Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.44 · now $11.44 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PURR has typically landed between $8.67 and $20.30 — a range of −24.2% to +77.5% from the issuance price $11.44.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
176 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-12-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.44) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PURR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.44 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $11.44 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $12.98 (+13.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.78–$15.17
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.67–$20.3
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-06-16 | −33.5% | −33.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-26 | −29.5% | −29.5% | +0.9% |
| 2026-06-29 | −29.5% | −29.5% | +4.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-29 | +114.9% | +0.0% | +114.9% |
| 2026-07-31 | +97.3% | +0.0% | +106.6% |
| 2026-07-28 | +87.7% | −3.1% | +92.7% |
176 overlapping windows · 2025-12-03 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
47 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Schamis David Ira | director | Other acquisition | 537,585 | 537,585 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | TUDER JEFFREY | director | Other acquisition | 272,578 | 272,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Diamond Robert E. Jr. | director | Other acquisition | 1,253,860 | 1,253,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Rosengren Eric S | director | Award / grant | 4,764 | 76,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | LEIBOWITZ LAWRENCE E | director | Award / grant | 2,117 | 85,980 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | KING THOMAS C. | director | Award / grant | 4,764 | 76,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | LEIBOWITZ LAWRENCE E | director | Award / grant | 2,117 | 85,980 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Rosengren Eric S | director | Award / grant | 4,764 | 76,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bhatt Nailesh | director | Award / grant | 1,588 | 46,914 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bhatt Nailesh | director | Award / grant | 1,588 | 46,914 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | KING THOMAS C. | director | Award / grant | 4,764 | 76,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Nieuwkoop Jeroen | officer | Award / grant | 421,623 | 421,623 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Beldner Brett Douglas | officer | Award / grant | 421,623 | 453,463 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Rosengren Eric S | director | Award / grant | 7,367 | 72,036 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Bhatt Nailesh | director | Award / grant | 2,455 | 45,326 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | LEIBOWITZ LAWRENCE E | director | Award / grant | 3,274 | 83,863 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | KING THOMAS C. | director | Award / grant | 7,367 | 72,036 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | KING THOMAS C. | director | Award / grant | 40,789 | 64,669 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Rosengren Eric S | director | Award / grant | 40,789 | 64,669 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Bhatt Nailesh | director | Award / grant | 40,789 | 42,871 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Dyrness Albert D. | director | Award / grant | 40,789 | 41,671 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | TUDER JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 40,789 | 40,789 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | LEIBOWITZ LAWRENCE E | director | Award / grant | 40,789 | 80,589 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Diamond Robert E. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 40,789 | 677,589 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Schamis David Ira | director | Award / grant | 40,789 | 136,309 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Diamond Robert E. Jr. | director | Other acquisition | 636,800 | 636,800 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | KING THOMAS C. | director | Other acquisition | 23,880 | 23,880 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Rosengren Eric S | director | Other acquisition | 23,880 | 23,880 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Diamond Robert E. Jr. | director | Other acquisition | 636,800 | 636,800 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Beldner Brett Douglas | officer | Other acquisition | 31,840 | 31,840 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Schamis David Ira | director | Other acquisition | 95,520 | 95,520 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | LEIBOWITZ LAWRENCE E | director | Other acquisition | 39,800 | 39,800 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | KING THOMAS C. | director | Other acquisition | 23,880 | 23,880 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | LEIBOWITZ LAWRENCE E | director | Other acquisition | 39,800 | 39,800 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Nieuwkoop Jeroen | officer | Other acquisition | 31,840 | 31,840 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Nieuwkoop Jeroen | officer | Other acquisition | 31,840 | 31,840 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Beldner Brett Douglas | officer | Other acquisition | 31,840 | 31,840 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Rosengren Eric S | director | Other acquisition | 23,880 | 23,880 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Schamis David Ira | director | Other acquisition | 95,520 | 95,520 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | Dyrness Albert D. | director | Other acquisition | 882 | 882 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.