PVHPVH Corp.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $71.70 · now $71.70 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PVH has typically landed between $57.80 and $87.42 — a range of −19.4% to +21.9% from the issuance price $71.70.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($71.70) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PVH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $71.7 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$57.8worst · -19.4%$87.42best · +21.9%
  • now $71.7 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $71.12 (-0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $65.28–$76.96
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $57.8–$87.42
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−65.7%−65.7%+0.0%
2020-02-20−63.6%−63.6%+0.0%
2020-02-18−61.5%−61.5%+0.6%
3 best
2009-03-11+70.8%+0.0%+70.8%
2009-03-05+66.0%−2.7%+66.0%
2009-03-20+63.7%+0.0%+63.7%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
33%
−1.4%
n=18
Feb
58%
+0.4%
n=19
Mar
74%
+3.1%
n=19
Apr
63%
+5.9%
n=19
May
58%
−1.0%
n=19
Jun
32%
−4.9%
n=19
Jul
74%
+4.0%
n=19
Aug
53%
+0.7%
n=19
Sep
47%
+0.4%
n=19
Oct
39%
−1.1%
n=18
Nov
67%
+6.6%
n=18
Dec
56%
−0.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$99$612026-09-11: 1 insider purchase, $1.0M — Larsson Stefan2026-04-17: 2 insider sales, $445K — FISCHER MARK D …2026-04-16: 1 insider sale, $198K — FISCHER MARK D2026-04: 3 open-market sales, $643K2026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $1.0M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Larsson Stefan — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed same dayofficer FISCHER MARK D — Sale on 2026-04-17, filed same dayofficer FISCHER MARK D — Sale on 2026-04-17, filed same dayofficer FISCHER MARK D — Sale on 2026-04-16, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Larsson StefandirectorPurchase14,179 @ $70.53$1.0M+4.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open349,889Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-17FISCHER MARK DofficerSale2,457 @ $95.00$233K−10.8% of holding−18.7%not yet — horizon still open20,324Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-17FISCHER MARK DofficerSale2,282 @ $92.50$211K−9.1% of holding−18.7%not yet — horizon still open22,781Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-16FISCHER MARK DofficerSale2,200 @ $90.00$198K−8.1% of holding−16.5%not yet — horizon still open25,063Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-26Larsson StefandirectorPurchase15,645 @ $63.92$1.0M+6.2% of holding+14.1%−7.5%269,438Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-11Andersen JesperdirectorPurchase600 @ $66.10$40K+441.2% of holding+5.7%−0.1%736Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-30FISCHER MARK DofficerSale3,186 @ $105.50$336K−12.1% of holding−17.5%−38.4%23,103Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

120 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-24Stone Melissa AnnofficerAward / grant0928Form 4
2026-06-18Bhalla AjaydirectorAward / grant2,3368,908Form 4
2026-06-18CALBERT MICHAEL MdirectorAward / grant4,93225,268Form 4
2026-06-18CHEEKS GEORGEdirectorAward / grant2,33613,490Form 4
2026-06-18Callinicos BrentdirectorAward / grant2,33624,276Form 4
2026-06-18Gulliver KatedirectorAward / grant2,3365,112Form 4
2026-06-18McIntyre Geraldine PennydirectorAward / grant2,33624,112Form 4
2026-06-18SOURRY KNOX JUDITH AMANDAdirectorAward / grant2,33620,419Form 4
2026-06-18McPherson AmydirectorAward / grant2,33620,419Form 4
2026-06-18Andersen JesperdirectorAward / grant2,3365,848Form 4
2026-06-15Subrahmanyam AmbaofficerWithheld for tax27327,005Form 4
2026-06-15Graf Erik W.officerWithheld for tax6312,547Form 4
2026-04-10Larsson StefandirectorWithheld for tax11,097335,710Form 4
2026-04-10Larsson StefandirectorWithheld for tax4,196346,807Form 4
2026-04-10Savman DavidofficerWithheld for tax1,55031,793Form 4
2026-04-10Goldman Lea RytzofficerWithheld for tax1,52226,434Form 4
2026-04-10Kohler DonaldofficerWithheld for tax1,35026,713Form 4
2026-04-10Olsson FredrikofficerWithheld for tax1,34323,529Form 4
2026-04-10Subrahmanyam AmbaofficerWithheld for tax1,00027,278Form 4
2026-04-10Goldman Lea RytzofficerWithheld for tax84627,956Form 4
2026-04-10Savman DavidofficerWithheld for tax63033,343Form 4
2026-04-10Kohler DonaldofficerWithheld for tax63028,063Form 4
2026-04-10Stone Melissa AnnofficerWithheld for tax54017,692Form 4
2026-04-10Subrahmanyam AmbaofficerWithheld for tax50528,278Form 4
2026-04-10FISCHER MARK DofficerWithheld for tax42527,263Form 4
2026-04-10Graf Erik W.officerWithheld for tax34112,610Form 4
2026-04-10FISCHER MARK DofficerWithheld for tax26527,688Form 4
2026-04-10Stone Melissa AnnofficerWithheld for tax22718,232Form 4
2026-04-10Graf Erik W.officerWithheld for tax7212,951Form 4
2026-04-06Larsson StefandirectorWithheld for tax28,500351,003Form 4
2026-04-06Larsson StefandirectorWithheld for tax5,495327,966Form 4
2026-04-06Larsson StefandirectorWithheld for tax4,641333,461Form 4
2026-04-06Kohler DonaldofficerWithheld for tax1,90228,693Form 4
2026-04-06Savman DavidofficerWithheld for tax1,66533,973Form 4
2026-04-06FISCHER MARK DofficerWithheld for tax1,09727,953Form 4
2026-04-06Kohler DonaldofficerWithheld for tax66127,156Form 4
2026-04-06Subrahmanyam AmbaofficerWithheld for tax58129,320Form 4
2026-04-06Savman DavidofficerWithheld for tax57832,628Form 4
2026-04-06FISCHER MARK DofficerWithheld for tax56327,139Form 4
2026-04-06Subrahmanyam AmbaofficerWithheld for tax53728,783Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Julia LetlowHousesale2026-01-132025-01-24$1–15K
Julia LetlowHousepurchase2026-01-132024-10-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-06-102022-05-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-02-082022-01-11$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2021-11-092021-10-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2020-06-172020-05-20$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2020-04-162020-03-18$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2019-09-112019-08-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2019-07-112019-06-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2019-01-112018-12-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2018-12-102018-11-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2018-11-092018-10-25$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2018-11-092018-10-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2018-06-082018-05-08$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.