Issued 2026-09-16 at $47.65 · now $47.65 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, POWI has typically landed between $39.07 and $56.86 — a range of −18.0% to +19.3% from the issuance price $47.65.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($47.65) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where POWI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $47.65 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $47.65 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $46.94 (-1.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $43.55–$50.34
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $39.07–$56.86
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-25 | −33.2% | −33.2% | +1.6% |
| 2025-03-07 | −31.1% | −31.1% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-26 | −30.6% | −34.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-07 | +51.6% | +0.0% | +51.6% |
| 2026-03-23 | +50.8% | +0.0% | +50.8% |
| 2026-04-06 | +49.9% | +0.0% | +49.9% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
45%
+0.5%
n=20
Feb
55%
+2.5%
n=20
Mar
60%
+0.6%
n=20
Apr
50%
+2.0%
n=20
May
80%
+4.0%
n=20
Jun
45%
+1.3%
n=20
Jul
55%
+2.3%
n=20
Aug
45%
−2.4%
n=20
Sep
40%
−3.2%
n=20
Oct
65%
+2.5%
n=20
Nov
60%
+4.2%
n=20
Dec
55%
+1.1%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Lloyd Jennifer A | director | Sale | 7,050 @ $73.73 | $520K | −4.9% of holding | −26.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 136,655 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Lloyd Jennifer A | director | Sale | 5,640 @ $73.73 | $416K | −3.8% of holding | −26.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 143,705 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Sale | 6,860 @ $83.67 | $574K | −9.6% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 64,379 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 95,287 @ $86.25 | $8.2M | −23.6% of holding | −7.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 308,516 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 29,000 @ $87.05 | $2.5M | −9.4% of holding | −7.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 279,516 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | BRATHWAITE NICHOLAS | director | Sale | 1,728 @ $86.62 | $150K | −7.2% of holding | −5.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,226 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 70,710 @ $82.26 | $5.8M | −14.9% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 403,803 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 47,863 @ $80.93 | $3.9M | −9.2% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 474,513 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Sale | 15,894 @ $82.18 | $1.3M | −18.2% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,239 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | BRATHWAITE NICHOLAS | director | Sale | 6,655 @ $82.71 | $550K | −21.7% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,954 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 53,880 @ $70.71 | $3.8M | −9.4% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 522,376 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | BRATHWAITE NICHOLAS | director | Sale | 6,895 @ $72.41 | $499K | −18.4% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,609 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 105 @ $51.93 | $5K | −0.4% of holding | +29.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,556 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 91 @ $51.93 | $5K | −0.4% of holding | +29.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,778 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 64 @ $51.93 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | +29.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,714 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 53 @ $51.93 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | +29.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,661 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 3,219 @ $48.22 | $155K | −9.5% of holding | +10.0% | +2.5% | 30,769 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 262 @ $48.30 | $13K | −0.8% of holding | +10.0% | +2.5% | 33,988 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 4,995 @ $47.20 | $236K | −0.9% of holding | +5.7% | +28.6% | 576,256 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-10 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Sale | 1,272 @ $45.97 | $58K | −1.3% of holding | +5.7% | +28.6% | 96,933 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-09 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 6,368 @ $46.53 | $296K | −1.1% of holding | +5.3% | +27.5% | 581,251 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Lloyd Jennifer A | director | Sale | 3,322 @ $46.57 | $155K | −4.2% of holding | +5.3% | +27.5% | 76,307 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Sale | 1,401 @ $46.57 | $65K | −1.4% of holding | +5.3% | +27.5% | 98,205 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 6,585 @ $44.75 | $295K | −1.1% of holding | +7.4% | +25.7% | 575,331 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 3,495 @ $44.75 | $156K | −0.6% of holding | +7.4% | +25.7% | 581,916 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Sale | 1,400 @ $45.58 | $64K | −1.4% of holding | +7.4% | +25.7% | 95,766 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Sale | 768 @ $45.58 | $35K | −0.8% of holding | +7.4% | +25.7% | 97,166 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 94 @ $45.58 | $4K | −0.3% of holding | +7.4% | +25.7% | 32,654 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 63 @ $45.58 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | +7.4% | +25.7% | 32,748 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-29 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 5,581 @ $46.59 | $260K | −0.9% of holding | +8.2% | +21.5% | 585,206 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-29 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Sale | 1,698 @ $46.50 | $79K | −1.7% of holding | +8.2% | +21.5% | 97,672 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-29 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 995 @ $46.50 | $46K | −3.0% of holding | +8.2% | +21.5% | 32,549 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-24 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 1,033 @ $33.80 | $35K | −5.7% of holding | +9.0% | +151.5% | 17,212 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 111 @ $40.22 | $4K | −0.6% of holding | −6.9% | +77.4% | 18,245 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | Verity Robert Eric | officer | Sale | 110 @ $40.21 | $4K | −1.3% of holding | −6.9% | +77.4% | 8,167 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-24 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 456 @ $41.43 | $19K | −2.4% of holding | +5.5% | +25.8% | 18,356 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Bailey Doug | officer | Sale | 14,998 @ $47.38 | $711K | −29.5% of holding | −15.0% | −6.7% | 35,800 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Bailey Doug | officer | Sale | 16,989 @ $46.41 | $788K | −25.1% of holding | −5.6% | −6.9% | 50,798 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | Bailey Doug | officer | Sale | 16,989 @ $46.86 | $796K | −20.0% of holding | −7.1% | −5.3% | 67,787 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 2,036 @ $46.05 | $94K | −9.8% of holding | −3.2% | −2.7% | 18,812 