Issued 2026-09-16 at $40.09 · now $40.09 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PSIX has typically landed between $25.81 and $62.02 — a range of −35.6% to +54.7% from the issuance price $40.09.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,595 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-04-17 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($40.09) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PSIX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $40.09 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $40.09 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $40.09 (+0.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $33.69–$46.49
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $25.81–$62.02
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,595 windows spanning 2012-04-17 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2017-01-10 | −57.8% | −57.8% | +7.2% |
| 2020-02-21 | −55.6% | −55.6% | +0.0% |
| 2017-01-04 | −55.3% | −55.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-06-06 | +194.9% | +0.0% | +194.9% |
| 2024-06-05 | +160.9% | +0.0% | +160.9% |
| 2024-12-19 | +142.1% | +0.0% | +149.6% |
3,595 overlapping windows · 2012-04-17 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~15 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
43%
+5.2%
n=14
Feb
43%
+2.3%
n=14
Mar
64%
+5.5%
n=14
Apr
43%
+0.7%
n=14
May
53%
+13.4%
n=15
Jun
40%
+3.7%
n=15
Jul
47%
+11.1%
n=15
Aug
47%
+1.3%
n=15
Sep
47%
−4.3%
n=15
Oct
43%
−0.2%
n=14
Nov
50%
+4.9%
n=14
Dec
43%
−5.5%
n=14
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-11 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 30,519 @ $94.33 | $2.9M | −0.3% of holding | −9.0% | −41.3% | 10,599,759 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 23,231 @ $93.64 | $2.2M | −0.2% of holding | −9.0% | −41.3% | 10,630,278 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 19,351 @ $92.46 | $1.8M | −0.2% of holding | −9.0% | −41.3% | 10,653,509 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,738 @ $91.72 | $618K | −0.1% of holding | −9.0% | −41.3% | 10,672,860 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | He Hong | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $94.00 | $141K | −7.4% of holding | −9.0% | −41.3% | 18,750 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 14,557 @ $92.34 | $1.3M | −0.1% of holding | −1.5% | −35.1% | 10,690,269 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,585 @ $94.45 | $716K | −0.1% of holding | −1.5% | −35.1% | 10,680,169 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,308 @ $90.28 | $570K | −0.1% of holding | −1.5% | −35.1% | 10,709,844 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,018 @ $91.44 | $459K | −0.0% of holding | −1.5% | −35.1% | 10,704,826 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,515 @ $93.50 | $235K | −0.0% of holding | −1.5% | −35.1% | 10,687,754 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | He Hong | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $95.00 | $95K | −4.7% of holding | −1.5% | −35.1% | 20,250 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 571 @ $95.20 | $54K | −0.0% of holding | −1.5% | −35.1% | 10,679,598 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Sale | 7,854 @ $91.31 | $717K | −100.0% of holding | −9.1% | −44.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | He Hong | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $92.31 | $231K | −10.5% of holding | −9.1% | −44.8% | 21,250 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | He Hong | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $90.00 | $135K | −5.9% of holding | −9.1% | −44.8% | 23,750 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | He Hong | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $89.00 | $89K | −3.8% of holding | −3.4% | −42.7% | 25,250 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 21,925 @ $81.57 | $1.8M | −0.2% of holding | +30.2% | +3.8% | 10,774,726 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 17,075 @ $82.49 | $1.4M | −0.2% of holding | +30.2% | +3.8% | 10,757,651 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 13,548 @ $80.66 | $1.1M | −0.1% of holding | +30.2% | +3.8% | 10,796,651 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 11,923 @ $83.45 | $995K | −0.1% of holding | +30.2% | +3.8% | 10,745,728 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 11,295 @ $86.74 | $980K | −0.1% of holding | +30.2% | +3.8% | 10,722,391 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 9,949 @ $84.35 | $839K | −0.1% of holding | +30.2% | +3.8% | 10,735,779 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,385 @ $88.35 | $299K | −0.0% of holding | +30.2% | +3.8% | 10,716,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,676 @ $87.52 | $234K | −0.0% of holding | +30.2% | +3.8% | 10,719,715 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,093 @ $85.81 | $180K | −0.0% of holding | +30.2% | +3.8% | 10,733,686 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 178 @ $89.00 | $16K | −0.0% of holding | +30.2% | +3.8% | 10,716,152 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 12,283 @ $91.63 | $1.1M | −0.1% of holding | +22.1% | −0.6% | 10,825,289 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 11,395 @ $92.56 | $1.1M | −0.1% of holding | +22.1% | −0.6% | 10,813,894 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | SIMPKINS FRANK P | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $91.64 | $916K | −28.6% of holding | +22.1% | −0.6% | 25,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 9,003 @ $90.38 | $814K | −0.1% of holding | +22.1% | −0.6% | 10,837,572 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,102 @ $89.48 | $725K | −0.1% of holding | +22.1% | −0.6% | 10,846,575 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,948 @ $88.78 | $617K | −0.1% of holding | +22.1% | −0.6% | 10,854,677 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,695 @ $93.18 | $344K | −0.0% of holding | +22.1% | −0.6% | 10,810,199 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Li Xun | officer | Sale | 3,600 @ $92.93 | $335K | −77.9% of holding | +22.1% | −0.6% | 1,021 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Li Xun | officer | Sale | 3,600 @ $91.60 | $330K | −43.8% of holding | +22.1% | −0.6% | 4,621 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Li