PUMP · TickerCove

PUMPProPetro Holding Corp.Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.21 · now $10.21 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PUMP has typically landed between $8.03 and $12.73 — a range of −21.3% to +24.6% from the issuance price $10.21.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,367 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-03-17 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.21) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$10.21 · 41% of range

$4.77 low$18.2 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.2%

typical move · IQR 20.8%

−21.3%worst (p90)+24.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PUMP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.21 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $10.21 (+0.0%)
typical $10.19 (-0.2%)
middle 50% $9.13–$11.26
90% range $8.03–$12.73

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,367 windows spanning 2017-03-17 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−85.2%	−85.2%	+5.6%
2020-02-20	−81.7%	−85.6%	+0.0%
2020-02-14	−80.5%	−80.5%	+4.2%
3 best
2020-03-18	+131.8%	+0.0%	+182.8%
2025-09-30	+111.8%	−4.0%	+111.8%
2025-10-10	+111.1%	+0.0%	+120.7%

2,367 overlapping windows · 2017-03-17 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

56%

+7.0%

n=9

Feb

44%

+4.4%

n=9

Mar

44%

−6.8%

n=9

Apr

60%

+7.1%

n=10

May

40%

−1.0%

n=10

Jun

50%

−0.0%

n=10

Jul

50%

−1.8%

n=10

Aug

30%

−8.1%

n=10

Sep

50%

−1.8%

n=10

Oct

56%

+15.6%

n=9

Nov

44%

+5.7%

n=9

Dec

44%

+4.2%

n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-04	Munoz Adam	officer	Sale	70,696 @ $11.17	$790K	−32.2% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	148,691	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04	Lawrence G Larry	director	Sale	35,831 @ $11.16	$400K	−56.0% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	28,181	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-20	EXXON MOBIL CORP	tenPercentOwner	Sale	16,600,000 @ $16.66	$276.6M	−100.0% of holding	−12.4%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-14	Munoz Adam	officer	Sale	17,230 @ $10.14	$175K	−19.5% of holding	−5.1%	+70.5%	71,146	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-31	Lawrence G Larry	director	Sale	27,000 @ $10.84	$293K	−43.0% of holding	−5.9%	+53.3%	35,831	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-31	Vion Michele	director	Sale	6,916 @ $10.64	$74K	−13.3% of holding	−5.9%	+53.3%	45,029	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-06	Sledge Samuel D	director	Purchase	4,900 @ $4.98	$24K	+1.4% of holding	−2.5%	+117.2%	362,639	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04	Munoz Adam	officer	Sale	75,000 @ $4.87	$365K	−45.9% of holding	−4.6%	+131.1%	88,376	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-01	Weatherl Caleb Lyle	officer	Purchase	2,000 @ $4.91	$10K	ownership Δ n/a	−4.2%	+120.8%	2,000	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-07	Lawrence G Larry	director	Sale	10,137 @ $7.39	$75K	−18.4% of holding	−15.8%	−49.5%	44,892	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

243 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-04	Davila Celina A	officer	Withheld for tax	485	33,199	Form 4
2026-09-04	Davila Celina A	officer	Option exercise	1,990	37,837	Form 4
2026-09-04	Davila Celina A	officer	Option exercise	1,990	33,684	Form 4
2026-09-04	Davila Celina A	officer	Option exercise	1,990	33,684	Form 4
2026-09-04	Davila Celina A	officer	Option exercise	1,990	33,684	Form 4
2026-08-05	GOBE PHILLIP A	director	Gift	15,000	220,865	Form 4
2026-08-01	Weatherl Caleb Lyle	officer	Withheld for tax	8,156	27,338	Form 4
2026-08-01	Weatherl Caleb Lyle	officer	Option exercise	33,494	123,412	Form 4
2026-08-01	Weatherl Caleb Lyle	officer	Option exercise	33,494	35,494	Form 4
2026-08-01	Weatherl Caleb Lyle	officer	Option exercise	33,494	35,494	Form 4
2026-05-20	RICCIARDELLO MARY P	director	Award / grant	9,101	9,101	Form 4
2026-05-20	GOBE PHILLIP A	director	Award / grant	9,101	9,101	Form 4
2026-05-20	GOBE PHILLIP A	director	Award / grant	2,055	11,156	Form 4
2026-05-20	Vion Michele	director	Award / grant	9,101	9,101	Form 4
2026-05-20	BERG MARK STEPHEN	director	Award / grant	9,101	9,101	Form 4
2026-05-20	BEST ANTHONY JAMES	director	Award / grant	9,101	9,101	Form 4
2026-05-20	Lawrence G Larry	director	Award / grant	9,101	9,101	Form 4
2026-05-18	BEST ANTHONY JAMES	director	Option exercise	28,181	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	GOBE PHILLIP A	director	Option exercise	28,181	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	Armour Spencer D III	director	Option exercise	28,181	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	BERG MARK STEPHEN	director	Option exercise	28,181	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	Lawrence G Larry	director	Option exercise	28,181	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	RICCIARDELLO MARY P	director	Option exercise	28,181	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	Vion Michele	director	Option exercise	28,181	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	Armour Spencer D III	director	Option exercise	28,181	145,272	Form 4
2026-05-18	BERG MARK STEPHEN	director	Option exercise	28,181	56,909	Form 4
2026-05-18	GOBE PHILLIP A	director	Option exercise	28,181	235,865	Form 4
2026-05-18	Vion Michele	director	Option exercise	28,181	73,210	Form 4
2026-05-18	Vion Michele	director	Option exercise	28,181	73,210	Form 4
2026-05-18	RICCIARDELLO MARY P	director	Option exercise	28,181	70,865	Form 4
2026-05-18	BEST ANTHONY JAMES	director	Option exercise	28,181	139,120	Form 4
2026-05-18	Lawrence G Larry	director	Option exercise	28,181	64,012	Form 4
2026-05-18	Lawrence G Larry	director	Option exercise	28,181	64,012	Form 4
2026-05-18	BERG MARK STEPHEN	director	Option exercise	28,181	56,909	Form 4
2026-05-18	BEST ANTHONY JAMES	director	Option exercise	28,181	139,120	Form 4
2026-05-18	Armour Spencer D III	director	Option exercise	28,181	145,272	Form 4
2026-05-18	GOBE PHILLIP A	director	Option exercise	28,181	235,865	Form 4
2026-05-01	Wood William Michael	officer	Award / grant	71,428	121,179	Form 4
2026-03-04	Sledge Samuel D	director	Withheld for tax	33,123	649,336	Form 4
2026-03-04	Munoz Adam	officer	Withheld for tax	14,722	219,387	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i