Issued 2026-09-16 at $101.01 · now $101.01 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, QCRH has typically landed between $90.07 and $115.32 — a range of −10.8% to +14.2% from the issuance price $101.01.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($101.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where QCRH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $101.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $101.01 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $102.1 (+1.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $96.56–$107.64
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $90.07–$115.32
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −40.7% | −40.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −40.7% | −40.7% | +1.1% |
| 2020-02-13 | −39.8% | −39.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2010-04-06 | +54.0% | −0.6% | +54.7% |
| 2010-04-05 | +53.8% | −0.2% | +55.3% |
| 2010-04-01 | +52.5% | −2.1% | +52.5% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Ekizian Laura L | officer | Sale | 750 @ $94.96 | $71K | −11.0% of holding | −1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,093 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Reasner Amy L | director | Purchase | 60 @ $90.25 | $5K | +4.3% of holding | +6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,471 | Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Klein James D. | officer | Sale | 310 @ $91.00 | $28K | −42.0% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 428 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-23 | Reasner Amy L | director | Purchase | 100 @ $88.35 | $9K | +7.6% of holding | −2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,411 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Klein James D. | officer | Sale | 554 @ $82.50 | $46K | −42.9% of holding | +8.1% | +10.2% | 738 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-30 | GIPPLE TODD A | director | Sale | 8,590 @ $89.92 | $772K | −16.1% of holding | −0.9% | +5.9% | 44,902 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | Ekizian Laura L | officer | Sale | 333 @ $80.00 | $27K | −5.6% of holding | −6.9% | +1.1% | 5,632 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-26 | Ekizian Laura L | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $80.00 | $80K | −14.4% of holding | −5.7% | +3.8% | 5,965 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Klein James D. | officer | Sale | 428 @ $60.74 | $26K | −58.0% of holding | −6.9% | −5.9% | 310 | Form 4 · filed 392 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-28 | HELLING LARRY J | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $64.53 | $65K | +2.5% of holding | −2.6% | −8.0% | 40,264 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-14 | Klein James D. | officer | Sale | 630 @ $73.40 | $46K | −59.5% of holding | −9.2% | −11.6% | 428 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-29 | Lee Nicole A | officer | Purchase | 1,094 @ $78.47 | $86K | +139.0% of holding | −2.6% | −14.9% | 1,881 | Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
144 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Winter Reba K | officer | Award / grant | 1,160 | 1,160 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Winter Reba K | officer | Option exercise | 302 | 12,445 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Winter Reba K | officer | Option exercise | 310 | 12,143 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Winter Reba K | officer | Option exercise | 350 | 12,795 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Winter Reba K | officer | Option exercise | 246 | 13,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Winter Reba K | officer | Option exercise | 426 | 426 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Winter Reba K | officer | Option exercise | 419 | 419 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Winter Reba K | officer | Option exercise | 483 | 1,448 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Winter Reba K | officer | Option exercise | 340 | 1,021 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Ekizian Laura L | officer | Option exercise | 750 | 6,843 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Ekizian Laura L | officer | Option exercise | 750 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Klein James D. | officer | Option exercise | 94 | 522 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Klein James D. | officer | Option exercise | 94 | 282 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lee Nicole A | officer | Option exercise | 234 | 3,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lee Nicole A | officer | Option exercise | 322 | 322 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Lee Nicole A | officer | Option exercise | 146 | 3,015 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | McNew Monte C | officer | Option exercise | 128 | 5,171 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Klein James D. | officer | Option exercise | 116 | 1,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Gibson Kurt A | officer | Option exercise | 114 | 6,458 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Ekizian Laura L | officer | Option exercise | 68 | 6,093 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Ekizian Laura L | officer | Option exercise | 93 | 279 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Lee Nicole A | officer | Option exercise | 202 | 606 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | GIPPLE TODD A | director | Option exercise | 669 | 2,005 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Klein James D. | officer | Option exercise | 161 | 480 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | McNew Monte C | officer | Option exercise | 179 | 535 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Gibson Kurt A | officer | Option exercise | 158 | 473 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | GIPPLE TODD A | director | Option exercise | 0 | 44,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Ziegler Marie Z. | director | Award / grant | 432 | 31,732 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Field James Matthew | director | Award / grant | 387 | 8,797 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Griesemer John F | director | Award / grant | 387 | 1,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | BATTEN JAMES R | director | Award / grant | 387 | 15,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | KILMER MARK C | director | Award / grant | 387 | 21,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Jacobs Elizabeth S | director | Award / grant | 387 | 3,620 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Cobb Brent R | director | Award / grant | 387 | 37,496 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Reasner Amy L | director | Award / grant | 387 | 1,311 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Bates Mary Kay | director | Award / grant | 341 | 3,228 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | BESONG JOHN PAUL E | director | Award / grant | 341 | 3,386 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Anderson Nick W | officer | Option exercise | 89 | 1,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Ekizian Laura L | officer | Award / grant | 718 | 718 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Gibson Kurt A | officer | Award / grant | 648 | 648 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.