Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.89 · now $5.89 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PRTH has typically landed between $4.44 and $7.61 — a range of −24.6% to +29.1% from the issuance price $5.89.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,436 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-12-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.89) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PRTH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.89 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $5.89 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.89 (+0.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.26–$6.52
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.44–$7.61
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-01-28 | −44.4% | −44.4% | +4.5% |
| 2022-05-26 | −40.2% | −40.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-28 | −36.4% | −37.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-11-06 | +137.4% | −1.8% | +137.4% |
| 2020-11-10 | +134.1% | −1.8% | +137.4% |
| 2020-11-03 | +130.3% | −2.9% | +130.3% |
2,436 overlapping windows · 2016-12-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Favilla Christina M | director | Sale | 1,229 @ $6.67 | $8K | −0.9% of holding | −9.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 136,593 | Form 4 · filed 22 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Passilla Michael | director | Sale | 1,168 @ $6.67 | $8K | −0.8% of holding | −9.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 137,456 | Form 4 · filed 22 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Davis Marietta | director | Sale | 1,168 @ $6.67 | $8K | −1.3% of holding | −9.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 86,676 | Form 4 · filed 22 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Kumar Rajiv | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $8.00 | $80K | −17.8% of holding | −11.6% | −40.6% | 46,074 | Form 4 · filed 161 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | MILLER BRADLEY J | officer | Sale | 100,000 @ $8.55 | $855K | −29.1% of holding | −18.7% | −46.8% | 243,620 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-22 | Davis Marietta | director | Sale | 9,433 @ $7.22 | $68K | −11.2% of holding | +3.2% | −44.1% | 75,136 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-21 | Priore John Vito | director | Sale | 1,242,856 @ $7.44 | $9.2M | −23.4% of holding | +30.7% | −25.5% | 4,071,574 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-21 | Priore Thomas Charles | director | Sale | 105,833 @ $7.44 | $787K | −0.3% of holding | +30.7% | −25.5% | 33,919,486 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-21 | Ram Ranjana | officer | Sale | 6,615 @ $7.44 | $49K | −1.0% of holding | +30.7% | −25.5% | 686,389 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-17 | Priore John Vito | director | Sale | 3,454,575 @ $7.44 | $25.7M | −39.4% of holding | +33.6% | −24.6% | 5,314,430 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-17 | Priore Thomas Charles | director | Sale | 294,167 @ $7.44 | $2.2M | −0.9% of holding | +33.6% | −24.6% | 34,025,319 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-17 | Ram Ranjana | officer | Sale | 18,385 @ $7.44 | $137K | −2.6% of holding | +33.6% | −24.6% | 693,004 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | Priore John Vito | director | Sale | 2,555 @ $11.75 | $30K | −0.0% of holding | −15.7% | −35.1% | 8,769,005 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-24 | Kiewiet Sean | officer | Sale | 170,596 @ $10.60 | $1.8M | −19.3% of holding | −13.6% | −31.5% | 711,853 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Kiewiet Sean | officer | Sale | 100 @ $10.00 | $1K | −0.0% of holding | −4.9% | −15.3% | 882,449 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | Kiewiet Sean | officer | Sale | 100 @ $10.00 | $1K | −0.0% of holding | +0.9% | −19.2% | 882,549 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | Kiewiet Sean | officer | Sale | 3,764 @ $10.01 | $38K | −0.4% of holding | +18.4% | −12.8% | 882,649 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-04 | Kiewiet Sean | officer | Sale | 488 @ $10.01 | $5K | −0.1% of holding | +24.8% | −9.5% | 886,413 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
195 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Sun Yi | officer | Disposition | 7,338 | 65,667 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Sun Yi | officer | Award / grant | 25,000 | 73,005 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Sun Yi | officer | Award / grant | 25,000 | 73,005 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Favilla Christina M | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 8,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Main Clayton James | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 8,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Passilla Michael | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 138,624 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | CRISAFULLI MARC A | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 8,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Davis Marietta | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 87,844 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Davis Marietta | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 8,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Passilla Michael | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 8,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Favilla Christina M | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 137,822 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Main Clayton James | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 17,267 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Main Clayton James | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 17,267 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Favilla Christina M | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 137,822 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | CRISAFULLI MARC A | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 96,398 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | CRISAFULLI MARC A | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 96,398 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Favilla Christina M | director | Disposition | 1,229 | 133,526 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Davis Marietta | director | Disposition | 1,168 | 83,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Passilla Michael | director | Disposition | 1,168 | 134,328 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Davis Marietta | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 12,886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Passilla Michael | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 12,886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Main Clayton James | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 12,886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Favilla Christina M | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 12,886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | CRISAFULLI MARC A | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 12,886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Main Clayton James | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 12,971 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Favilla Christina M | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 134,755 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Passilla Michael | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 135,496 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Main Clayton James | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 12,971 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Davis Marietta | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 84,716 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Passilla Michael | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 135,496 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Favilla Christina M | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 134,755 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | CRISAFULLI MARC A | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 92,102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Davis Marietta | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 84,716 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | CRISAFULLI MARC A | director | Option exercise | 4,296 | 92,102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Kumar Rajiv | officer | Option exercise | 4,296 | 8,591 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Ram Ranjana | officer | Option exercise | 23,077 | 709,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Ram Ranjana | officer | Option exercise | 23,077 | 46,154 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Kiewiet Sean | officer | Option exercise | 20,513 | 41,026 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Sun Yi | officer | Option exercise | 17,949 | 17,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Sun Yi | officer | Option exercise | 17,949 | 35,897 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.