PRGSProgress Software CorporationTechnology · Software - Infrastructureas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $41.85 · now $41.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PRGS has typically landed between $36.44 and $47.44 — a range of −12.9% to +13.4% from the issuance price $41.85.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-262026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($41.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PRGS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $41.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$36.44worst · -12.9%$47.44best · +13.4%
  • now $41.85 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $41.99 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $39.81$44.16
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $36.44$47.44
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-03-03−35.5%−35.5%+2.1%
2026-02-26−34.3%−35.1%+0.0%
2026-03-02−33.5%−33.5%+3.0%
3 best
2026-06-22+37.1%+0.0%+46.6%
2012-01-04+34.3%+0.0%+34.3%
2009-03-25+33.3%+0.0%+33.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-262026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−0.3%
n=20
Feb
40%
−0.9%
n=20
Mar
55%
−1.1%
n=20
Apr
55%
+3.3%
n=20
May
65%
+1.3%
n=20
Jun
55%
+0.0%
n=20
Jul
50%
+1.4%
n=20
Aug
40%
−0.5%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.7%
n=20
Oct
55%
+2.8%
n=20
Nov
55%
+1.6%
n=20
Dec
60%
+2.6%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$47$252026-08-14: 1 insider sale, $90K — FOLGER ANTHONY2026-07-29: 2 insider sales, $489K — Jarrett Loren …2026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $406K — Subramanian Sundar2026-05-19: 2 insider sales, $130K — FOLGER ANTHONY …2026-05-18: 2 insider sales, $145K — WANG YUFAN STEPHANIE …2026-03-11: 1 insider sale, $61K — Subramanian Sundar2026-03-10: 2 insider sales, $813K — Subramanian Sundar …2026-02-03: 2 insider sales, $240K — FOLGER ANTHONY …2026-01-26: 1 insider sale, $57K — Subramanian Sundar2025-10-06: 1 insider sale, $19K — Pitt Ian2025-10-03: 3 insider sales, $320K — FOLGER ANTHONY, WANG YUFAN STEPHANIE …2025-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $74K — Gawlick Rainer2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $74K2025-10: 4 open-market sales, $339K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $57K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $240K2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $874K2026-05: 4 open-market sales, $275K2026-07: 3 open-market sales, $894K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $90K↑ buys↓ salesdirector FOLGER ANTHONY — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Jarrett Loren — Sale on 2026-07-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Jarrett Loren — Sale on 2026-07-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Subramanian Sundar — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector FOLGER ANTHONY — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FOLGER ANTHONY — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer WANG YUFAN STEPHANIE — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer WANG YUFAN STEPHANIE — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Subramanian Sundar — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Subramanian Sundar — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Subramanian Sundar — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector FOLGER ANTHONY — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed same daydirector FOLGER ANTHONY — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed same dayofficer Subramanian Sundar — Sale on 2026-01-26, filed same dayofficer Pitt Ian — Sale on 2025-10-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FOLGER ANTHONY — Sale on 2025-10-03, filed same dayofficer WANG YUFAN STEPHANIE — Sale on 2025-10-03, filed same daydirector FOLGER ANTHONY — Sale on 2025-10-03, filed same daydirector Gawlick Rainer — Purchase on 2025-08-12, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-14FOLGER ANTHONYdirectorSale2,000 @ $44.80$90K−4.1% of holding+2.1%not yet — horizon still open47,381Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-29Jarrett LorenofficerSale9,963 @ $41.63$415K−45.3% of holding+0.2%not yet — horizon still open12,053Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-29Jarrett LorenofficerSale1,784 @ $41.49$74K−14.8% of holding+0.2%not yet — horizon still open10,269Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01Subramanian SundarofficerSale10,597 @ $38.27$406K−36.6% of holding+3.5%not yet — horizon still open18,370Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-19FOLGER ANTHONYdirectorSale4,074 @ $29.05$118K−7.6% of holding+0.3%not yet — horizon still open49,202Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19FOLGER ANTHONYdirectorSale400 @ $29.96$12K−0.8% of holding+0.3%not yet — horizon still open48,802Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-18WANG YUFAN STEPHANIEofficerSale3,519 @ $29.04$102K−58.0% of holding+2.7%not yet — horizon still open2,544Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-18WANG YUFAN STEPHANIEofficerSale1,500 @ $28.44$43K−19.8% of holding+2.7%not yet — horizon still open6,063Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11Subramanian SundarofficerSale1,600 @ $38.28$61K−9.3% of holding−27.6%−1.2%15,542Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Subramanian SundarofficerSale16,427 @ $37.48$616K−44.2% of