Xun | officer | Sale | 600 @ $93.20 | $56K | −58.8% of holding | +22.1% | −0.6% | 421 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Li Xun | officer | Purchase | 300 @ $92.82 | $28K | +135.7% of holding | +22.1% | −0.6% | 521 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Li Xun | officer | Sale | 200 @ $93.30 | $19K | −47.5% of holding | +22.1% | −0.6% | 221 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 19,228 @ $90.52 | $1.7M | −0.2% of holding | +23.8% | −2.4% | 10,874,948 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 13,323 @ $91.20 | $1.2M | −0.1% of holding | +23.8% | −2.4% | 10,861,625 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 12,294 @ $87.57 | $1.1M | −0.1% of holding | +23.8% | −2.4% | 10,915,427 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 11,263 @ $89.52 | $1.0M | −0.1% of holding | +23.8% | −2.4% | 10,894,176 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 9,988 @ $88.46 | $883K | −0.1% of holding | +23.8% | −2.4% | 10,905,439 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 4,521 @ $85.40 | $386K | −0.0% of holding | +23.8% | −2.4% | 10,931,700 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,979 @ $86.34 | $344K | −0.0% of holding | +23.8% | −2.4% | 10,927,721 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,921 @ $83.60 | $328K | −0.0% of holding | +23.8% | −2.4% | 10,937,886 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,720 @ $82.45 | $307K | −0.0% of holding | +23.8% | −2.4% | 10,941,807 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,308 @ $81.57 | $270K | −0.0% of holding | +23.8% | −2.4% | 10,945,527 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,665 @ $84.74 | $141K | −0.0% of holding | +23.8% | −2.4% | 10,936,221 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 20,729 @ $82.46 | $1.7M | −0.2% of holding | +34.3% | −0.7% | 10,956,261 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 11,512 @ $81.70 | $941K | −0.1% of holding | +34.3% | −0.7% | 10,976,990 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,426 @ $83.26 | $618K | −0.1% of holding | +34.3% | −0.7% | 10,948,835 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,647 @ $80.41 | $213K | −0.0% of holding | +34.3% | −0.7% | 10,988,502 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,797 @ $80.50 | $1.3M | −0.1% of holding | +31.9% | +0.5% | 10,991,154 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5 @ $81.00 | $405 | −0.0% of holding | +31.9% | +0.5% | 10,991,149 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 45,821 @ $80.24 | $3.7M | −0.4% of holding | +29.3% | −1.5% | 11,040,800 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 17,263 @ $81.57 | $1.4M | −0.2% of holding | +29.3% | −1.5% | 11,023,537 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 12,209 @ $82.59 | $1.0M | −0.1% of holding | +29.3% | −1.5% | 11,011,328 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,992 @ $83.45 | $250K | −0.0% of holding | +29.3% | −1.5% | 11,008,336 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Weichai America Corp. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,385 @ $84.32 | $117K | −0.0% of holding | +29.3% | −1.5% | 11,006,951 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
29 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Hu Nan (Richard) | officer | Award / grant | 5,867 | 5,867 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Du Zhaoying | officer | Award / grant | 1,492 | 1,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Li Xun | officer | Award / grant | 1,665 | 1,665 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Li Xun | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,429 | 4,592 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Li Xun | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 8,021 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Li Xun | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 7,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | SIMPKINS FRANK P | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | He Hong | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 23,750 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | Du Zhaoying | officer | Award / grant | 700 | 700 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | Shea Courtney C. | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 5,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-12 | Li Xun | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,779 | 8,221 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-12 | Li Xun | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-12 | Li Xun | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-18 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Disposition | 14,996 | 33,859 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-18 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Option exercise | 14,996 | 48,855 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-18 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Option exercise | 14,996 | 28,334 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Disposition | 35,000 | 33,859 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Option exercise | 35,000 | 68,859 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Option exercise | 35,000 | 43,330 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Disposition | 16,663 | 33,859 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Disposition | 6,670 | 33,859 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Option exercise | 16,663 | 50,522 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Option exercise | 6,670 | 40,529 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Option exercise | 16,663 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Xykis Constantine | officer | Option exercise | 6,670 | 78,330 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-21 | Winemaster Gary S | other | Gift | 760,172 | 2,184,109 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-12 | He Hong | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 28,750 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-12 | SIMPKINS FRANK P | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-12 | Landini Kenneth W | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 59,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.