Issued 2026-09-16 at $33.27 · now $33.27 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PRDO has typically landed between $29.38 and $39.23 — a range of −11.7% to +17.9% from the issuance price $33.27.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($33.27) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PRDO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $33.27 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $33.27 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $33.61 (+1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $31.66–$35.57
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $29.38–$39.23
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2011-10-24 | −60.3% | −60.3% | +0.0% |
| 2011-10-27 | −60.0% | −60.3% | +0.0% |
| 2011-10-28 | −59.8% | −59.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2013-10-04 | +110.7% | −4.0% | +122.6% |
| 2013-09-27 | +109.3% | −6.2% | +117.4% |
| 2013-09-26 | +107.0% | −10.7% | +107.0% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Jackson Gregory L. | director | Sale | 11,271 @ $31.78 | $358K | −14.8% of holding | +6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 64,949 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | GONZALES KENDA B | director | Sale | 9,308 @ $34.79 | $324K | −16.2% of holding | +4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 48,158 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Peppers Michele A | officer | Sale | 14,000 @ $34.50 | $483K | −28.1% of holding | −2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,748 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-12 | Leeman Julia A. | officer | Sale | 11,315 @ $35.51 | $402K | −34.0% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,924 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | GROSS PATRICK W | director | Sale | 3,647 @ $34.98 | $128K | −3.1% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 114,970 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-06 | Jansen Greg E. | officer | Sale | 30,158 @ $38.00 | $1.1M | −26.7% of holding | −18.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 82,970 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Sale | 11,089 @ $37.00 | $410K | −7.1% of holding | −23.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 144,602 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-25 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 4,387 @ $36.65 | $161K | −1.2% of holding | −23.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 347,981 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-24 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $36.48 | $1.5M | −10.2% of holding | −16.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 352,368 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $35.24 | $1.4M | −9.3% of holding | −7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 392,368 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Sale | 22,181 @ $35.09 | $778K | −12.5% of holding | −1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 155,691 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Sale | 11,090 @ $35.07 | $389K | −5.9% of holding | −1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 177,872 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 11,346 @ $35.00 | $397K | −2.6% of holding | −3.9% | −17.8% | 432,368 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-16 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $34.86 | $1.4M | −8.3% of holding | −3.6% | −18.4% | 443,714 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-13 | Thornton Leslie T | director | Sale | 21,129 @ $35.37 | $747K | −25.7% of holding | −7.2% | −22.7% | 61,161 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-25 | Czeszewski David C. | officer | Sale | 23,253 @ $32.81 | $763K | −25.2% of holding | +20.7% | −9.9% | 68,875 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Czeszewski David C. | officer | Sale | 12,972 @ $32.80 | $425K | −15.8% of holding | +20.7% | −9.9% | 68,875 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $29.42 | $1.2M | −9.0% of holding | +8.3% | +2.9% | 404,047 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-16 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $29.40 | $1.2M | −8.3% of holding | +4.9% | −1.3% | 444,047 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $29.23 | $1.2M | −7.6% of holding | +7.4% | +0.8% | 484,047 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-17 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $35.17 | $1.4M | −7.1% of holding | −1.9% | −2.2% | 524,047 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-16 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $34.57 | $1.4M | −6.6% of holding | −1.2% | −2.3% | 564,047 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $34.78 | $1.4M | −6.2% of holding | −0.6% | −0.6% | 604,047 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | Baskel Elise | officer | Sale | 21,212 @ $35.00 | $742K | −22.7% of holding | −2.1% | −1.8% | 72,142 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Jackson Gregory L. | director | Sale | 4,568 @ $32.50 | $148K | −7.0% of holding | +10.5% | −4.2% | 60,962 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-25 | Jackson Gregory L. | director | Sale | 16,561 @ $33.51 | $555K | −21.4% of holding | +5.8% | −6.6% | 60,962 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Jansen Greg E. | officer | Sale | 30,234 @ $33.00 | $998K | −23.9% of holding | +4.4% | −8.6% | 96,279 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Sale | 46,845 @ $30.70 | $1.4M | −22.9% of holding | +6.4% | −6.1% | 157,632 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Sale | 6,236 @ $30.70 | $191K | −3.8% of holding | +6.4% | −6.1% | 157,632 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Czeszewski David C. | officer | Sale | 15,306 @ $31.66 | $485K | −14.2% of holding | −13.0% | −23.3% | 92,783 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Czeszewski David C. | officer | Sale | 14,932 @ $31.67 | $473K | −13.9% of holding | −13.0% | −23.3% | 92,783 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Czeszewski David C. | officer | Sale | 654 @ $31.55 | $21K | −0.7% of holding | −13.0% | −23.3% | 92,129 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Kline John Robert | officer | Sale | 71,254 @ $31.75 | $2.3M | −48.4% of holding | −11.5% | −24.2% | 75,868 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | HANSEN WILLIAM DEAN | director | Sale | 5,994 @ $31.56 | $189K | −11.9% of holding | −13.2% | −26.3% | 44,171 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | Leeman Julia A. | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $32.07 | $160K | −14.4% of holding | −4.9% | −30.4% | 29,677 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | Araamudhu Sunitha | officer | Sale | 14,296 @ $30.69 | $439K | −29.1% of holding | −1.4% | −20.9% | 34,891 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Peppers Michele A | officer | Sale | 4,038 @ $32.00 | $129K | −8.1% of holding | +0.8% | −18.0% | 45,876 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | Thornton Leslie T | director | Sale | 20,865 @ $30.76 | $642K | −27.1% of holding | +2.4% | −20.4% | 56,006 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-02 | Peppers Michele A | officer | Sale | 13,091 @ $30.00 | $393K | −20.8% of holding | +4.8% | −17.1% | 49,914 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | Jansen Greg E. | officer | Sale | 21,432 @ $26.10 | $559K | −14.5% of holding | +9.5% | +10.3% | 126,513 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Sale | 23,765 @ $25.75 | $612K | −10.4% of holding | −3.2% | +23.7% | 204,477 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Sale | 11,912 @ $26.00 | $310K | −5.0% of holding | −3.2% | +23.7% | 228,242 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-28 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Sale | 62 @ $25.75 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −0.6% | +28.7% | 240,154 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-26 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Sale | 11,914 @ $25.50 | $304K | −4.7% of holding | +1.8% | +29.7% | 240,216 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-24 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Sale | 6,236 @ $25.00 | $156K | −2.4% of holding | +5.2% | +26.1% | 252,130 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-20 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 38,984 @ $24.66 | $961K | −5.7% of holding | +7.9% | +25.6% | 644,047 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-19 | Baskel Elise | officer | Sale | 17,818 @ $24.16 | $430K | −16.0% of holding | +8.8% | +27.1% | 93,354 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-07 | Kline John Robert | officer | Sale | 12,000 @ $25.56 | $307K | −8.4% of holding | +8.5% | +8.5% | 130,405 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | Kline John Robert | officer | Sale | 12,148 @ $25.79 | $313K | −8.5% of holding | +8.5% | +10.3% | 130,405 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | NELSON TODD S | director | Sale | 12,472 @ $26.29 | $328K | −2.0% of holding | +7.9% | +10.2% | 615,697 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
201 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Jackson Gregory L. | director | Option exercise | 11,271 | 76,220 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Jackson Gregory L. | director | Option exercise | 11,271 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | GONZALES KENDA B | director | Option exercise | 9,308 | 57,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | GONZALES KENDA B | director | Option exercise | 9,308 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Thornton Leslie T | director | Award / grant | 3,987 | 65,148 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Wheat Alan Dupree | director | Award / grant | 3,987 | 42,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Skandera Hanna | director | Award / grant | 3,987 | 10,271 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | HANSEN WILLIAM DEAN | director | Award / grant | 3,987 | 48,158 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | GROSS PATRICK W | director | Award / grant | 3,987 | 118,957 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | GONZALES KENDA B | director | Award / grant | 3,987 | 48,158 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | CHOOKASZIAN DENNIS | director | Award / grant | 3,987 | 142,570 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Jackson Gregory L. | director | Award / grant | 3,987 | 64,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | GROSS PATRICK W | director | Option exercise | 21,129 | 118,617 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | GROSS PATRICK W | director | Option exercise | 21,129 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | NELSON TODD S | director | Withheld for tax | 61,893 | 410,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Withheld for tax | 24,088 | 161,672 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Baskel Elise | officer | Withheld for tax | 14,876 | 66,452 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Jansen Greg E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,246 | 96,214 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Kline John Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,230 | 72,603 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | NELSON TODD S | director | Withheld for tax | 10,333 | 492,028 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Czeszewski David C. | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,994 | 65,889 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | NELSON TODD S | director | Withheld for tax | 7,687 | 484,341 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | NELSON TODD S | director | Withheld for tax | 7,073 | 477,268 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | NELSON TODD S | director | Withheld for tax | 4,801 | 472,467 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Araamudhu Sunitha | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,701 | 42,921 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Peppers Michele A | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,195 | 45,020 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Leeman Julia A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,334 | 29,407 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,288 | 192,848 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,932 | 189,916 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,429 | 187,487 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Baskel Elise | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,221 | 85,565 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Jansen Greg E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,060 | 113,179 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Kline John Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,037 | 89,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Baskel Elise | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,822 | 83,743 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Ghia Ashish R | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,727 | 185,760 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Jansen Greg E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,598 | 111,581 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Kline John Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,574 | 87,879 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Baskel Elise | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,459 | 82,284 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Jansen Greg E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,275 | 110,306 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Kline John Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,251 | 86,628 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.