PRMBPrimo Brands CorporationConsumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholicas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $21.15 · now $21.15 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PRMB has typically landed between $18.66 and $24.49 — a range of −11.8% to +15.8% from the issuance price $21.15.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,001 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($21.15) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PRMB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $21.15 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$18.66worst · -11.8%$24.49best · +15.8%
  • now $21.15 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $21.34 (+0.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $20.01–$22.68
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $18.66–$24.49
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,001 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2011-07-21−74.0%−74.0%+7.0%
2011-07-22−73.7%−74.5%+5.1%
2011-07-20−73.0%−73.0%+9.8%
3 best
2009-04-08+412.0%+0.0%+412.0%
2009-04-09+410.1%+0.0%+410.1%
2009-04-01+340.0%−9.3%+340.0%

5,001 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−0.1%
n=20
Feb
40%
−2.8%
n=20
Mar
55%
+5.6%
n=20
Apr
70%
+8.8%
n=20
May
55%
+13.0%
n=20
Jun
45%
−0.5%
n=20
Jul
60%
+2.8%
n=20
Aug
45%
−1.9%
n=20
Sep
40%
−5.3%
n=20
Oct
45%
−1.6%
n=20
Nov
60%
+3.8%
n=20
Dec
55%
+4.3%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$25$142026-08-10: 2 insider purchases, $2.0M — FOSS ERIC J …2026-08-07: 2 insider sales, $994.8M — ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLC, Lee Tony W2025-11-13: 1 insider purchase, $896K — STANBROOK STEVEN P2025-11-12: 1 insider purchase, $80K — FOSS ERIC J2025-11-11: 2 insider purchases, $2.2M — FOSS ERIC J, Hass David W.2025-11-10: 1 insider purchase, $79K — Cramer Michael John2025-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $98K — Cramer Michael John2025-08-13: 1 insider purchase, $200K — Rietbroek Robbert2025-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $298K — STANBROOK STEVEN P2025-08: 3 open-market purchases, $596K2025-11: 5 open-market purchases, $3.2M2026-08: 2 open-market purchases, $2.0M2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $994.8M↑ buys↓ salesdirector FOSS ERIC J — Purchase on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector FOSS ERIC J — Purchase on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLC — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Lee Tony W — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector STANBROOK STEVEN P — Purchase on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FOSS ERIC J — Purchase on 2025-11-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FOSS ERIC J — Purchase on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hass David W. — Purchase on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cramer Michael John — Purchase on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Cramer Michael John — Purchase on 2025-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rietbroek Robbert — Purchase on 2025-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STANBROOK STEVEN P — Purchase on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10FOSS ERIC JdirectorPurchase83,900 @ $23.80$2.0M+17.1% of holding−9.9%not yet — horizon still open573,706Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10FOSS ERIC JdirectorPurchase100 @ $24.30$2K+0.0% of holding−9.9%not yet — horizon still open573,806Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-07ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLCtenPercentOwnerSale20,410,340 @ $24.37$497.4M−17.6% of holding−6.2%not yet — horizon still open95,800,466Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07Lee Tony WdirectorSale20,410,340 @ $24.37$497.4M−17.6% of holding−6.2%not yet — horizon still open95,800,466Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-13STANBROOK STEVEN PdirectorPurchase54,540 @ $16.43$896K+42.9% of holding+1.3%+35.3%181,601Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-12FOSS ERIC JdirectorPurchase4,970 @ $16.15$80K+1.4% of holding+3.2%+37.2%360,036Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-11FOSS ERIC JdirectorPurchase123,049 @ $15.52$1.9M+53.0% of holding+3.8%+42.1%355,066Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-11Hass