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 9,544 @ $51.19 | $489K | −1.6% of holding | −0.8% | −42.7% | 590,580 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | NAYYAR SANDEEP | director | Sale | 1,929 @ $50.89 | $98K | −1.8% of holding | −0.8% | −42.7% | 107,357 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Barsan Radu | officer | Sale | 1,672 @ $50.89 | $85K | −3.7% of holding | −0.8% | −42.7% | 43,623 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | WALKER CLIFFORD | officer | Sale | 1,088 @ $50.89 | $55K | −0.8% of holding | −0.8% | −42.7% | 141,765 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Bailey Doug | officer | Sale | 1,088 @ $50.89 | $55K | −1.3% of holding | −0.8% | −42.7% | 84,776 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 104 @ $50.89 | $5K | −0.5% of holding | −0.8% | −42.7% | 20,843 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 96 @ $50.89 | $5K | −0.5% of holding | −0.8% | −42.7% | 20,947 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 89 @ $50.89 | $5K | −0.4% of holding | −0.8% | −42.7% | 20,641 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 62 @ $50.89 | $3K | −0.3% of holding | −0.8% | −42.7% | 20,730 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Jain Gagan | officer | Sale | 51 @ $50.89 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | −0.8% | −42.7% | 20,792 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | Barsan Radu | officer | Sale | 10,393 @ $66.08 | $687K | −18.7% of holding | −10.1% | −36.7% | 45,295 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Bailey Doug | officer | Sale | 11,346 @ $58.38 | $662K | −11.7% of holding | +5.4% | −23.5% | 85,864 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 5,241 @ $58.36 | $306K | −0.9% of holding | +5.4% | −23.5% | 600,124 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | NAYYAR SANDEEP | director | Sale | 3,367 @ $57.28 | $193K | −3.0% of holding | +5.4% | −23.5% | 109,286 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Barsan Radu | officer | Sale | 1,689 @ $57.28 | $97K | −2.9% of holding | +5.4% | −23.5% | 55,688 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Sale | 1,311 @ $57.28 | $75K | −1.9% of holding | +5.4% | −23.5% | 66,498 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | WALKER CLIFFORD | officer | Sale | 865 @ $57.28 | $50K | −0.6% of holding | +5.4% | −23.5% | 142,853 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Bailey Doug | officer | Sale | 698 @ $57.28 | $40K | −0.7% of holding | +5.4% | −23.5% | 97,210 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-10 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Sale | 6,012 @ $58.26 | $350K | −1.0% of holding | +5.8% | −26.4% | 605,365 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-10 | NAYYAR SANDEEP | director | Sale | 1,877 @ $58.01 | $109K | −1.6% of holding | +5.8% | −26.4% | 112,653 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
42 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Vig Ravi | director | Award / grant | 2,491 | 9,306 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Ganti Anita | director | Award / grant | 2,491 | 14,916 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Gioia Nancy Lee | director | Award / grant | 2,491 | 9,787 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | LOWE GREGG A | director | Award / grant | 2,491 | 6,692 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | IYER BALAKRISHNAN S | director | Award / grant | 2,491 | 26,672 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Arienzo Wendy | director | Award / grant | 2,491 | 19,882 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Balow Michael | officer | Award / grant | 32,768 | 32,768 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Lloyd Jennifer A | director | Award / grant | 73,038 | 149,345 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Jain Gagan | officer | Disposition | 938 | 34,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Award / grant | 12,288 | 587,619 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Award / grant | 3,840 | 99,606 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Jain Gagan | officer | Award / grant | 2,534 | 35,188 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lloyd Jennifer A | director | Award / grant | 5,885 | 79,629 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Erba Nancy | director | Award / grant | 64,487 | 64,487 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Award / grant | 32,665 | 99,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Jain Gagan | officer | Award / grant | 16,332 | 33,544 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-03 | Verity Robert Eric | officer | Award / grant | 2,402 | 8,277 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-01 | Lloyd Jennifer A | director | Award / grant | 52,487 | 52,487 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-01 | Lloyd Jennifer A | director | Award / grant | 20,995 | 73,482 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Vig Ravi | director | Award / grant | 3,473 | 6,815 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | BRATHWAITE NICHOLAS | director | Award / grant | 3,473 | 37,504 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Ganti Anita | director | Award / grant | 3,473 | 12,425 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Gioia Nancy Lee | director | Award / grant | 3,473 | 7,296 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | LOWE GREGG A | director | Award / grant | 3,473 | 4,201 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | IYER BALAKRISHNAN S | director | Award / grant | 3,473 | 24,181 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Arienzo Wendy | director | Award / grant | 3,473 | 17,391 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-18 | LOWE GREGG A | director | Award / grant | 728 | 728 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-10 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Disposition | 1,256 | 67,809 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-07 | Barsan Radu | officer | Award / grant | 3,500 | 58,799 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-07 | WALKER CLIFFORD | officer | Award / grant | 2,704 | 144,849 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-07 | Jain Gagan | officer | Award / grant | 994 | 21,463 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-07 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Award / grant | 3,420 | 69,065 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-07 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Award / grant | 11,375 | 611,377 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-07 | Bailey Doug | officer | Award / grant | 2,545 | 98,969 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-07 | NAYYAR SANDEEP | director | Award / grant | 4,136 | 114,530 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-28 | BALAKRISHNAN BALU | director | Award / grant | 60,000 | 612,326 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-28 | Barsan Radu | officer | Award / grant | 18,000 | 58,945 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-28 | NAYYAR SANDEEP | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 115,363 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-28 | Gupta Sunil | officer | Award / grant | 16,500 | 68,399 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-28 | Bailey Doug | officer | Award / grant | 12,000 | 98,375 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.