PODDInsulet Corp.Healthcare · Medical - Devicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $140.60 · now $140.60 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PODD has typically landed between $114.38 and $165.90 — a range of −18.7% to +18.0% from the issuance price $140.60.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($140.60) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PODD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $140.6 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$114.38worst · -18.7%$165.9best · +18.0%
  • now $140.6 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $138.96 (-1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $129.08–$148.83
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $114.38–$165.9
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-09−69.1%−69.1%+3.8%
2009-02-13−66.4%−70.2%+0.0%
2009-02-05−66.0%−66.0%+6.5%
3 best
2008-11-20+134.0%+0.0%+157.9%
2008-11-19+115.0%−14.2%+121.4%
2008-11-21+100.8%+0.0%+131.9%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$11.3B
market cap
$4.30
EPS (TTM)
38.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-05
next earnings
Revenue$2.7B
'20'25
Net income$247M
'20'25
Free cash flow$378M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr9.1%
'20'25
ROE · by yr16.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.69
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $140.60$-59.74$271.87
  • DCF (intrinsic)$-36.87
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$117.99
  • Analyst target · range $180.00–$249.00$213.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$140.60

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+0.3%
n=18
Feb
42%
−0.9%
n=19
Mar
63%
+0.0%
n=19
Apr
42%
+0.8%
n=19
May
42%
+1.7%
n=19
Jun
84%
+5.3%
n=19
Jul
42%
−0.9%
n=19
Aug
74%
+5.5%
n=19
Sep
47%
−0.5%
n=19
Oct
50%
−1.9%
n=18
Nov
67%
+8.2%
n=18
Dec
44%
+4.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$353$1322026-08-21: 1 insider purchase, $162K — McEvoy Ashley2026-06-03: 2 insider purchases, $898K — WEATHERMAN ELIZABETH H, STONESIFER TIMOTHY C.2026-06-03: 1 insider sale, $60K — BORIO LUCIANA2026-02-25: 1 insider purchase, $500K — MINOGUE MICHAEL R2026-02-20: 1 insider purchase, $1.0M — McEvoy Ashley2025-12-15: 1 insider sale, $543K — Frederick Wayne A.I.2025-12-05: 1 insider purchase, $300K — STONESIFER TIMOTHY C.2025-09-08: 2 insider sales, $517K — Cousin Laetitia, Singh Prem2025-08-21: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Benjamin Eric2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $1.8M2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $517K2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $300K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $543K2026-02: 2 open-market purchases, $1.5M2026-06: 2 open-market purchases, $898K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $60K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $162K↑ buys↓ salesdirector McEvoy Ashley — Purchase on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector WEATHERMAN ELIZABETH H — Purchase on 2026-06-03, filed same daydirector STONESIFER TIMOTHY C. — Purchase on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BORIO LUCIANA — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MINOGUE MICHAEL R — Purchase on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector McEvoy Ashley — Purchase on 2026-02-20, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Frederick Wayne A.I. — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STONESIFER TIMOTHY C. — Purchase on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Cousin Laetitia — Sale on 2025-09-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Singh Prem — Sale on 2025-09-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Benjamin Eric — Sale on 2025-08-21, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-21McEvoy AshleydirectorPurchase1,100 @ $147.47$162K+4.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open23,731Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-03WEATHERMAN ELIZABETH HdirectorPurchase3,450 @ $144.20$497K+50.0% of holding+11.6%not yet — horizon still open10,352Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-03STONESIFER TIMOTHY C.directorPurchase2,790 @ $143.51$400K+44.6% of holding+11.6%not yet — horizon still open9,041Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03BORIO LUCIANAdirectorSale418 @ $143.27$60K−8.8% of holding+11.6%not yet — horizon still open4,329Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-25MINOGUE MICHAEL RdirectorPurchase2,030 @ $246.23$500K+13.1% of holding−5.4%−53.3%17,483Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-20McEvoy AshleydirectorPurchase4,300 @ $239.35$1.0M+44.7% of holding−1.4%−50.4%13,916Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-15Frederick Wayne A.I.directorSale1,851 @ $293.09$543K−46.2% of holding−3.7%−60.2%2,158Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-05STONESIFER