Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.88 · now $10.88 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PWRL has typically landed between $7.13 and $12.34 — a range of −34.4% to +13.4% from the issuance price $10.88.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
57 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-05-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.88) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PWRL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.88 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $10.88 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.23 (-15.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.48–$9.98
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $7.13–$12.34
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-05-27 | −53.1% | −53.1% | +4.2% |
| 2026-05-28 | −50.8% | −55.0% | +0.0% |
| 2026-05-29 | −47.6% | −53.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-23 | −1.8% | −10.8% | +1.9% |
| 2026-07-29 | −2.6% | −3.2% | +8.3% |
| 2026-07-17 | −4.5% | −12.0% | +4.3% |
57 overlapping windows · 2026-05-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Dinsdale Mike John | director | Purchase | 12,727 @ $15.47 | $197K | +1.9% of holding | −17.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 686,504 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Black Benjamin David | director | Purchase | 6,500 @ $15.47 | $101K | +1.5% of holding | −17.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 445,978 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | Dinsdale Mike John | director | Purchase | 2,941 @ $16.86 | $50K | +0.4% of holding | −22.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 673,777 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.