Issued 2026-09-16 at $26.61 · now $26.61 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PXED has typically landed between $21.90 and $30.57 — a range of −17.7% to +14.9% from the issuance price $26.61.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
214 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-10-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($26.61) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PXED has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $26.61 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $26.61 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $26.4 (-0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $24.74–$28.05
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $21.9–$30.57
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-10-15 | −24.6% | −24.6% | +3.9% |
| 2025-10-24 | −23.1% | −27.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-07-14 | −21.5% | −21.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-11-14 | +18.8% | +0.0% | +23.3% |
| 2025-11-13 | +17.1% | +0.0% | +29.0% |
| 2025-11-17 | +17.0% | +0.0% | +22.8% |
214 overlapping windows · 2025-10-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-15 | Nisar Adnan A. | director | Sale | 105,452 @ $29.92 | $3.2M | −2.1% of holding | −25.6% | −27.8% | 4,935,463 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | Nesbitt Martin H. | director | Sale | 105,452 @ $29.92 | $3.2M | −2.1% of holding | −25.6% | −27.8% | 4,935,463 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | TVG-I-E-AEG Holdings, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 105,452 @ $29.92 | $3.2M | −2.1% of holding | −25.6% | −27.8% | 4,935,463 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-10 | TVG-I-E-AEG Holdings, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 703,015 @ $29.92 | $21.0M | −12.2% of holding | −13.0% | −27.9% | 5,040,915 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-10 | Nesbitt Martin H. | director | Sale | 703,015 @ $29.92 | $21.0M | −12.2% of holding | −13.0% | −27.9% | 5,040,915 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-10 | Nisar Adnan A. | director | Sale | 703,015 @ $29.92 | $21.0M | −12.2% of holding | −13.0% | −27.9% | 5,040,915 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
152 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Naumann Cheryl M. | officer | Withheld for tax | 25,502 | 61,203 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Naumann Cheryl M. | officer | Option exercise | 43,883 | 86,705 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Naumann Cheryl M. | officer | Option exercise | 43,883 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Naumann Cheryl M. | officer | Option exercise | 43,883 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Naumann Cheryl M. | officer | Option exercise | 43,883 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Naumann Cheryl M. | officer | Option exercise | 43,883 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Lynne Christopher Mark | director | Withheld for tax | 45,249 | 206,389 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Medi Srini | officer | Withheld for tax | 33,190 | 73,734 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Lynne Christopher Mark | director | Option exercise | 75,260 | 251,638 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Medi Srini | officer | Option exercise | 60,052 | 106,924 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Lynne Christopher Mark | director | Option exercise | 75,260 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Medi Srini | officer | Option exercise | 60,052 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Lynne Christopher Mark | director | Option exercise | 75,260 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Lynne Christopher Mark | director | Option exercise | 75,260 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Medi Srini | officer | Option exercise | 60,052 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Lynne Christopher Mark | director | Option exercise | 75,260 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Medi Srini | officer | Option exercise | 60,052 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Medi Srini | officer | Option exercise | 60,052 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Krishnaiah Raghu Ram | officer | Withheld for tax | 39,825 | 91,141 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Krishnaiah Raghu Ram | officer | Option exercise | 62,782 | 130,966 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Krishnaiah Raghu Ram | officer | Option exercise | 62,782 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Krishnaiah Raghu Ram | officer | Option exercise | 62,782 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | Brackenbury Robert Lee | director | Award / grant | 2,332 | 2,332 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | Brackenbury Robert Lee | director | Award / grant | 2,332 | 2,332 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Woods John Terrence | officer | Withheld for tax | 34,296 | 68,316 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Woods John Terrence | officer | Option exercise | 60,052 | 102,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Naumann Cheryl M. | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,114 | 42,822 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Naumann Cheryl M. | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 50,936 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Woods John Terrence | officer | Option exercise | 60,052 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Naumann Cheryl M. | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 43,883 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Honaker Jeffrey Charles | officer | Award / grant | 5,196 | 30,132 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Honaker Jeffrey Charles | officer | Award / grant | 5,196 | 30,132 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Denham Jeffrey John | director | Award / grant | 4,394 | 6,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Bird Andrew Peter | director | Award / grant | 4,394 | 6,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Worsoe Johannes H | director | Award / grant | 4,394 | 4,394 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Denham Jeffrey John | director | Award / grant | 4,394 | 6,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cohen Peter Jonathan | director | Award / grant | 4,394 | 54,004 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Bird Andrew Peter | director | Award / grant | 4,394 | 6,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Worsoe Johannes H | director | Award / grant | 4,394 | 4,394 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cohen Peter Jonathan | director | Award / grant | 4,394 | 54,004 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.