PNRPentair plcIndustrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $56.46 · now $56.46 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PNR has typically landed between $49.48 and $63.06 — a range of −12.4% to +11.7% from the issuance price $56.46.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($56.46) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PNR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $56.46 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$49.48worst · -12.4%$63.06best · +11.7%
  • now $56.46 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $56.32 (-0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $53.07–$59.57
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $49.48–$63.06
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−48.7%−48.7%+0.0%
2020-02-20−46.6%−46.6%+0.0%
2020-02-19−44.0%−44.0%+2.0%
3 best
2023-01-03+33.8%+0.0%+33.8%
2009-03-06+33.2%−1.9%+37.6%
2020-03-23+32.3%+0.0%+43.8%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$10.2B
market cap
$4.08
EPS (TTM)
15.4
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-28
next earnings
Revenue$4.2B
'20'25
Net income$654M
'20'25
Free cash flow$746M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr15.7%
'20'25
ROE · by yr16.9%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.42
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $56.46$50.97$130.55
  • DCF (intrinsic)$88.20
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$125.06
  • Analyst target · range $64.00–$125.00$84.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$56.46

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+1.2%
n=18
Feb
63%
+0.3%
n=19
Mar
47%
+1.3%
n=19
Apr
58%
+2.4%
n=19
May
58%
+0.2%
n=19
Jun
37%
−0.3%
n=19
Jul
63%
+3.1%
n=19
Aug
47%
−1.4%
n=19
Sep
53%
+0.3%
n=19
Oct
56%
+0.1%
n=18
Nov
78%
+3.7%
n=18
Dec
44%
−0.3%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$112$562026-02-25: 1 insider sale, $670K — Rolchigo Philip M.2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $700K — Speetzen Michael T2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $684K — GLENN T MICHAEL2025-11-14: 8 insider sales, $821K — Fishman Robert P …2025-11: 8 open-market sales, $821K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $684K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $1.4M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Rolchigo Philip M. — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Speetzen Michael T — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GLENN T MICHAEL — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Fishman Robert P — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Fishman Robert P — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Fishman Robert P — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Fishman Robert P — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Fishman Robert P — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Fishman Robert P — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Fishman Robert P — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Fishman Robert P — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-25Rolchigo Philip M.officerSale6,493 @ $103.22$670K−18.2% of holding−8.1%−48.6%29,096Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11Speetzen Michael TdirectorSale7,000 @ $99.99$700K−45.8% of holding−7.9%−46.3%8,290Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-01GLENN T MICHAELdirectorSale6,558 @ $104.33$684K−17.4% of holding−1.4%−43.1%31,192Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-14Fishman Robert PofficerSale1,937 @ $105.52$204K−3.0% of holding−1.0%−40.4%63,164Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-14Fishman Robert PofficerSale1,491 @ $105.37$157K−2.3% of holding−1.0%−40.4%63,164Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-14Fishman Robert PofficerSale1,431 @ $105.41$151K−2.2% of holding−1.0%−40.4%63,164Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-14Fishman Robert PofficerSale1,086 @ $105.37$114K−1.7% of holding−1.0%−40.4%63,164Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-14Fishman Robert PofficerSale619 @ $105.41$65K−1.0% of holding−1.0%−40.4%63,164Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-14Fishman Robert PofficerSale476 @ $105.31$50K−0.7% of holding−1.0%−40.4%63,164Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-14Fishman Robert PofficerSale425 @ $105.31$45K−0.7% of holding−1.0%−40.4%63,164Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-14Fishman Robert PofficerSale321 @ $105.52$34K−0.5% of holding−1.0%−40.4%63,164Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-28JONES DAVID A /WIdirectorSale6,558 @ $89.94$590K−20.0% of holding+3.1%−3.3%26,313Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-14Pilla Stephen JofficerSale7,200 @ $98.14$707K−32.3% of holding−1.7%+3.6%15,099Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

