Issued 2026-09-16 at $142.84 · now $142.84 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PTGX has typically landed between $114.42 and $190.83 — a range of −19.9% to +33.6% from the issuance price $142.84.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,513 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-08-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($142.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PTGX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $142.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $142.84 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $149.07 (+4.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $133.5–$164.64
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $114.42–$190.83
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,513 windows spanning 2016-08-11 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2021-08-18 | −72.2% | −72.2% | +6.5% |
| 2021-08-20 | −68.6% | −73.7% | +1.0% |
| 2021-08-19 | −68.3% | −73.1% | +3.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-04-24 | +158.7% | −0.5% | +161.9% |
| 2020-04-27 | +155.2% | +0.0% | +163.1% |
| 2020-04-30 | +148.4% | −1.9% | +152.6% |
2,513 overlapping windows · 2016-08-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
+3.1%
n=10
Feb
50%
+0.5%
n=10
Mar
50%
+7.8%
n=10
Apr
20%
−11.9%
n=10
May
70%
+18.6%
n=10
Jun
80%
+10.7%
n=10
Jul
60%
+1.4%
n=10
Aug
80%
+15.4%
n=10
Sep
45%
+0.2%
n=11
Oct
40%
+4.0%
n=10
Nov
60%
+7.7%
n=10
Dec
50%
+1.4%
n=10
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 7,278 @ $144.10 | $1.0M | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 522,968 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-09 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 63,548 @ $146.18 | $9.3M | −10.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 522,968 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 54,174 @ $145.87 | $7.9M | −9.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 522,968 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 34,239 @ $148.52 | $5.1M | −6.1% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 523,478 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 65,761 @ $149.11 | $9.8M | −11.2% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 523,478 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Waddill William D. | director | Sale | 9,000 @ $117.94 | $1.1M | −53.5% of holding | +13.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,825 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Waddill William D. | director | Sale | 9,000 @ $107.68 | $969K | −53.5% of holding | +19.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,825 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Waddill William D. | director | Sale | 9,000 @ $99.64 | $897K | −53.5% of holding | +24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,825 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 75,000 @ $100.12 | $7.5M | −12.5% of holding | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 523,478 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-08 | Giraudo Bryan | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $100.00 | $600K | −100.0% of holding | +6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Giraudo Bryan | director | Sale | 5,130 @ $100.00 | $513K | −28.8% of holding | +6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,695 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Giraudo Bryan | director | Sale | 36,000 @ $100.14 | $3.6M | −56.4% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,825 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Giraudo Bryan | director | Sale | 12,000 @ $100.07 | $1.2M | −66.7% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Ali Asif | officer | Sale | 1,750 @ $105.47 | $185K | −2.9% of holding | −10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,003 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-26 | Ali Asif | officer | Sale | 24,765 @ $104.24 | $2.6M | −29.0% of holding | −14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,753 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-26 | SELICK HAROLD E | director | Sale | 24,000 @ $105.00 | $2.5M | −28.3% of holding | −14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,845 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-26 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $104.79 | $1.6M | −15.1% of holding | −14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,115 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 54,641 @ $101.00 | $5.5M | −9.4% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 524,938 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-24 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 59 @ $101.00 | $6K | −0.0% of holding | −6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 524,938 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Williams Lewis T | director | Sale | 18,000 @ $82.42 | $1.5M | −69.7% of holding | +20.9% | +77.8% | 7,825 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Waddill William D. | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $83.68 | $1.7M | −71.9% of holding | +16.8% | +65.0% | 7,825 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-27 | Ali Asif | officer | Sale | 28,000 @ $83.13 | $2.3M | −26.3% of holding | +7.3% | +54.6% | 78,523 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-27 | Ali Asif | officer | Sale | 18,203 @ $83.14 | $1.5M | −23.2% of holding | +7.3% | +54.6% | 60,320 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-27 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $82.00 | $410K | −5.6% of holding | +7.3% | +54.6% | 84,115 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-27 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 4,068 @ $83.19 | $338K | −0.7% of holding | +7.3% | +54.6% | 574,505 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-26 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 14,205 @ $84.05 | $1.2M | −2.4% of holding | +5.8% | +58.8% | 574,505 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-26 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 10,685 @ $84.00 | $898K | −1.8% of holding | +5.8% | +58.8% | 574,505 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-26 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $82.28 | $411K | −5.6% of holding | +5.8% | +58.8% | 84,115 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-23 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 19,315 @ $84.59 | $1.6M | −3.3% of holding | +5.4% | +55.3% | 574,505 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-23 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Sale | 13,151 @ $82.42 | $1.1M | −13.5% of holding | +5.4% | +55.3% | 84,115 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 34,438 @ $82.48 | $2.8M | −5.6% of holding | −1.4% | +51.5% | 580,505 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Sale | 9,514 @ $82.48 | $785K | −8.9% of holding | −1.4% | +51.5% | 97,266 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | Ali Asif | officer | Sale | 8,588 @ $82.48 | $708K | −9.9% of holding | −1.4% | +51.5% | 78,077 