Issued 2026-09-16 at $31.90 · now $31.90 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PRM has typically landed between $25.76 and $40.33 — a range of −19.2% to +26.4% from the issuance price $31.90.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,184 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-11-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($31.90) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PRM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $31.9 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $31.9 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $32.22 (+1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $28.92–$35.51
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $25.76–$40.33
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-09-14 | −44.9% | −44.9% | +0.0% |
| 2023-09-15 | −44.0% | −44.9% | +0.0% |
| 2023-09-20 | −42.8% | −42.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-11-03 | +51.3% | +0.0% | +53.6% |
| 2023-11-01 | +51.0% | +0.0% | +51.0% |
| 2023-11-02 | +47.6% | +0.0% | +50.0% |
1,184 overlapping windows · 2021-11-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | WINDACRE PARTNERSHIP LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,875,000 @ $33.90 | $63.6M | −10.4% of holding | −12.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,148,621 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-29 | WINDACRE PARTNERSHIP LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 437,500 @ $33.00 | $14.4M | −2.4% of holding | −1.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,023,621 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | WINDACRE PARTNERSHIP LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,296,400 @ $34.40 | $79.0M | −10.8% of holding | −8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,029,600 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | WINDACRE PARTNERSHIP LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 548,479 @ $34.51 | $18.9M | −2.9% of holding | −8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,461,121 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | WINDACRE PARTNERSHIP LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 378,600 @ $36.22 | $13.7M | −1.7% of holding | −8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,476,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | WINDACRE PARTNERSHIP LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 150,000 @ $34.98 | $5.2M | −0.7% of holding | −8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,326,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | WINDACRE PARTNERSHIP LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 20,000 @ $36.25 | $725K | −0.1% of holding | −8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,009,600 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Khouri Haitham | director | Sale | 117,511 @ $31.19 | $3.7M | −5.9% of holding | +16.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,874,615 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-21 | Khouri Haitham | director | Sale | 91,724 @ $31.91 | $2.9M | −4.4% of holding | +15.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,992,126 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Khouri Haitham | director | Sale | 20,300 @ $34.09 | $692K | −1.0% of holding | +11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,083,850 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Emery Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 53,537 @ $33.45 | $1.8M | −100.0% of holding | +4.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Sable Kyle | officer | Sale | 46,263 @ $33.05 | $1.5M | −93.4% of holding | +4.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,277 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Sable Kyle | officer | Sale | 3,277 @ $33.59 | $110K | −100.0% of holding | +4.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Sable Kyle | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $31.75 | $953K | −100.0% of holding | +9.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Emery Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 97,855 @ $32.90 | $3.2M | −97.9% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,108 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Sable Kyle | officer | Sale | 20,460 @ $32.89 | $673K | −100.0% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Emery Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 2,108 @ $34.05 | $72K | −100.0% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Sable Kyle | officer | Sale | 150,000 @ $31.52 | $4.7M | −100.0% of holding | +3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Emery Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 46,500 @ $32.00 | $1.5M | −100.0% of holding | +3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Thorndike William N Jr | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $23.18 | $2.3M | −1.2% of holding | +8.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,535,656 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-10 | Thorndike William N Jr | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $23.63 | $2.4M | −1.1% of holding | +6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,635,656 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Thorndike William N Jr | director | Sale | 90,043 @ $23.18 | $2.1M | −1.0% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,770,613 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Thorndike William N Jr | director | Sale | 34,957 @ $23.85 | $834K | −0.4% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,735,656 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Thorndike William N Jr | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $23.63 | $2.4M | −1.1% of holding | +4.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,860,656 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-05 | Thorndike William N Jr | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $24.06 | $2.4M | −1.1% of holding | +5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,960,656 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Thorndike William N Jr | director | Sale | 125,000 @ $24.26 | $3.0M | −1.4% of holding | +10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,060,656 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Yokozuka Noriko | officer | Sale | 137,500 @ $28.44 | $3.9M | −74.5% of holding | −1.7% | +17.8% | 47,157 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Sable Kyle | officer | Sale | 100,000 @ $28.47 | $2.8M | −100.0% of holding | −1.7% | +17.