David W.officerPurchase15,910 @ $15.71$250K+32.6% of holding+3.8%+42.1%64,745Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10Cramer Michael JohndirectorPurchase5,000 @ $15.73$79K+39.2% of holding+0.8%+42.9%17,762Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-14Cramer Michael JohndirectorPurchase4,000 @ $24.46$98K+45.7% of holding−10.8%−29.1%12,762Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-13Rietbroek RobbertdirectorPurchase8,285 @ $24.12$200K+1.4% of holding−3.1%−27.9%586,349Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-12STANBROOK STEVEN PdirectorPurchase12,400 @ $24.04$298K+11.0% of holding−1.2%−27.8%125,025Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12Lee Tony WdirectorSale50,657,562 @ $31.67$1.6B−30.4% of holding−12.2%−68.3%116,210,806Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLCtenPercentOwnerSale50,657,562 @ $31.67$1.6B−30.4% of holding−12.2%−68.3%116,210,806Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-12Lee Tony WdirectorSale51,750,000 @ $29.50$1.5B−23.7% of holding+12.7%−40.2%166,868,368Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-12ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLCtenPercentOwnerSale51,750,000 @ $29.50$1.5B−23.7% of holding+12.7%−40.2%166,868,368Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

95 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-14Sudhanshu PriyadarshidirectorAward / grant5,7125,712Form 4
2026-06-30STANBROOK STEVEN PdirectorAward / grant1,227195,501Form 4
2026-05-15Brimmer Andrea CdirectorAward / grant7,1977,197Form 4
2026-04-28Metropoulos C. DeandirectorAward / grant42920,596Form 4
2026-04-28Fowden Jeremy SGdirectorAward / grant8,8871,300,963Form 4
2026-04-28Cates Susan E.directorAward / grant8,88781,360Form 4
2026-04-28Cramer Michael JohndirectorAward / grant8,88726,649Form 4
2026-04-28Bomhard BrittadirectorAward / grant8,88771,506Form 4
2026-04-28PAK MINSOKdirectorAward / grant8,88711,570Form 4
2026-04-28STANBROOK STEVEN PdirectorAward / grant8,887194,274Form 4
2026-04-28Prim Billy DdirectorAward / grant8,8871,086,906Form 4
2026-03-31STANBROOK STEVEN PdirectorAward / grant1,593185,387Form 4
2026-03-31Metropoulos C. DeandirectorAward / grant1,46020,167Form 4
2026-01-23Hass David W.officerWithheld for tax2,719363,972Form 4
2026-01-15PAK MINSOKdirectorAward / grant2,6832,683Form 4
2026-01-03Hass David W.officerWithheld for tax18,052366,691Form 4
2026-01-03Ausher Jason RofficerWithheld for tax3,814102,897Form 4
2025-12-31STANBROOK STEVEN PdirectorAward / grant2,193183,794Form 4
2025-12-31Metropoulos C. DeandirectorAward / grant1,68118,707Form 4
2025-12-11Hass David W.officerWithheld for tax3,274384,743Form 4
2025-12-11Austin Robert PofficerWithheld for tax2,03228,289Form 4
2025-12-11Kim Hih SongofficerWithheld for tax1,61537,624Form 4
2025-12-11Ausher Jason RofficerWithheld for tax325106,711Form 4
2025-12-10FOSS ERIC JdirectorAward / grant129,770489,806Form 4
2025-12-10Ausher Jason RofficerAward / grant6,164107,036Form 4
2025-12-10Kim Hih SongofficerAward / grant23,79139,239Form 4
2025-12-10Hass David W.officerAward / grant34,605388,017Form 4
2025-12-10Austin Robert PofficerAward / grant18,38430,321Form 4
2025-12-08Hass David W.officerWithheld for tax2,682353,412Form 4
2025-12-08Ausher Jason RofficerWithheld for tax376100,872Form 4
2025-12-08ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLCtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition11Form 4
2025-12-08ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLCtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition11Form 4
2025-12-08Lee Tony WdirectorOther acquisition11Form 4
2025-12-08ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLCtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition11Form 4
2025-12-08ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLCtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition11Form 4
2025-12-08ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLCtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition11Form 4
2025-12-08ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLCtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition11Form 4
2025-12-08Lee Tony WdirectorOther acquisition11Form 4
2025-12-07Hass David W.officerWithheld for tax503356,094Form 4
2025-12-07Ausher Jason RofficerWithheld for tax427101,248Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.