PTRN · TickerCove

PTRNPattern Group Inc. Series A Common StockTechnology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $19.64 · now $19.64 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PTRN has typically landed between $14.51 and $27.35 — a range of −26.1% to +39.3% from the issuance price $19.64.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

228 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-09-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($19.64) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$19.64 · 51% of range

$9.59 low$29.4 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Distribution ranges onlyiThis name has too little trading history to publish a calibrated probability, so we show its distribution ranges only — no directional call. Its record is still building.

No directional probability — ranges below.

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+8.9%

typical move · IQR 36.4%

−26.1%worst (p90)+39.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PTRN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $19.64 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $19.64 (+0.0%)
typical $21.39 (+8.9%)
middle 50% $17.81–$24.96
90% range $14.51–$27.35

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 228 windows spanning 2025-09-19 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-01-26	−33.3%	−40.3%	+0.0%
2026-01-22	−33.3%	−33.3%	+11.4%
2025-11-13	−33.2%	−33.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-06-08	+48.9%	−2.9%	+48.9%
2026-05-01	+48.3%	−1.2%	+48.3%
2026-06-15	+47.6%	−2.2%	+50.0%

228 overlapping windows · 2025-09-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~1 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

100%

+19.8%

n=1

Feb

−23.8%

n=1

Mar

100%

+18.0%

n=1

Apr

100%

+8.4%

n=1

May

100%

+39.5%

n=1

Jun

100%

+34.1%

n=1

Jul

−8.6%

n=1

Aug

−9.9%

n=1

Sep

−5.3%

n=1

Oct

100%

+28.7%

n=1

Nov

−17.5%

n=1

Dec

−20.6%

n=1

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-18	KL Pattern Holdings LP	tenPercentOwner	Sale	9,200,000 @ $18.14	$166.9M	−32.7% of holding	+22.7%	not yet — horizon still open	18,976,542	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-02	MATHER ANN	director	Sale	3,755 @ $20.21	$76K	−8.8% of holding	+30.9%	not yet — horizon still open	39,110	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-15	MATHER ANN	director	Sale	5,301 @ $16.51	$88K	−14.4% of holding	+14.6%	not yet — horizon still open	31,509	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-25	KL Pattern Holdings LP	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	200,000 @ $12.47	$2.5M	+0.7% of holding	+37.9%	−6.4%	28,176,542	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-24	KL Pattern Holdings LP	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	102,256 @ $13.38	$1.4M	+0.4% of holding	+20.4%	−5.4%	27,976,542	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22	Wright David K.	director	Sale	5,694,671 @ $13.02	$74.1M	−11.2% of holding	−2.7%	−15.0%	45,297,280	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22	Wright David K.	director	Sale	3,719,615 @ $13.02	$48.4M	−11.2% of holding	−2.7%	−15.0%	29,418,585	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Sale	1,010,887 @ $13.02	$13.2M	−25.9% of holding	−2.7%	−15.0%	2,898,506	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Sale	289,113 @ $13.02	$3.8M	−25.8% of holding	−2.7%	−15.0%	829,475	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

116 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-01	Wright David K.	director	Withheld for tax	82,126	585,655	Form 4
2026-09-01	Wright David K.	director	Withheld for tax	27,370	195,223	Form 4
2026-08-11	Beesley Jason	officer	Award / grant	100,000	1,416,888	Form 4
2026-05-15	Bailey John P.	director	Award / grant	11,356	11,356	Form 4
2026-05-15	MATHER ANN	director	Award / grant	11,356	42,865	Form 4
2026-05-15	Hilton Scott	director	Award / grant	11,356	61,356	Form 4
2026-05-15	Taylor Susan J.S.	director	Award / grant	11,356	48,166	Form 4
2026-03-23	Wright David K.	director	Award / grant	125,000	222,593	Form 4
2026-03-23	Wright David K.	director	Award / grant	375,000	667,781	Form 4
2026-03-01	Beesley Jason	officer	Withheld for tax	16,444	1,316,888	Form 4
2026-01-01	Beesley Jason	officer	Withheld for tax	90,043	1,333,332	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Other acquisition	11,185,888	1,118,588	Form 4
2025-09-22	MATHER ANN	director	Other acquisition	36,810	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	MATHER ANN	director	Other acquisition	36,810	36,810	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Other acquisition	3,909,393	3,909,393	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Conversion	1,118,588	1,118,588	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Other acquisition	1,118,588	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Conversion	3,909,393	3,909,393	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Other acquisition	3,909,393	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Other acquisition	11,185,888	1,118,588	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Conversion	3,909,393	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Conversion	61,854	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Conversion	434,663	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Hilton Scott	director	Other acquisition	50,000	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Hilton Scott	director	Other acquisition	50,000	50,000	Form 4
2025-09-22	Taylor Susan J.S.	director	Other acquisition	36,810	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Taylor Susan J.S.	director	Other acquisition	36,810	36,810	Form 4
2025-09-22	Wright David K.	director	Other acquisition	27,176,014	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Wright David K.	director	Other acquisition	10,682,278	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Wright David K.	director	Other acquisition	13,025,878	13,025,878	Form 4
2025-09-22	Wright David K.	director	Other acquisition	7,115,543	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Wright David K.	director	Other acquisition	8,676,632	8,676,632	Form 4
2025-09-22	Beesley Jason	officer	Other acquisition	630,191	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Conversion	3,909,393	3,909,393	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Other acquisition	3,909,393	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Other acquisition	3,909,393	3,909,393	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Conversion	1,118,588	1,118,588	Form 4
2025-09-22	Gay Daniel	director	Other acquisition	1,118,588	0	Form 4
2025-09-22	Wright David K.	director	Other acquisition	50,991,951	50,991,951	Form 4
2025-09-22	Wright David K.	director	Other acquisition	33,138,200	33,138,200	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i