PPGPPG Industries, Inc.Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $104.98 · now $104.98 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PPG has typically landed between $93.96 and $117.32 — a range of −10.5% to +11.8% from the issuance price $104.98.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($104.98) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PPG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $104.98 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$93.96worst · -10.5%$117.32best · +11.8%
  • now $104.98 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $104.47 (-0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $99.82–$109.11
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $93.96–$117.32
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−39.0%−39.0%+0.0%
2020-02-18−38.6%−38.6%+0.5%
2020-02-19−35.7%−38.7%+0.3%
3 best
2009-03-05+56.4%+0.0%+56.4%
2009-03-06+50.5%+0.0%+51.4%
2009-03-09+45.1%+0.0%+51.0%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$25.9B
market cap
$7.01
EPS (TTM)
16.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-28
next earnings
Revenue$15.9B
'20'25
Net income$1.6B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.2B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr9.9%
'20'25
ROE · by yr-44.5%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr-2.10
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 16 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $104.98$99.99$172.29
  • DCF (intrinsic)$141.99
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 23.9× · n=16$167.31
  • Analyst target · range $119.00–$138.00$130.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$104.98

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−1.2%
n=18
Feb
63%
−0.3%
n=19
Mar
53%
+1.2%
n=19
Apr
63%
+3.4%
n=19
May
53%
+0.2%
n=19
Jun
58%
+0.6%
n=19
Jul
58%
+1.9%
n=19
Aug
53%
−0.1%
n=19
Sep
42%
−1.7%
n=19
Oct
61%
+2.5%
n=18
Nov
89%
+4.4%
n=18
Dec
44%
+0.7%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$130$932026-09-11: 2 insider purchases, $1K — Hefel Juliane M. …2026-06-12: 2 insider purchases, $1K — Hefel Juliane M. …2026-02-20: 1 insider sale, $448K — Foulkes Anne M.2026-02-13: 3 insider sales, $10.2M — Morales Vincent J …2026-02-04: 2 insider sales, $3.7M — Morales Vincent J …2026-01-29: 1 insider sale, $260K — Hagerty Chancey E.2026-01-15: 1 insider sale, $572K — Morales Vincent J2026-01: 2 open-market sales, $832K2026-02: 6 open-market sales, $14.4M2026-06: 2 open-market purchases, $1K2026-09: 2 open-market purchases, $1K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Hefel Juliane M. — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Hefel Juliane M. — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Hefel Juliane M. — Purchase on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hefel Juliane M. — Purchase on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Foulkes Anne M. — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Morales Vincent J — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Morales Vincent J — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Morales Vincent J — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Morales Vincent J — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Morales Vincent J — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hagerty Chancey E. — Sale on 2026-01-29, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Morales Vincent J — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Hefel Juliane M.officerPurchase10 @ $104.78$1K+0.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,915Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-09-11Hefel Juliane M.officerPurchase3 @ $106.89$358+0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,905Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-12Hefel Juliane M.officerPurchase9 @ $114.84$1K+0.5% of holding−5.4%not yet — horizon still open1,902Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-12Hefel Juliane M.officerPurchase3 @ $121.45$342+0.1% of holding−5.4%not yet — horizon still open1,893Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20Foulkes Anne M.officerSale3,594 @ $124.61$448K−18.7% of