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Sale | 2,712 @ $84.77 | $230K | −3.2% of holding | +4.5% | +7.0% | 81,180 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-10 | Waddill William D. | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $87.81 | $702K | −60.9% of holding | −8.7% | +13.4% | 5,130 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-10 | Waddill William D. | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $69.25 | $277K | −23.4% of holding | −8.7% | +13.4% | 13,130 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-22 | Waddill William D. | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $64.25 | $257K | −43.8% of holding | +15.6% | +57.1% | 5,130 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Waddill William D. | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $59.25 | $237K | −30.5% of holding | +7.1% | +43.2% | 9,130 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-25 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 10,415 @ $54.78 | $571K | −2.0% of holding | +2.3% | +39.9% | 520,603 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-23 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 17,520 @ $54.79 | $960K | −3.2% of holding | +3.2% | +47.2% | 531,018 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-22 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 22,065 @ $55.05 | $1.2M | −3.9% of holding | +0.8% | +42.9% | 548,538 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-21 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 12,859 @ $54.86 | $705K | −2.2% of holding | +0.1% | +42.7% | 570,603 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $57.03 | $570K | −10.7% of holding | −9.7% | +43.2% | 83,892 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $55.51 | $555K | −10.7% of holding | −9.8% | +47.4% | 83,892 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-22 | Ali Asif | officer | Sale | 1,756 @ $46.00 | $81K | −2.8% of holding | −10.6% | +35.5% | 61,065 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Waddill William D. | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $54.25 | $217K | −23.4% of holding | −6.5% | −6.5% | 13,130 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-13 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Sale | 30,514 @ $55.74 | $1.7M | −26.7% of holding | −19.5% | −12.7% | 83,892 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-12 | Ali Asif | officer | Sale | 24,903 @ $58.73 | $1.5M | −28.4% of holding | −23.2% | −14.9% | 62,821 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-19 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Sale | 5,359 @ $38.18 | $205K | −1.0% of holding | +45.4% | +41.2% | 540,260 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-16 | Ali Asif | officer | Sale | 1,317 @ $0.00 | $0 | −2.0% of holding | −0.0% | +44.2% | 65,422 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-16 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Sale | 3,252 @ $0.00 | $0 | −3.7% of holding | −0.0% | +44.2% | 83,892 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-16 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Sale | 388 @ $0.00 | $0 | −0.4% of holding | −0.0% | +44.2% | 87,144 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-16 | Ali Asif | officer | Sale | 2,601 @ $0.00 | $0 | −4.0% of holding | −0.0% | +44.2% | 62,821 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
119 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 7,278 | 530,246 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 7,278 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 63,548 | 586,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 63,548 | 7,278 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 54,174 | 577,142 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 54,174 | 70,826 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Gift | 510 | 522,968 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 34,239 | 557,717 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 34,239 | 125,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 65,761 | 589,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 65,761 | 159,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Waddill William D. | director | Option exercise | 9,000 | 16,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Waddill William D. | director | Option exercise | 9,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Waddill William D. | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 16,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Waddill William D. | director | Option exercise | 3,000 | 10,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Waddill William D. | director | Option exercise | 3,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Waddill William D. | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Waddill William D. | director | Option exercise | 9,000 | 16,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Waddill William D. | director | Option exercise | 9,000 | 3,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 75,000 | 598,478 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 75,000 | 225,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Giraudo Bryan | director | Option exercise | 24,000 | 31,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Giraudo Bryan | director | Option exercise | 12,000 | 43,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Giraudo Bryan | director | Option exercise | 12,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Giraudo Bryan | director | Option exercise | 24,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Gift | 1,460 | 523,478 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Ali Asif | officer | Option exercise | 19,500 | 80,253 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | SELICK HAROLD E | director | Option exercise | 24,000 | 84,845 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 99,115 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Ali Asif | officer | Option exercise | 5,265 | 85,518 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Ali Asif | officer | Option exercise | 5,265 | 13,282 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Ali Asif | officer | Option exercise | 19,500 | 31,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | SELICK HAROLD E | director | Option exercise | 24,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | MOLINA ARTURO MD | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 50,971 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 54,641 | 579,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 54,641 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-24 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 59 | 524,997 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-24 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Option exercise | 59 | 54,641 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | PATEL DINESH V PH D | director | Gift | 50,000 | 524,938 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Williams Lewis T | director | Option exercise | 18,000 | 25,825 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.