Issued 2026-09-16 at $291.91 · now $291.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PRI has typically landed between $261.05 and $325.34 — a range of −10.6% to +11.5% from the issuance price $291.91.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,119 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-04-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($291.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PRI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $291.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $291.91 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $297.28 (+1.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $284.11–$310.44
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $261.05–$325.34
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-20 | −54.2% | −54.2% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −49.0% | −52.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −47.5% | −47.5% | +0.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-20 | +47.5% | +0.0% | +63.8% |
| 2020-03-23 | +41.3% | +0.0% | +51.4% |
| 2020-03-19 | +35.6% | −12.2% | +43.8% |
4,119 overlapping windows · 2010-04-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Schneider Peter W. | officer | Sale | 1,800 @ $312.65 | $563K | −18.3% of holding | −3.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,011 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-11 | Cottle Amber Lynne | director | Sale | 279 @ $313.63 | $88K | −7.3% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,549 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-10 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $320.20 | $480K | −4.5% of holding | −6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,196 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-12 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $280.49 | $421K | −4.3% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,696 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Schneider Peter W. | officer | Sale | 1,800 @ $279.64 | $503K | −15.5% of holding | +0.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,811 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Schneider Peter W. | officer | Sale | 1,800 @ $252.38 | $454K | −13.4% of holding | +2.9% | +0.5% | 11,611 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-02 | Jendusa Nicholas Adam | officer | Sale | 190 @ $255.51 | $49K | −38.3% of holding | +2.0% | −0.5% | 306 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $256.41 | $641K | −8.4% of holding | −0.6% | +7.0% | 27,392 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-03 | Babbit Joel M. | director | Sale | 700 @ $255.00 | $179K | −7.7% of holding | +2.0% | −3.4% | 8,400 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-17 | Schneider Peter W. | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $255.30 | $511K | −21.5% of holding | +1.1% | −0.8% | 7,301 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-12 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $259.65 | $649K | −6.9% of holding | +0.3% | −2.0% | 33,892 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-18 | Schneider Peter W. | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $261.16 | $522K | −17.7% of holding | +1.2% | −7.5% | 9,301 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $262.20 | $656K | −6.4% of holding | +1.9% | −11.6% | 36,392 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-13 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $259.04 | $648K | −6.0% of holding | −2.8% | −14.2% | 38,892 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Dheer Sanjeev | director | Sale | 1,300 @ $273.01 | $355K | −25.9% of holding | −4.9% | −19.3% | 3,711 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-19 | Schneider Peter W. | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $280.37 | $561K | −15.0% of holding | −7.2% | −20.9% | 11,301 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Schneider Peter W. | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $282.90 | $566K | −13.1% of holding | +4.0% | −15.5% | 13,301 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Jendusa Nicholas Adam | officer | Sale | 234 @ $280.15 | $66K | −53.9% of holding | +4.0% | −15.5% | 200 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-18 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $281.74 | $845K | −8.3% of holding | +10.2% | −9.7% | 33,322 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
161 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | DAY CYNTHIA N | director | Award / grant | 84 | 20,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Yastine Barbara A. | director | Award / grant | 56 | 19,970 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Williams Donald R. | director | Award / grant | 41 | 21,047 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Babbit Joel M. | director | Award / grant | 34 | 9,177 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Cottle Amber Lynne | director | Award / grant | 12 | 3,561 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Gift | 5,475 | 26,721 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | DAY CYNTHIA N | director | Award / grant | 87 | 20,363 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Yastine Barbara A. | director | Award / grant | 58 | 19,914 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Williams Donald R. | director | Award / grant | 42 | 21,006 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Babbit Joel M. | director | Award / grant | 36 | 9,143 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Cottle Amber Lynne | director | Award / grant | 12 | 3,832 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Cottle Amber Lynne | director | Award / grant | 640 | 3,819 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | DAY CYNTHIA N | director | Award / grant | 640 | 20,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Dheer Sanjeev | director | Award / grant | 640 | 4,351 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Addison John A. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 640 | 16,343 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Wilson Darryl L. | director | Award / grant | 640 | 2,007 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Williams Donald R. | director | Award / grant | 640 | 20,964 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Yastine Barbara A. | director | Award / grant | 640 | 19,856 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Babbit Joel M. | director | Award / grant | 640 | 9,108 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | CRITTENDEN GARY L | director | Award / grant | 100 | 20,808 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | DAY CYNTHIA N | director | Award / grant | 94 | 19,635 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Yastine Barbara A. | director | Award / grant | 65 | 19,216 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Perez Beatriz R | director | Award / grant | 54 | 11,362 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Williams Donald R. | director | Award / grant | 44 | 20,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Babbit Joel M. | director | Award / grant | 37 | 8,468 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Cottle Amber Lynne | director | Award / grant | 15 | 3,177 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Williams Donald R. | director | Gift | 8,000 | 20,280 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Award / grant | 8,817 | 39,141 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Schneider Peter W. | officer | Award / grant | 7,013 | 16,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Disposition | 3,945 | 35,196 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Schneider Peter W. | officer | Disposition | 3,138 | 13,411 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Option exercise | 1,980 | 29,372 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Option exercise | 1,613 | 31,008 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Schneider Peter W. | officer | Option exercise | 1,575 | 8,876 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Option exercise | 1,497 | 30,029 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Schneider Peter W. | officer | Option exercise | 1,191 | 9,399 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Schneider Peter W. | officer | Option exercise | 1,114 | 10,008 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Withheld for tax | 840 | 28,532 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | TAN TRACY XIANGYAN | officer | Option exercise | 703 | 2,461 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Williams Glenn J. | director | Withheld for tax | 684 | 30,324 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.