holding−27.5%−4.2%20,709Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-10Subramanian SundarofficerSale5,167 @ $38.19$197K−25.0% of holding−27.5%−4.2%15,542Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-03FOLGER ANTHONYdirectorSale5,184 @ $39.88$207K−9.5% of holding+0.3%−6.7%49,618Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-03FOLGER ANTHONYdirectorSale816 @ $40.78$33K−1.6% of holding+0.3%−6.7%48,802Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-26Subramanian SundarofficerSale1,352 @ $42.37$57K−4.4% of holding−4.4%−13.4%29,066Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-06Pitt IanofficerSale409 @ $46.20$19K−5.3% of holding−10.2%−39.6%7,368Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-03FOLGER ANTHONYdirectorSale5,374 @ $46.45$250K−11.2% of holding−9.7%−36.2%42,659Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-03WANG YUFAN STEPHANIEofficerSale1,428 @ $46.26$66K−68.1% of holding−9.7%−36.2%668Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-03FOLGER ANTHONYdirectorSale100 @ $47.32$5K−0.2% of holding−9.7%−36.2%42,559Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-12Gawlick RainerdirectorPurchase1,710 @ $43.48$74K+3.2% of holding−5.3%−15.9%55,544Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-23KRALL DAVIDdirectorPurchase5,125 @ $48.90$251K+5.4% of holding−9.8%−22.8%100,090Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-23Gupta Yogesh KdirectorPurchase2,100 @ $49.14$103K+0.9% of holding−9.8%−22.8%232,396Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-08FOLGER ANTHONYdirectorSale3,718 @ $52.78$196K−7.6% of holding−17.8%−33.4%45,370Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-08FOLGER ANTHONYdirectorSale1,811 @ $53.36$97K−4.0% of holding−17.8%−33.4%43,559Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-01Subramanian SundarofficerSale501 @ $60.30$30K−1.7% of holding−15.7%−33.6%28,169Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-30Pitt IanofficerSale2,186 @ $65.21$143K−25.1% of holding−25.7%−43.7%6,513Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-09Jarrett LorenofficerSale19,231 @ $61.10$1.2M−58.9% of holding−0.7%−50.1%13,413Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-09Jarrett LorenofficerSale13,196 @ $61.10$806K−49.6% of holding−0.7%−50.1%13,413Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-09Jarrett LorenofficerSale1,666 @ $61.10$102K−12.4% of holding−0.7%−50.1%11,747Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-24WANG YUFAN STEPHANIEofficerSale1,428 @ $58.27$83K−100.0% of holding−2.5%−47.3%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-04Pitt IanofficerSale703 @ $56.29$40K−7.8% of holding−2.5%−50.6%8,317Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-01LoCoco DomenicofficerSale7,185 @ $57.12$410K−55.5% of holding+4.5%−41.6%5,762Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

269 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-02VITALE VIVIAN MdirectorAward / grant5,85736,224Form 4
2026-07-02DACIER PAUL TdirectorAward / grant5,85758,691Form 4
2026-07-02Tucci AngeladirectorAward / grant5,85751,116Form 4
2026-07-02EGAN JOHN RdirectorAward / grant5,85757,174Form 4
2026-07-02Kane Charles FrancisdirectorAward / grant5,85776,291Form 4
2026-07-02King SamskritidirectorAward / grant5,85751,116Form 4
2026-07-02KRALL DAVIDdirectorAward / grant5,857105,947Form 4
2026-07-02Gawlick RainerdirectorAward / grant5,85761,401Form 4
2026-07-01Subramanian SundarofficerOption exercise10,59728,967Form 4
2026-07-01Subramanian SundarofficerOption exercise10,5970Form 4
2026-04-01Gupta Yogesh KdirectorWithheld for tax4,021286,198Form 4
2026-04-01Gupta Yogesh KdirectorWithheld for tax3,554281,904Form 4
2026-04-01Gupta Yogesh KdirectorWithheld for tax3,293278,109Form 4
2026-04-01FOLGER ANTHONYdirectorWithheld for tax1,35353,276Form 4
2026-04-01FOLGER ANTHONYdirectorWithheld for tax1,12250,209Form 4
2026-04-01FOLGER ANTHONYdirectorWithheld for tax1,09351,580Form 4
2026-04-01Subramanian SundarofficerWithheld for tax75817,791Form 4
2026-04-01Ainsworth JohnofficerWithheld for tax75858,124Form 4
2026-04-01Jarrett LorenofficerWithheld for tax72422,016Form 4
2026-04-01WANG YUFAN STEPHANIEofficerWithheld for tax5457,563Form 4
2026-04-01Subramanian SundarofficerWithheld for tax51916,191Form 4
2026-04-01Ainsworth JohnofficerWithheld for tax51956,524Form 4
2026-04-01Ainsworth JohnofficerWithheld for tax51857,173Form 4
2026-04-01Subramanian SundarofficerWithheld for tax51816,840Form 4
2026-04-01Jarrett LorenofficerWithheld for tax49521,031Form 4
2026-04-01Jarrett LorenofficerWithheld for tax49520,359Form 4
2026-04-01WANG YUFAN STEPHANIEofficerWithheld for tax4866,340Form 4
2026-04-01WANG YUFAN STEPHANIEofficerWithheld for tax4716,907Form 4
2026-04-01LoCoco DomenicofficerWithheld for tax2729,857Form 4
2026-04-01LoCoco DomenicofficerWithheld for tax2618,635Form 4
2026-04-01LoCoco DomenicofficerWithheld for tax2379,205Form 4
2026-04-01Gupta Yogesh KdirectorOption exercise8,31533,260Form 4
2026-04-01Ainsworth JohnofficerOption exercise1,16857,043Form 4
2026-04-01Ainsworth JohnofficerOption exercise1,70958,882Form 4
2026-04-01LoCoco DomenicofficerOption exercise8868,896Form 4
2026-04-01LoCoco DomenicofficerOption exercise8079,442Form 4
2026-04-01LoCoco DomenicofficerOption exercise92410,129Form 4
2026-04-01LoCoco DomenicofficerOption exercise8860Form 4
2026-04-01LoCoco DomenicofficerOption exercise8071,614Form 4
2026-04-01LoCoco DomenicofficerOption exercise9243,696Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.