226 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Fishman Robert PofficerWithheld for tax1,0737,761Form 4
2026-09-02Fishman Robert PofficerWithheld for tax7475,699Form 4
2026-08-14Fishman Robert PofficerGift79,22979,229Form 4
2026-08-14Fishman Robert PofficerGift79,2294,263Form 4
2026-07-14Fishman Robert PofficerAward / grant13,21418,511Form 4
2026-05-12Hensley Jennifer MofficerWithheld for tax593,244Form 4
2026-04-30Hausmann Heather M.officerWithheld for tax741,893Form 4
2026-03-03Hausmann Heather M.officerWithheld for tax2131,752Form 4
2026-03-03Brazis Nicholas J.officerWithheld for tax159974Form 4
2026-03-03Hensley Jennifer MofficerWithheld for tax1323,073Form 4
2026-03-02Hausmann Heather M.officerAward / grant4,2854,285Form 4
2026-03-02Brazis Nicholas J.officerAward / grant3,1857,796Form 4
2026-03-02Brazis Nicholas J.officerAward / grant8,9268,926Form 4
2026-03-02Hausmann Heather M.officerAward / grant1,52911,306Form 4
2026-03-01Hensley Jennifer MofficerWithheld for tax1712,607Form 4
2026-03-01Hausmann Heather M.officerWithheld for tax1441,016Form 4
2026-03-01Brazis Nicholas J.officerWithheld for tax119697Form 4
2026-03-01Hausmann Heather M.officerWithheld for tax1141,272Form 4
2026-03-01Hensley Jennifer MofficerWithheld for tax1122,821Form 4
2026-02-25Rolchigo Philip M.officerOption exercise6,49335,589Form 4
2026-02-25Rolchigo Philip M.officerOption exercise6,4930Form 4
2026-02-23Fishman Robert PofficerWithheld for tax13,67582,623Form 4
2026-02-23Pedretti Jerome OofficerWithheld for tax9,37965,267Form 4
2026-02-23Wiggins DeMon LofficerWithheld for tax7,06826,562Form 4
2026-02-23Stauch John LdirectorWithheld for tax5,972107,588Form 4
2026-02-23Hooper Tanya LofficerWithheld for tax3,74418,474Form 4
2026-02-23Chiu Adrian CofficerWithheld for tax1,85419,442Form 4
2026-02-23Pilla Stephen JofficerWithheld for tax86216,962Form 4
2026-02-23Rolchigo Philip M.officerWithheld for tax55629,096Form 4
2026-02-23Hensley Jennifer MofficerWithheld for tax3992,309Form 4
2026-02-23Chiu Adrian CofficerAward / grant17,97034,456Form 4
2026-02-23Hensley Jennifer MofficerAward / grant9972,708Form 4
2026-02-23Hooper Tanya LofficerAward / grant11,02722,218Form 4
2026-02-23Stauch John LdirectorAward / grant101,277202,566Form 4
2026-02-23Wiggins DeMon LofficerAward / grant16,33633,949Form 4
2026-02-23Pilla Stephen JofficerAward / grant15,51931,410Form 4
2026-02-23Pedretti Jerome OofficerAward / grant22,87074,646Form 4
2026-02-23Fishman Robert PofficerAward / grant28,58696,298Form 4
2026-02-23Rolchigo Philip M.officerAward / grant8,98537,532Form 4
2026-02-13Rolchigo Philip M.officerWithheld for tax2,95925,947Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Q'25 Q'25 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Markwayne MullinSenatepurchase2025-12-052025-11-10$15–50K
Valerie HoyleHousesale2025-10-102025-09-23$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousepurchase2025-09-122024-10-29$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-05-142025-04-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2022-03-082022-02-17$1–15K
Thomas SuozziHousesale2021-09-232017-09-05$1–15K
Thomas SuozziHousepurchase2021-09-232017-08-17$1–15K
Donna ShalalaHousepurchase2020-04-272019-01-23$1–15K
Donna ShalalaHousesale2020-04-272019-06-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-02-102020-01-08$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2018-09-122018-08-28$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2018-08-102018-07-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2018-06-082018-05-08$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2018-02-112018-01-02$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.