership Δ n/a	+4.2%	not yet — horizon still open	3,500	Form 4 · filed 31 days after the trade
2025-09-12	Sriram Vandana	officer	Purchase	4,150 @ $4.79	$20K	+5.0% of holding	+21.1%	−4.4%	87,200	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

296 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Withheld for tax	249	38,452	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Withheld for tax	111	37,867	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Withheld for tax	41	37,512	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Withheld for tax	41	37,606	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Withheld for tax	25	37,417	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	834	24,189	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	81	436	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	136	845	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	135	2,306	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	372	7,457	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	834	38,701	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	834	38,701	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	136	37,553	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	372	37,978	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	372	37,978	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	81	37,442	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	135	37,647	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	81	37,442	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	135	37,647	Form 4
2026-09-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	136	37,553	Form 4
2026-08-31	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Withheld for tax	48	37,361	Form 4
2026-08-31	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	159	0	Form 4
2026-08-31	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	159	37,409	Form 4
2026-08-31	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	159	37,409	Form 4
2026-08-31	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	159	37,409	Form 4
2026-08-31	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Option exercise	159	37,409	Form 4
2026-08-19	Elliott Jeffrey Thomas	director	Option exercise	3,955	4,075	Form 4
2026-08-19	Elliott Jeffrey Thomas	director	Option exercise	3,955	15,345	Form 4
2026-08-19	Elliott Jeffrey Thomas	director	Option exercise	3,955	15,345	Form 4
2026-08-19	Elliott Jeffrey Thomas	director	Option exercise	3,955	15,345	Form 4
2026-08-19	Elliott Jeffrey Thomas	director	Option exercise	3,955	15,345	Form 4
2026-08-17	DONNELLY WILLIAM P	director	Option exercise	2,802	0	Form 4
2026-08-17	DONNELLY WILLIAM P	director	Option exercise	2,802	162,401	Form 4
2026-08-17	DONNELLY WILLIAM P	director	Option exercise	2,802	162,401	Form 4
2026-08-17	DONNELLY WILLIAM P	director	Option exercise	2,802	162,401	Form 4
2026-08-17	DONNELLY WILLIAM P	director	Option exercise	2,802	162,401	Form 4
2026-08-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Withheld for tax	249	37,250	Form 4
2026-08-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Withheld for tax	111	36,665	Form 4
2026-08-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Withheld for tax	41	36,310	Form 4
2026-08-15	Miller Michael Francis	officer	Withheld for tax	41	36,404	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i