Issued 2026-09-16 at $18.40 · now $18.40 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, QNST has typically landed between $14.79 and $22.72 — a range of −19.6% to +23.5% from the issuance price $18.40.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,153 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-02-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($18.40) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where QNST has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $18.4 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $18.4 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $18.63 (+1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $16.97–$20.29
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $14.79–$22.72
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −57.9% | −57.9% | +0.4% |
| 2020-02-21 | −56.7% | −58.1% | +0.0% |
| 2023-04-10 | −53.9% | −53.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2017-08-22 | +61.1% | +0.0% | +61.1% |
| 2016-11-17 | +61.0% | +0.0% | +61.0% |
| 2017-08-21 | +57.6% | +0.0% | +57.6% |
4,153 overlapping windows · 2010-02-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Wong Gregory | officer | Sale | 11,704 @ $20.44 | $239K | −2.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 481,786 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-17 | Ahmed Asmau | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $20.30 | $203K | −28.6% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,979 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Ahmed Asmau | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $20.85 | $313K | −30.0% of holding | −8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,979 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Ahmed Asmau | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $20.43 | $204K | −16.7% of holding | −10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,979 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Ahmed Asmau | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $20.79 | $104K | −7.7% of holding | −12.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,979 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Valenti Douglas | director | Sale | 751,631 @ $20.50 | $15.4M | −43.0% of holding | −13.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 996,278 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Wong Gregory | officer | Sale | 26,296 @ $20.09 | $528K | −4.8% of holding | −13.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 521,883 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Wong Gregory | officer | Sale | 10,338 @ $15.00 | $155K | −2.6% of holding | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 390,344 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Wong Gregory | officer | Sale | 22,057 @ $12.19 | $269K | −5.2% of holding | +39.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 400,682 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | Wong Gregory | officer | Sale | 8,516 @ $22.88 | $195K | −2.5% of holding | −13.5% | −40.3% | 337,031 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-06 | Valenti Douglas | director | Sale | 18,369 @ $25.28 | $464K | −1.0% of holding | −24.9% | −45.4% | 1,818,385 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-05 | Valenti Douglas | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $25.02 | $250K | −0.5% of holding | −22.1% | −40.5% | 1,836,754 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
123 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 24,169 | 921,092 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 24,169 | 945,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 12,085 | 975,473 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Wong Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,541 | 499,045 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Wong Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,541 | 508,586 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 6,043 | 915,049 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 6,043 | 969,430 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 6,043 | 909,006 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 6,043 | 902,963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Wong Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,166 | 496,879 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Wong Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,166 | 518,127 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Wong Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,706 | 493,490 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Wong Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,683 | 495,196 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Wong Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,590 | 520,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Gift | 81,655 | 821,308 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Gift | 81,655 | 1,077,933 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Wong Gregory | officer | Award / grant | 75,000 | 473,179 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Wong Gregory | officer | Award / grant | 75,000 | 548,179 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Wong Gregory | officer | Award / grant | 7,835 | 398,179 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Valenti Douglas | director | Award / grant | 13,802 | 607,558 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Valenti Douglas | director | Award / grant | 190,000 | 797,558 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Valenti Douglas | director | Award / grant | 190,000 | 987,558 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | PAULDINE DAVID J | director | Gift | 176,827 | 9,938 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | PAULDINE DAVID J | director | Gift | 176,827 | 176,827 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 12,085 | 646,879 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 6,042 | 634,795 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 6,042 | 628,753 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 6,042 | 640,837 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 6,042 | 658,964 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Wong Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,682 | 427,477 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Wong Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,682 | 422,739 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Wong Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,528 | 425,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Wong Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,528 | 424,421 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Wong Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,121 | 429,159 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Gift | 34,997 | 593,756 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Gift | 34,997 | 1,747,909 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 8,522 | 723,473 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 4,865 | 710,094 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 4,261 | 731,995 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Valenti Douglas | director | Withheld for tax | 4,261 | 719,212 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.