PRKS · TickerCove

PRKSUnited Parks & Resorts Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Leisureas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $36.13 · now $36.13 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PRKS has typically landed between $30.40 and $42.27 — a range of −15.9% to +17.0% from the issuance price $36.13.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,352 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-04-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($36.13) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$36.13 · 25% of range

$29.73 low$55.21 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.5%

typical move · IQR 13.6%

−15.9%worst (p90)+17.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PRKS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $36.13 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $36.13 (+0.0%)
typical $35.97 (-0.5%)
middle 50% $33.51–$38.42
90% range $30.4–$42.27

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,352 windows spanning 2013-04-19 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−79.3%	−79.3%	+0.4%
2020-02-19	−76.4%	−79.3%	+0.0%
2020-02-14	−76.3%	−76.3%	+0.0%
3 best
2021-01-27	+80.0%	+0.0%	+80.0%
2021-01-28	+70.3%	−3.2%	+70.3%
2021-01-29	+69.3%	+0.0%	+76.0%

3,352 overlapping windows · 2013-04-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

46%

+2.6%

n=13

Feb

62%

+6.1%

n=13

Mar

46%

−4.8%

n=13

Apr

46%

+1.6%

n=13

May

79%

+4.4%

n=14

Jun

36%

−3.0%

n=14

Jul

29%

−1.0%

n=14

Aug

43%

−0.5%

n=14

Sep

43%

−1.2%

n=14

Oct

62%

+2.6%

n=13

Nov

54%

+2.6%

n=13

Dec

69%

+4.0%

n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-06	Finazzo Christopher L.	officer	Sale	6,622 @ $44.20	$293K	−5.1% of holding	−8.8%	not yet — horizon still open	123,663	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-22	Finazzo Christopher L.	officer	Sale	8,000 @ $36.76	$294K	−5.8% of holding	+28.8%	not yet — horizon still open	130,285	Form 4 · filed 21 days after the trade
2025-12-15	Finazzo Christopher L.	officer	Sale	7,200 @ $35.12	$253K	−4.9% of holding	+6.3%	+21.0%	138,285	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-10	Finazzo Christopher L.	officer	Sale	9,598 @ $43.18	$414K	−7.4% of holding	+7.3%	−31.0%	119,776	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-10	Surrett Byron	officer	Sale	965 @ $42.58	$41K	−4.7% of holding	+7.3%	−31.0%	19,356	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10	Surrett Byron	officer	Sale	7,008 @ $48.90	$343K	−38.8% of holding	−10.2%	−10.7%	11,050	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-13	Finazzo Christopher L.	officer	Sale	13,000 @ $55.62	$723K	−8.9% of holding	−4.8%	−23.3%	132,439	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

167 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-30	Swanson Marc	officer	Withheld for tax	2,798	387,930	Form 4
2026-06-30	Hill Path Capital Partners Co-Investment S LP	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	1,821	105,877	Form 4
2026-06-30	Hartnett Timothy	director	Award / grant	1,821	81,378	Form 4
2026-06-30	Hill Path Capital Partners LP	other	Award / grant	1,821	105,877	Form 4
2026-06-30	Lipman Nathaniel	director	Award / grant	207	20,316	Form 4
2026-06-30	Narang Neha Jogani	director	Award / grant	830	57,376	Form 4
2026-06-30	Schaefer Kimberly	director	Award / grant	415	42,740	Form 4
2026-06-30	CHAMBERS JAMES P.	director	Award / grant	1,098	65,558	Form 4
2026-06-30	Gray William	director	Award / grant	1,258	76,721	Form 4
2026-06-16	Gray William	director	Award / grant	5,404	75,463	Form 4
2026-06-16	Hartnett Timothy	director	Award / grant	5,404	79,557	Form 4
2026-06-16	Lipman Nathaniel	director	Award / grant	5,404	20,109	Form 4
2026-06-16	MOLONEY THOMAS E	director	Award / grant	5,404	86,399	Form 4
2026-06-16	Maruyama Yoshikazu	director	Award / grant	5,404	53,145	Form 4
2026-06-16	Narang Neha Jogani	director	Award / grant	5,404	56,546	Form 4
2026-06-16	Schaefer Kimberly	director	Award / grant	5,404	42,325	Form 4
2026-06-16	Hill Path Capital Partners Co-Investment S LP	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	5,404	104,056	Form 4
2026-06-16	Hill Path Capital Partners LP	other	Award / grant	5,404	104,056	Form 4
2026-06-16	CHAMBERS JAMES P.	director	Award / grant	5,404	64,460	Form 4
2026-05-29	Miller Kyle Robert	officer	Award / grant	12,459	51,954	Form 4
2026-05-29	Forrester James W Jr	officer	Award / grant	1,245	27,883	Form 4
2026-04-29	Swanson Marc	officer	Withheld for tax	364	390,728	Form 4
2026-04-29	Dold Christopher	officer	Withheld for tax	83	52,062	Form 4
2026-04-29	Forrester James W Jr	officer	Withheld for tax	79	26,638	Form 4
2026-04-29	Connelly Kevin M.	officer	Withheld for tax	45	4,923	Form 4
2026-04-29	Miller Kyle Robert	officer	Withheld for tax	43	39,495	Form 4
2026-04-29	Connelly Kevin M.	officer	Award / grant	151	5,029	Form 4
2026-04-29	Swanson Marc	officer	Award / grant	983	391,092	Form 4
2026-04-29	Forrester James W Jr	officer	Award / grant	265	26,717	Form 4
2026-04-29	Dold Christopher	officer	Award / grant	279	52,145	Form 4
2026-04-29	Miller Kyle Robert	officer	Award / grant	145	39,538	Form 4
2026-03-31	Hartnett Timothy	director	Award / grant	2,751	74,153	Form 4
2026-03-31	CHAMBERS JAMES P.	director	Award / grant	1,659	59,056	Form 4
2026-03-31	Hill Path Capital Partners Co-Investment S LP	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	2,751	98,652	Form 4
2026-03-31	Lipman Nathaniel	director	Award / grant	313	14,705	Form 4
2026-03-31	Gray William	director	Award / grant	1,901	77,436	Form 4
2026-03-31	Schaefer Kimberly	director	Award / grant	627	36,921	Form 4
2026-03-31	Hill Path Capital Partners LP	other	Award / grant	2,751	98,652	Form 4
2026-03-06	Kelly Thomas Brian	officer	Award / grant	29,481	29,481	Form 4
2026-03-06	Kelly Thomas Brian	officer	Award / grant	47,169	47,169	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i