PPCPilgrim's Pride CorporationConsumer Defensive · Packaged Foodsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $29.66 · now $29.66 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PPC has typically landed between $25.86 and $34.46 — a range of −12.8% to +16.2% from the issuance price $29.66.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,000 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($29.66) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PPC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $29.66 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$25.86worst · -12.8%$34.46best · +16.2%
  • now $29.66 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $29.71 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $27.86–$31.56
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $25.86–$34.46
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,000 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-16−92.2%−92.2%+0.0%
2008-10-14−89.8%−89.8%+0.0%
2008-10-15−89.7%−89.7%+0.9%
3 best
2008-11-14+196.0%+0.0%+360.0%
2009-02-20+158.3%−3.4%+158.3%
2008-12-08+146.9%+0.0%+187.5%

5,000 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+1.4%
n=20
Feb
60%
+3.4%
n=20
Mar
60%
+8.1%
n=20
Apr
75%
+11.1%
n=20
May
45%
−0.3%
n=20
Jun
40%
−3.6%
n=20
Jul
45%
−2.7%
n=20
Aug
65%
+5.0%
n=20
Sep
30%
−4.6%
n=20
Oct
45%
−2.7%
n=20
Nov
75%
+6.4%
n=20
Dec
70%
+0.5%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$48$272026-02-18: 1 insider sale, $303K — Galvanoni Matthew R2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $303K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Galvanoni Matthew R — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 14 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-18Galvanoni Matthew RofficerSale6,963 @ $43.52$303K−7.1% of holding−14.6%−41.2%91,397Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade
2025-06-09Sandri FabioofficerSale70,000 @ $45.83$3.2M−19.4% of holding−6.8%−27.1%290,930Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18Galvanoni Matthew RofficerSale5,483 @ $52.31$287K−10.6% of holding−0.2%−6.4%46,267Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

71 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-04-29Batista Joesley MendoncadirectorAward / grant1,9274,723Form 4
2026-04-29Tomazoni GilbertodirectorAward / grant1,9274,723Form 4
2026-04-29Aslam FarhadirectorAward / grant1,92717,149Form 4
2026-04-29Batista Wesley MendoncadirectorAward / grant1,9274,723Form 4
2026-04-29Andre Nogueira de SouzadirectorAward / grant1,9274,723Form 4
2026-04-29Celis ArquimedesdirectorAward / grant1,92717,149Form 4
2026-04-29Maestri Karoleski Joanita MariadirectorAward / grant1,92710,493Form 4
2026-04-29vasconcellos wallim cruz de jrdirectorAward / grant1,92719,935Form 4
2026-04-29Padilla RauldirectorAward / grant1,9279,758Form 4
2026-02-17Galvanoni Matthew RofficerOption exercise1,97298,360Form 4
2026-02-17Sandri FabioofficerOption exercise2,946324,057Form 4
2026-02-17Sandri FabioofficerOption exercise3,7940Form 4
2026-02-17Sandri FabioofficerOption exercise3,794327,851Form 4
2026-02-17Sandri FabioofficerOption exercise2,9460Form 4
2026-02-17Galvanoni Matthew RofficerOption exercise1,9720Form 4
2026-02-17Sandri FabioofficerOption exercise2,946324,057Form 4
2026-02-17Sandri FabioofficerOption exercise3,794327,851Form 4
2026-02-17Sandri FabioofficerOption exercise2,9460Form 4
2026-02-17Sandri FabioofficerOption exercise3,7940Form 4
2026-02-17Galvanoni Matthew RofficerOption exercise1,6370Form 4
2026-02-17Galvanoni Matthew RofficerOption exercise1,9720Form 4
2026-02-17Galvanoni Matthew RofficerOption exercise1,63796,388Form 4
2026-02-17Galvanoni Matthew RofficerOption exercise1,63796,388Form 4
2026-02-17Galvanoni Matthew RofficerOption exercise1,97298,360Form 4
2026-02-17Galvanoni Matthew RofficerOption exercise1,6370Form 4
2026-02-11Sandri FabioofficerOption exercise1,7541,754Form 4
2026-02-11Galvanoni Matthew RofficerAward / grant15,69494,751Form 4
2026-02-11Sandri FabioofficerAward / grant30,181321,111Form 4
2026-02-11Galvanoni Matthew RofficerOption exercise912912Form 4
2026-02-11Galvanoni Matthew RofficerOption exercise912912Form 4
2026-02-11Sandri FabioofficerOption exercise1,7541,754Form 4
2026-02-11Galvanoni Matthew RofficerAward / grant15,69494,751Form 4
2026-02-11Sandri FabioofficerAward / grant30,181321,111Form 4
2025-09-03Andre Nogueira de SouzadirectorOption exercise139139Form 4
2025-09-03Galvanoni Matthew RofficerOption exercise5,7885,788Form 4
2025-09-03Sandri FabioofficerOption exercise22,23622,236Form 4
2025-09-03Celis ArquimedesdirectorOption exercise784784Form 4
2025-09-03Aslam FarhadirectorOption exercise784784Form 4
2025-09-03Batista Joesley MendoncadirectorOption exercise139139Form 4
2025-09-03Batista Wesley MendoncadirectorOption exercise139139Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.