holding−14.6%−21.3%15,641Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13Morales Vincent JdirectorSale30,397 @ $131.00$4.0M−100.0% of holding−18.8%−26.5%0Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-13Morales Vincent JdirectorSale28,439 @ $130.92$3.7M−36.4% of holding−18.8%−26.5%49,656Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-13Morales Vincent JdirectorSale19,259 @ $131.10$2.5M−38.8% of holding−18.8%−26.5%30,397Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-04Morales Vincent JdirectorSale17,072 @ $125.00$2.1M−37.5% of holding−12.8%−19.0%28,439Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04Morales Vincent JdirectorSale12,600 @ $125.00$1.6M−30.7% of holding−12.8%−19.0%28,439Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-29Hagerty Chancey E.officerSale2,250 @ $115.59$260K−21.0% of holding+4.0%−12.2%8,477Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-15Morales Vincent JdirectorSale5,200 @ $110.00$572K−15.5% of holding+18.7%−1.4%28,439Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

288 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15KNAVISH TIMOTHY MdirectorAward / grant3612,873Form 4
2026-09-15Braun Kevin D.officerAward / grant19952Form 4
2026-09-15Hagerty Chancey E.officerAward / grant17271Form 4
2026-09-15Massy Robert L.officerAward / grant16191Form 4
2026-09-15Hefel Juliane M.officerAward / grant21,428Form 4
2026-09-15Bellezza AlishaofficerAward / grant1169Form 4
2026-09-11LAMACH MICHAEL WdirectorAward / grant14616,173Form 4
2026-09-11NOVO GUILLERMOdirectorAward / grant12713,631Form 4
2026-09-11Heminger Gary R.directorAward / grant11912,936Form 4
2026-09-11KNAVISH TIMOTHY MdirectorAward / grant10012,837Form 4
2026-09-11Nally MichaeldirectorAward / grant9810,437Form 4
2026-09-11LIGOCKI KATHLEENdirectorAward / grant868,938Form 4
2026-09-11Healey MelaniedirectorAward / grant626,052Form 4
2026-09-11Fortmann Kathy LynndirectorAward / grant605,749Form 4
2026-09-11Roberts III ChrisdirectorAward / grant454,074Form 4
2026-09-11Topalian Leon JdirectorAward / grant221,273Form 4
2026-09-11Hefel Juliane M.officerAward / grant111,426Form 4
2026-09-11Braun Kevin D.officerAward / grant7934Form 4
2026-09-11Ericson Amy R.officerAward / grant2232Form 4
2026-09-11Hagerty Chancey E.officerAward / grant2254Form 4
2026-09-11Massy Robert L.officerAward / grant1175Form 4
2026-09-11Bellezza AlishaofficerAward / grant1168Form 4
2026-08-31KNAVISH TIMOTHY MdirectorAward / grant3512,737Form 4
2026-08-31Braun Kevin D.officerAward / grant23927Form 4
2026-08-31Foulkes Anne M.officerAward / grant17870Form 4
2026-08-31Hagerty Chancey E.officerAward / grant16252Form 4
2026-08-31Hefel Juliane M.officerAward / grant21,415Form 4
2026-08-31Bellezza AlishaofficerAward / grant1167Form 4
2026-08-31Massy Robert L.officerAward / grant0174Form 4
2026-08-14KNAVISH TIMOTHY MdirectorAward / grant2312,702Form 4
2026-08-14Foulkes Anne M.officerAward / grant16853Form 4
2026-08-14Hagerty Chancey E.officerAward / grant15237Form 4
2026-08-14Hefel Juliane M.officerAward / grant11,413Form 4
2026-08-14Braun Kevin D.officerAward / grant1903Form 4
2026-08-14Bellezza AlishaofficerAward / grant0166Form 4
2026-08-14Massy Robert L.officerAward / grant0173Form 4
2026-08-14Beggs Jamie A.directorAward / grant28,04428,044Form 4
2026-07-31KNAVISH TIMOTHY MdirectorAward / grant3512,679Form 4
2026-07-31Foulkes Anne M.officerAward / grant18837Form 4
2026-07-31Hagerty Chancey E.officerAward / grant16222Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Lloyd DoggettHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K
Lloyd DoggettHousepurchase2026-04-062026-03-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-06$1–15K
Lloyd DoggettHousepurchase2026-01-022025-12-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-03$1–15K
Shelley Moore CapitoSenatesale2025-08-042025-07-30$1–15K
Shelley Moore CapitoSenatesale2025-08-042025-07-31$1–15K
Lloyd DoggettHousepurchase2025-07-072025-06-12$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousesale2025-06-092025-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-05-122025-04-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-05-122025-04-23$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.