PSN · TickerCove

PSNParsons CorporationTechnology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $46.49 · now $46.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PSN has typically landed between $39.52 and $53.88 — a range of −15.0% to +15.9% from the issuance price $46.49.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,829 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-05-08 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($46.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$46.49 · 13% of range

$40.32 low$89.29 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.5%

typical move · IQR 11.5%

−15.0%worst (p90)+15.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PSN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $46.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $46.49 (+0.0%)
typical $47.18 (+1.5%)
middle 50% $44.52–$49.85
90% range $39.52–$53.88

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,829 windows spanning 2019-05-08 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−43.4%	−43.4%	+0.8%
2020-02-19	−39.4%	−43.8%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−38.4%	−41.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18	+44.3%	+0.0%	+44.3%
2020-03-19	+31.8%	−2.7%	+33.9%
2020-03-16	+29.7%	−7.9%	+31.9%

1,829 overlapping windows · 2019-05-08 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

29%

−2.2%

n=7

Feb

57%

+0.6%

n=7

Mar

57%

−1.1%

n=7

Apr

43%

+2.8%

n=7

May

57%

+2.5%

n=7

Jun

63%

+2.8%

n=8

Jul

50%

+0.4%

n=8

Aug

50%

+1.7%

n=8

Sep

38%

−1.1%

n=8

Oct

86%

+4.7%

n=7

Nov

71%

+2.6%

n=7

Dec

57%

−3.0%

n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-07	Ball George L.	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $47.97	$959K	+13.3% of holding	+1.0%	not yet — horizon still open	170,383	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-13	Ball George L.	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $50.00	$500K	+7.1% of holding	+12.7%	not yet — horizon still open	150,383	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12	Holdsworth Mark Keith	director	Purchase	6,754 @ $51.54	$348K	+20.4% of holding	+8.7%	not yet — horizon still open	39,918	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12	Holdsworth Mark Keith	director	Purchase	3,246 @ $50.70	$165K	+10.8% of holding	+8.7%	not yet — horizon still open	33,164	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11	McMahon Harry T.	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $49.14	$491K	+19.4% of holding	+17.7%	not yet — horizon still open	61,582	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-08	Smith Carey A.	director	Purchase	12,000 @ $49.94	$599K	+2.1% of holding	+19.0%	not yet — horizon still open	574,876	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-08	Smith Carey A.	director	Purchase	500 @ $50.73	$25K	+0.1% of holding	+19.0%	not yet — horizon still open	575,376	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-28	McMahon Harry T.	director	Purchase	8,064 @ $58.30	$470K	+21.3% of holding	+7.3%	+28.4%	45,953	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

83 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-01	LEER STEVEN F	director	Award / grant	837	34,238	Form 4
2026-07-01	WAJSGRAS DAVID C	director	Award / grant	604	40,684	Form 4
2026-04-14	Holdsworth Mark Keith	director	Award / grant	2,947	29,918	Form 4
2026-04-14	LEER STEVEN F	director	Award / grant	2,947	33,401	Form 4
2026-04-14	Ball George L.	director	Award / grant	2,947	140,383	Form 4
2026-04-14	WAJSGRAS DAVID C	director	Award / grant	2,947	40,080	Form 4
2026-04-14	Smith Robert Hanson	director	Award / grant	2,947	3,673	Form 4
2026-04-14	Vautrinot Suzanne M	director	Award / grant	2,947	29,918	Form 4
2026-04-14	Long Letitia A	director	Award / grant	2,947	25,175	Form 4
2026-04-14	Lord Ellen M.	director	Award / grant	2,947	14,597	Form 4
2026-04-14	MITCHELL M CHRISTIAN	director	Award / grant	2,947	29,918	Form 4
2026-04-14	McMahon Harry T.	director	Award / grant	2,947	51,582	Form 4
2026-04-14	McDew Darren W	director	Award / grant	2,947	25,175	Form 4
2026-04-01	Lagasse Soo	officer	Award / grant	3,692	12,496	Form 4
2026-04-01	WAJSGRAS DAVID C	director	Award / grant	518	37,133	Form 4
2026-04-01	LEER STEVEN F	director	Award / grant	718	30,454	Form 4
2026-03-09	Smith Carey A.	director	Withheld for tax	10,474	562,876	Form 4
2026-03-09	Ofilos Matthew	officer	Withheld for tax	2,135	75,579	Form 4
2026-03-09	Balaguer Susan M.	officer	Withheld for tax	798	37,207	Form 4
2026-03-01	Martinez John Thomas	director	Award / grant	45,433	55,008	Form 4
2026-02-26	Smith Carey A.	director	Withheld for tax	7,132	573,350	Form 4
2026-02-26	Ofilos Matthew	officer	Withheld for tax	1,487	77,714	Form 4
2026-02-26	Balaguer Susan M.	officer	Withheld for tax	614	38,005	Form 4
2026-02-20	Smith Carey A.	director	Withheld for tax	67,755	580,482	Form 4
2026-02-20	Ofilos Matthew	officer	Withheld for tax	14,171	79,201	Form 4
2026-02-20	Balaguer Susan M.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,881	38,619	Form 4
2026-02-20	Smith Carey A.	director	Award / grant	150,231	648,237	Form 4
2026-02-20	Ofilos Matthew	officer	Award / grant	10,472	62,063	Form 4
2026-02-20	Ofilos Matthew	officer	Award / grant	31,309	93,372	Form 4
2026-02-20	Martinez John Thomas	director	Award / grant	9,575	9,575	Form 4
2026-02-20	Balaguer Susan M.	officer	Award / grant	12,636	44,500	Form 4
2026-02-20	Smith Carey A.	director	Award / grant	59,844	453,123	Form 4
2026-02-20	Smith Carey A.	director	Award / grant	44,883	498,006	Form 4
2026-01-01	WAJSGRAS DAVID C	director	Award / grant	442	36,615	Form 4
2026-01-01	LEER STEVEN F	director	Award / grant	562	29,736	Form 4
2025-12-18	Balaguer Susan M.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,976	31,864	Form 4
2025-12-17	Smith Carey A.	director	Withheld for tax	7,541	393,003	Form 4
2025-12-01	Smith Robert Hanson	director	Award / grant	726	726	Form 4
2025-10-01	WAJSGRAS DAVID C	director	Award / grant	417	36,173	Form 4
2025-10-01	LEER STEVEN F	director	Award / grant	529	29,174	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i