PRG · TickerCove

PRGPROG Holdings, Inc.Financial Services · Financial - Credit Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $35.70 · now $35.70 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PRG has typically landed between $29.57 and $43.77 — a range of −17.2% to +22.6% from the issuance price $35.70.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,875 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($35.70) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$35.7 · 45% of range

$25.95 low$47.53 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.6%

typical move · IQR 16.9%

−17.2%worst (p90)+22.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PRG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $35.7 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $35.7 (+0.0%)
typical $35.9 (+0.6%)
middle 50% $32.88–$38.92
90% range $29.57–$43.77

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,875 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−68.1%	−68.1%	+0.0%
2020-02-19	−67.5%	−67.5%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−66.9%	−66.9%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-23	+143.3%	+0.0%	+143.3%
2008-07-03	+122.6%	+0.0%	+122.6%
2008-07-02	+113.9%	+0.0%	+119.7%

4,875 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

−1.3%

n=20

Feb

60%

+1.0%

n=20

Mar

40%

−1.3%

n=20

Apr

70%

+9.0%

n=20

May

55%

+4.7%

n=20

Jun

55%

−0.6%

n=20

Jul

65%

+6.0%

n=20

Aug

65%

+0.7%

n=20

Sep

40%

+2.0%

n=20

Oct

40%

−3.1%

n=20

Nov

55%

+1.9%

n=20

Dec

65%

+8.4%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-05	Sewell George M	officer	Sale	2,000 @ $45.53	$91K	−6.6% of holding	−16.5%	not yet — horizon still open	28,385	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05	King Michael Todd	officer	Sale	1,070 @ $46.00	$49K	−1.7% of holding	−16.5%	not yet — horizon still open	60,825	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04	King Michael Todd	officer	Sale	930 @ $46.00	$43K	−1.5% of holding	−14.7%	not yet — horizon still open	61,895	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-13	Garner Brian	officer	Purchase	3,500 @ $28.93	$101K	+2.7% of holding	+1.6%	−18.4%	132,597	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12	Michaels Steven A	director	Purchase	14,000 @ $29.03	$406K	+2.6% of holding	+0.5%	−21.7%	559,641	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12	Michaels Steven A	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $29.03	$29K	+11.1% of holding	+0.5%	−21.7%	10,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-26	Sheu Caroline Sio-Chin	director	Purchase	1,650 @ $28.01	$46K	+9.9% of holding	+3.8%	+20.1%	18,291	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-21	CURLING DOUGLAS C	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $29.88	$299K	+27.8% of holding	−0.6%	+11.4%	45,913	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

61 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-06	ROBINSON RAY M	director	Award / grant	4,953	52,850	Form 4
2026-05-06	DAY CYNTHIA N	director	Award / grant	4,953	49,625	Form 4
2026-05-06	CURLING DOUGLAS C	director	Award / grant	4,953	57,183	Form 4
2026-05-06	JULIAN ROBERT K.	director	Award / grant	4,953	13,682	Form 4
2026-05-06	Mielke Daniela	director	Award / grant	4,953	13,682	Form 4
2026-05-06	Martinez Ramon Michael	director	Award / grant	4,953	27,537	Form 4
2026-05-06	Smith James P.	director	Award / grant	4,953	27,707	Form 4
2026-05-06	Sheu Caroline Sio-Chin	director	Award / grant	4,953	29,187	Form 4
2026-05-06	Michaels Steven A	director	Award / grant	137,590	772,878	Form 4
2026-03-06	Michaels Steven A	director	Withheld for tax	41,759	635,288	Form 4
2026-03-06	Garner Brian	officer	Withheld for tax	13,418	143,828	Form 4
2026-03-06	King Michael Todd	officer	Withheld for tax	5,067	62,825	Form 4
2026-03-06	Sewell George M	officer	Withheld for tax	965	30,385	Form 4
2026-03-06	Doman Curtis Linn	director	Withheld for tax	491	27,621	Form 4
2026-03-02	Michaels Steven A	director	Withheld for tax	21,545	677,047	Form 4
2026-03-02	Garner Brian	officer	Withheld for tax	5,983	157,246	Form 4
2026-03-02	King Michael Todd	officer	Withheld for tax	2,663	67,892	Form 4
2026-03-02	Sewell George M	officer	Withheld for tax	752	31,350	Form 4
2026-02-27	Michaels Steven A	director	Withheld for tax	24,826	698,592	Form 4
2026-02-27	Garner Brian	officer	Withheld for tax	7,609	163,229	Form 4
2026-02-27	Doman Curtis Linn	director	Withheld for tax	3,449	28,112	Form 4
2026-02-27	King Michael Todd	officer	Withheld for tax	2,775	70,555	Form 4
2026-02-27	Sewell George M	officer	Withheld for tax	1,074	32,102	Form 4
2026-02-24	Michaels Steven A	director	Award / grant	87,111	712,103	Form 4
2026-02-24	Michaels Steven A	director	Withheld for tax	30,481	723,418	Form 4
2026-02-24	Michaels Steven A	director	Option exercise	41,796	753,899	Form 4
2026-02-24	Garner Brian	officer	Award / grant	21,706	170,838	Form 4
2026-02-24	King Michael Todd	officer	Award / grant	9,655	73,330	Form 4
2026-02-24	Sewell George M	officer	Award / grant	2,360	33,176	Form 4
2026-02-24	Garner Brian	officer	Award / grant	15,909	149,132	Form 4
2026-02-24	King Michael Todd	officer	Award / grant	7,859	63,675	Form 4
2026-02-24	Sewell George M	officer	Award / grant	12,751	30,816	Form 4
2026-02-24	Michaels Steven A	director	Award / grant	64,725	624,992	Form 4
2026-02-24	Doman Curtis Linn	director	Award / grant	4,046	31,561	Form 4
2026-02-24	Michaels Steven A	director	Option exercise	41,796	0	Form 4
2025-05-07	DAY CYNTHIA N	director	Award / grant	5,592	44,058	Form 4
2025-05-07	Martinez Ramon Michael	director	Award / grant	5,592	22,292	Form 4
2025-05-07	Sheu Caroline Sio-Chin	director	Award / grant	5,592	23,942	Form 4
2025-05-07	Mielke Daniela	director	Award / grant	5,592	8,701	Form 4
2025-05-07	CURLING DOUGLAS C	director	Award / grant	5,592	51,644	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i