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Raj Vivek | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $22.45 | $561K | −17.0% of holding | −4.1% | +1.2% | 121,701 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | Sable Kyle | officer | Sale | 40,000 @ $22.05 | $882K | −100.0% of holding | −1.7% | +1.1% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-04 | Emery Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 300,000 @ $22.28 | $6.7M | −100.0% of holding | −3.2% | +1.4% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-27 | WindAcre Partnership Master Fund, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 254,600 @ $13.98 | $3.6M | +1.2% of holding | +13.2% | +88.0% | 21,854,600 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-27 | WindAcre Partnership Master Fund, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 254,600 @ $13.98 | $3.6M | −100.0% of holding | +13.2% | +88.0% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Raj Vivek | director | Sale | 32,000 @ $11.70 | $374K | −32.0% of holding | +14.3% | +108.3% | 68,132 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Raj Vivek | director | Sale | 68,810 @ $11.84 | $815K | −40.7% of holding | +11.7% | +105.4% | 100,132 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-19 | Raj Vivek | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $11.78 | $1.2M | −37.2% of holding | +11.6% | +104.3% | 168,942 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Raj Vivek | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $11.74 | $1.2M | −27.1% of holding | +9.9% | +99.3% | 268,942 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Raj Vivek | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $11.92 | $1.2M | −21.3% of holding | +8.6% | +99.9% | 368,942 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-13 | Raj Vivek | director | Sale | 2,284 @ $12.22 | $28K | −0.5% of holding | +7.5% | +94.3% | 468,942 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | Raj Vivek | director | Sale | 250,000 @ $9.17 | $2.3M | −34.7% of holding | +12.2% | +125.0% | 471,226 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
106 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Emery Jeffrey | officer | Option exercise | 53,537 | 53,537 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Sable Kyle | officer | Option exercise | 49,540 | 49,540 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Emery Jeffrey | officer | Option exercise | 53,537 | 300,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Sable Kyle | officer | Option exercise | 49,540 | 70,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sable Kyle | officer | Option exercise | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sable Kyle | officer | Option exercise | 30,000 | 119,540 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Emery Jeffrey | officer | Option exercise | 99,963 | 99,963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Sable Kyle | officer | Option exercise | 20,460 | 20,460 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Emery Jeffrey | officer | Option exercise | 99,963 | 353,537 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Sable Kyle | officer | Option exercise | 20,460 | 149,540 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Sable Kyle | officer | Option exercise | 130,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Emery Jeffrey | officer | Option exercise | 46,500 | 46,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Sable Kyle | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Emery Jeffrey | officer | Option exercise | 46,500 | 453,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Sable Kyle | officer | Option exercise | 130,000 | 170,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Sable Kyle | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Howley W Nicholas | director | Gift | 3,480,640 | 606,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Howley W Nicholas | director | Gift | 1,000,000 | 4,086,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Cool Tracy Britt | director | Award / grant | 65,843 | 250,493 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Raj Vivek | director | Award / grant | 555,859 | 677,560 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Khouri Haitham | director | Award / grant | 1,600,317 | 2,104,150 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Thorndike William N Jr | director | Award / grant | 5,582,492 | 9,185,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Howley W Nicholas | director | Gift | 1,101,852 | 5,086,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Howley W Nicholas | director | Award / grant | 5,582,492 | 6,188,692 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | HENNESSY SEAN P | director | Award / grant | 6,194 | 6,194 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Cool Tracy Britt | director | Award / grant | 6,194 | 6,194 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Cool Tracy Britt | director | Award / grant | 7,000 | 14,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Cool Tracy Britt | director | Award / grant | 7,000 | 21,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Cool Tracy Britt | director | Award / grant | 7,000 | 28,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Cool Tracy Britt | director | Award / grant | 1,750 | 7,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Henderson Robert S | director | Award / grant | 6,194 | 6,194 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Henderson Robert S | director | Award / grant | 7,000 | 14,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Henderson Robert S | director | Award / grant | 7,000 | 21,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Henderson Robert S | director | Award / grant | 7,000 | 28,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Henderson Robert S | director | Award / grant | 1,750 | 7,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Henderson Robert S | director | Award / grant | 2,655 | 2,655 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Bowman Grant | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Bowman Grant | officer | Award / grant | 39,820 | 39,820 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Valladares III Jorge L. | director | Award / grant | 6,194 | 6,194 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Yokozuka Noriko | officer | Award / grant | 120,000 | 360,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.