TIMOTHY C.directorPurchase962 @ $311.73$300K+26.5% of holding−2.6%−55.7%4,591Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-08Cousin LaetitiaofficerSale797 @ $348.81$278K−17.0% of holding−13.7%−36.8%3,890Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-08Singh PremofficerSale687 @ $347.49$239K−16.6% of holding−13.7%−36.8%3,456Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-21Benjamin EricofficerSale4,263 @ $332.23$1.4M−20.3% of holding−3.0%−31.9%16,736Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-07Singh PremofficerSale1,343 @ $320.00$430K−24.5% of holding+12.5%−30.2%4,143Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-13Singh PremofficerSale2,327 @ $300.05$698K−36.0% of holding−10.2%−17.8%4,143Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-13Manea DanofficerSale1,300 @ $300.05$390K−12.5% of holding−10.2%−17.8%9,090Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-09BORIO LUCIANAdirectorSale481 @ $305.73$147K−13.5% of holding−7.4%−17.8%3,087Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-14Kapples John W.officerSale5,278 @ $318.47$1.7M−18.5% of holding−6.8%−12.2%23,180Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-13Hopfield JessicadirectorSale5,235 @ $317.54$1.7M−16.3% of holding−6.3%−13.3%26,917Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-13Benjamin EricofficerSale3,001 @ $320.00$960K−12.6% of holding−6.3%−13.3%20,906Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-25Frederick Wayne A.I.directorSale1,825 @ $275.00$502K−36.1% of holding+0.1%+4.4%3,231Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Benjamin EricofficerSale12,394 @ $280.00$3.5M−52.1% of holding+3.2%−2.0%11,383Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-16Benjamin EricofficerSale4,362 @ $267.60$1.2M−18.9% of holding+5.1%+15.3%18,702Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-10Budden LaurenofficerSale915 @ $275.62$252K−13.8% of holding+0.8%+11.2%5,733Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

155 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-01Davis Lisa BlairofficerWithheld for tax2444,453Form 4
2026-07-01MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAYdirectorAward / grant1,3551,355Form 4
2026-06-30Huffines Robert LutherdirectorAward / grant1442,442Form 4
2026-05-20STONESIFER TIMOTHY C.directorAward / grant1,6606,251Form 4
2026-05-20WEATHERMAN ELIZABETH HdirectorAward / grant1,6606,902Form 4
2026-05-20BORIO LUCIANAdirectorAward / grant1,6604,747Form 4
2026-05-20MINOGUE MICHAEL RdirectorAward / grant1,6602,438Form 4
2026-05-20Frederick Wayne A.I.directorAward / grant1,6603,818Form 4
2026-05-20Huffines Robert LutherdirectorAward / grant1,6602,298Form 4
2026-05-20Hopfield JessicadirectorAward / grant1,66029,355Form 4
2026-05-20Scannell Timothy JdirectorAward / grant1,66033,024Form 4
2026-05-13McEvoy AshleydirectorWithheld for tax1,41122,551Form 4
2026-04-01Panos MichaelofficerAward / grant2,7772,782Form 4
2026-04-01Panos MichaelofficerAward / grant7,2557,255Form 4
2026-03-31Huffines Robert LutherdirectorAward / grant111638Form 4
2026-02-27Benjamin EricofficerWithheld for tax64423,868Form 4
2026-02-27Kapples John W.officerWithheld for tax41127,708Form 4
2026-02-27Benjamin EricofficerWithheld for tax26823,600Form 4
2026-02-27Singh PremofficerWithheld for tax2076,953Form 4
2026-02-27Cousin LaetitiaofficerWithheld for tax2005,727Form 4
2026-02-27Kapples John W.officerWithheld for tax19427,514Form 4
2026-02-27Budden LaurenofficerWithheld for tax1198,625Form 4
2026-02-27Budden LaurenofficerWithheld for tax998,526Form 4
2026-02-27Singh PremofficerWithheld for tax626,891Form 4
2026-02-27Cousin LaetitiaofficerWithheld for tax535,674Form 4
2026-02-25Benjamin EricofficerWithheld for tax39524,512Form 4
2026-02-25Kapples John W.officerWithheld for tax26328,119Form 4
2026-02-25Singh PremofficerWithheld for tax1387,160Form 4
2026-02-25Cousin LaetitiaofficerWithheld for tax1115,927Form 4
2026-02-25Budden LaurenofficerWithheld for tax558,744Form 4
2026-02-24Kapples John W.officerAward / grant1,88528,382Form 4
2026-02-24Kapples John W.officerAward / grant4,9074,907Form 4
2026-02-24Pease FlaviadirectorAward / grant9,9469,946Form 4
2026-02-24Davis Lisa BlairofficerAward / grant2,1404,617Form 4
2026-02-24Cousin LaetitiaofficerAward / grant1,0446,038Form 4
2026-02-24Pease FlaviadirectorAward / grant3,82219,159Form 4
2026-02-24Cousin LaetitiaofficerAward / grant2,7182,718Form 4
2026-02-24McEvoy AshleydirectorAward / grant26,14326,143Form 4
2026-02-24McEvoy AshleydirectorAward / grant10,04623,962Form 4
2026-02-24Davis Lisa BlairofficerAward / grant5,5705,570Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Tina SmithSenatesale2026-05-102026-04-29$100–250K
Tina SmithSenatesale2026-05-102026-05-07$100–250K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Markwayne MullinSenatesale2025-08-122024-01-04$1–15K
Markwayne MullinSenatepurchase2025-07-302023-01-03$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.