PRMEPrime Medicine, Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.00 · now $3.00 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PRME has typically landed between $2.01 and $4.28 — a range of −33.0% to +42.5% from the issuance price $3.00.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

958 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-10-202026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.00) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PRME has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$2.01worst · -33.0%$4.28best · +42.5%
  • now $3 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.85 (-5.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.4$3.3
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.01$4.28
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 958 windows spanning 2022-10-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-10-15−47.7%−47.7%+0.0%
2023-09-13−47.3%−47.3%+0.2%
2025-03-07−45.8%−45.8%+0.0%
3 best
2025-06-11+214.4%−4.6%+214.4%
2025-06-05+201.5%+0.0%+201.5%
2025-06-12+193.8%+0.0%+229.5%

958 overlapping windows · 2022-10-202026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Pending catalysts

  • January 2030Trial primary completion: Phase 1/Phase PHASE2 primary completion: A Study of the Safety and Efficacy of Prime Editing (PM359) in Participants With p47phox Autosomal Recessive Chronic Granulomatous Disease (CGD ) (source, as of 2026-08-14)

Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
25%
−7.0%
n=4
Feb
50%
+10.2%
n=4
Mar
0%
−22.4%
n=4
Apr
50%
−7.2%
n=4
May
25%
−0.1%
n=4
Jun
75%
+24.8%
n=4
Jul
75%
+10.6%
n=4
Aug
25%
−6.6%
n=4
Sep
25%
+4.3%
n=4
Oct
33%
−14.2%
n=3
Nov
25%
−8.7%
n=4
Dec
50%
+2.4%
n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$7$32025-08: 4 open-market purchases, $34.9M↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-08-01ARCH Venture Partners X, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase3,030,300 @ $3.30$10.0M+94.7% of holding−25.8%−18.4%6,230,300Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01ARCH Venture Partners XII, LLCdirectorPurchase3,030,300 @ $3.30$10.0M+94.7% of holding−25.8%−18.4%6,230,300Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01NELSEN ROBERTdirectorPurchase3,030,300 @ $3.30$10.0M+94.7% of holding−25.8%−18.4%6,230,300Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01GV 2021 GP, L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerPurchase1,500,000 @ $3.30$5.0M+85.1% of holding−25.8%−18.4%3,262,440Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-30Liu David R.tenPercentOwnerPurchase21,000 @ $2.52$53K+0.1% of holding+56.0%+24.5%20,240,945Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-23Liu David R.tenPercentOwnerPurchase21,000 @ $2.16$45K+0.1% of holding+109.1%+54.5%20,219,945Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-16Liu David R.tenPercentOwnerPurchase21,000 @ $1.49$31K+0.1% of holding+155.5%+155.7%20,198,945Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-11Liu David R.tenPercentOwnerPurchase21,000 @ $1.60$34K+0.1% of holding+210.2%+168.0%20,177,945Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21Reine AllandirectorPurchase125,000 @ $1.18$147Kownership Δ n/a+81.3%+203.6%125,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21LEE ANN L.officerPurchase100,000 @ $1.13$113Kownership Δ n/a+81.3%+203.6%100,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-20Brudnick RicharddirectorPurchase20,000 @ $1.19$24Kownership Δ n/a+74.9%+188.9%20,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

144 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-05Foster-Cheek Kaye IdirectorAward / grant75,00075,000Form 4
2026-06-05Cahill ThomasdirectorAward / grant75,00075,000Form 4
2026-06-05Schenkein David PdirectorAward / grant75,00075,000Form 4
2026-06-05Chung WendydirectorAward / grant75,00075,000Form 4
2026-06-05NELSEN ROBERTdirectorAward / grant75,00075,000Form 4
2026-06-05Marrazzo Jeffrey DdirectorAward / grant75,00075,000Form 4
2026-06-05Kelly Michael AarondirectorAward / grant75,00075,000Form 4
2026-04-16Makhni Svetlana NiofficerAward / grant800,000800,000Form 4
2026-02-26Reine AllandirectorAward / grant1,300,0001,300,000Form 4
2026-02-23LEE ANN L.officerAward / grant375,000375,000Form 4
2026-02-23Alenson CarmanofficerAward / grant140,000140,000Form 4
2025-08-01Foster-Cheek Kaye IdirectorDisposition9,0060Form 4
2025-08-01Foster-Cheek Kaye IdirectorAward / grant9,0069,006Form 4
2025-08-01Foster-Cheek Kaye IdirectorDisposition39,0620Form 4
2025-08-01Foster-Cheek Kaye IdirectorAward / grant39,06239,062Form 4
2025-08-01Foster-Cheek Kaye IdirectorDisposition45,0000Form 4
2025-08-01Foster-Cheek Kaye IdirectorAward / grant45,00045,000Form 4
2025-08-01LEE ANN L.officerDisposition180,9950Form 4
2025-08-01LEE ANN L.officerAward / grant180,995180,995Form 4
2025-08-01LEE ANN L.officerDisposition180,9950Form 4
2025-08-01LEE ANN L.officerAward / grant180,995180,995Form 4
2025-08-01Reine AllandirectorDisposition850,0000Form 4
2025-08-01Reine AllandirectorAward / grant850,000850,000Form 4
2025-08-01Marrazzo Jeffrey DdirectorAward / grant92,00092,000Form 4
2025-08-01Marrazzo Jeffrey DdirectorDisposition250,0000Form 4
2025-08-01Marrazzo Jeffrey DdirectorAward / grant250,000250,000Form 4
2025-08-01Marrazzo Jeffrey DdirectorDisposition45,0000Form 4
2025-08-01Marrazzo Jeffrey DdirectorAward / grant45,00045,000Form 4
2025-08-01Kelly Michael AarondirectorDisposition13,5100Form 4
2025-08-01Kelly Michael AarondirectorAward / grant13,51013,510Form 4
2025-08-01Kelly Michael AarondirectorDisposition9,0060Form 4
2025-08-01Kelly Michael AarondirectorAward / grant9,0069,006Form 4
2025-08-01Kelly Michael AarondirectorDisposition39,0620Form 4
2025-08-01Kelly Michael AarondirectorAward / grant39,06239,062Form 4
2025-08-01Kelly Michael AarondirectorDisposition45,0000Form 4
2025-08-01Kelly Michael AarondirectorAward / grant45,00045,000Form 4
2025-08-01Schenkein David PdirectorDisposition39,0620Form 4
2025-08-01Schenkein David PdirectorAward / grant39,06239,062Form 4
2025-08-01Schenkein David PdirectorDisposition45,0000Form 4
2025-08-01Schenkein David PdirectorAward / grant45,00045,000Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.