PSAPublic StorageReal Estate · REIT - Industrialas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $294.68 · now $294.68 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PSA has typically landed between $265.10 and $328.22 — a range of −10.0% to +11.4% from the issuance price $294.68.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($294.68) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PSA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $294.68 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$265.1worst · -10.0%$328.22best · +11.4%
  • now $294.68 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $295.65 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $283.39–$307.92
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $265.1–$328.22
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−31.9%−31.9%+1.4%
2008-10-30−28.3%−32.1%+5.7%
2020-02-21−28.1%−28.1%+1.8%
3 best
2008-12-01+42.0%+0.0%+42.0%
2008-11-20+40.0%+0.0%+45.3%
2008-11-19+33.1%−6.4%+36.1%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$56.6B
market cap
$9.69
EPS (TTM)
33.3
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-29
next earnings
Revenue$4.8B
'20'25
Net income$1.8B
'20'25
Free cash flow$2.9B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr37.0%
'20'25
ROE · by yr19.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.11
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $294.68$282.42$460.20
  • DCF (intrinsic)$447.94
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$318.54
  • Analyst target · range $295.00–$349.00$321.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$294.68

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+0.5%
n=18
Feb
47%
+0.6%
n=19
Mar
74%
+2.7%
n=19
Apr
63%
+1.8%
n=19
May
58%
+0.1%
n=19
Jun
53%
+0.5%
n=19
Jul
74%
+2.5%
n=19
Aug
47%
+1.6%
n=19
Sep
42%
−0.3%
n=19
Oct
50%
+0.3%
n=18
Nov
50%
−0.1%
n=18
Dec
61%
+3.0%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$330$2532026-08-13: 1 insider sale, $463K — Vitan Nathaniel A.2026-06-12: 1 insider sale, $309K — Vitan Nathaniel A.2026-02-20: 2 insider purchases, $30.0M — Mitra Shankh, HAVNER RONALD L JR2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $199K2026-02: 2 open-market purchases, $30.0M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $309K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $463K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Vitan Nathaniel A. — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Vitan Nathaniel A. — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Mitra Shankh — Purchase on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HAVNER RONALD L JR — Purchase on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-13Vitan Nathaniel A.officerSale1,414 @ $327.53$463K−100.0% of holding−8.9%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-12Vitan Nathaniel A.officerSale950 @ $324.81$309K−40.2% of holding−4.6%not yet — horizon still open1,414Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20Mitra ShankhdirectorPurchase561,293 @ $44.54$25.0Mownership Δ n/a−5.5%−3.9%561,293Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20HAVNER RONALD L JRdirectorPurchase112,258 @ $44.54$5.0Mownership Δ n/a−5.5%−3.9%112,258Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-08PETHERBRIDGE LUKE JdirectorPurchase700 @ $284.25$199Kownership Δ n/a+0.9%−4.8%700Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-13Vitan Nathaniel A.officerSale450 @ $317.99$143K−16.0% of holding−4.5%−6.1%2,364Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

164 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Sheek Samuel WadeofficerAward / grant6,2136,213Form 4
2026-07-29HAVNER RONALD L JRdirectorOption exercise34,600182,394Form 4
2026-07-29HAVNER RONALD L JRdirectorOption exercise103,2750Form 4
2026-07-29HAVNER RONALD L JRdirectorOption exercise103,2750Form 4
2026-07-28Johnson NataliadirectorOption exercise3,28426,493Form 4
2026-07-28Johnson NataliadirectorOption exercise10,3270Form 4
2026-07-28Johnson NataliadirectorOption exercise10,3270Form 4
2026-06-30Mitra ShankhdirectorAward / grant3059,329Form 4
2026-06-30WILLIAMS PAUL SdirectorAward / grant461,478Form 4
2026-06-30SPOGLI RONALD PdirectorAward / grant612,834Form 4
2026-06-30HAVNER RONALD L JRdirectorAward / grant46,731Form 4
2026-06-30PETHERBRIDGE LUKE JdirectorAward / grant126462Form 4
2026-06-30HAVNER RONALD L JRdirectorAward / grant95147,794Form 4
2026-06-30SPOGLI RONALD PdirectorAward / grant1456,055Form 4
2026-06-30HAVNER RONALD L JRdirectorAward / grant95147,794Form 4
2026-06-30PETHERBRIDGE LUKE JdirectorAward / grant126462Form 4
2026-06-30SPOGLI RONALD PdirectorAward / grant1456,055Form 4
2026-05-06Pipes KristydirectorAward / grant3,2323,232Form 4
2026-05-06POLADIAN AVEDICK BARUYRdirectorAward / grant3,2323,232Form 4
2026-05-06Owen Rebecca LdirectorAward / grant3,2323,232Form 4
2026-05-06SPOGLI RONALD PdirectorAward / grant3,2323,232Form 4
2026-05-06PETHERBRIDGE LUKE JdirectorAward / grant3,2323,232Form 4
2026-05-06HAVNER RONALD L JRdirectorAward / grant3,2323,232Form 4
2026-05-06HAWTHORNE MARIA RdirectorAward / grant3,2323,232Form 4
2026-05-06WILLIAMS PAUL SdirectorAward / grant3,2323,232Form 4
2026-05-06Shaukat Tariq MdirectorAward / grant3,2323,232Form 4
2026-05-06Mitra ShankhdirectorAward / grant3,2323,232Form 4
2026-05-06GUSTAVSON TAMARA HUGHESdirectorAward / grant3,2323,232Form 4
2026-04-21SPOGLI RONALD PdirectorOption exercise9725,910Form 4
2026-04-21SPOGLI RONALD PdirectorOption exercise5,1630Form 4
2026-04-21SPOGLI RONALD PdirectorOption exercise5,1630Form 4
2026-04-20POLADIAN AVEDICK BARUYRdirectorOption exercise1,0234,785Form 4
2026-04-20POLADIAN AVEDICK BARUYRdirectorOption exercise5,1630Form 4
2026-04-20POLADIAN AVEDICK BARUYRdirectorOption exercise5,1630Form 4
2026-04-14HAVNER RONALD L JRdirectorGift7346,727Form 4
2026-04-10POLADIAN AVEDICK BARUYRdirectorGift2,00024,163Form 4
2026-04-10POLADIAN AVEDICK BARUYRdirectorGift2,0002,000Form 4
2026-04-10POLADIAN AVEDICK BARUYRdirectorGift2,00028,163Form 4
2026-04-10POLADIAN AVEDICK BARUYRdirectorGift2,00026,163Form 4
2026-04-01HAVNER RONALD L JRdirectorWithheld for tax2667,461Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-13$1–15K
Virginia FoxxHousesale2026-02-062026-01-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-06$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-01-122025-12-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-11-062025-10-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-10-032025-09-05$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-09-122025-08-05$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.