PNFPPinnacle Financial Partners, Inc.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $96.07 · now $96.07 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PNFP has typically landed between $82.63 and $112.75 — a range of −14.0% to +17.4% from the issuance price $96.07.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($96.07) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PNFP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $96.07 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$82.63worst · -14.0%$112.75best · +17.4%
  • now $96.07 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $96.17 (+0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $89.95–$102.4
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $82.63–$112.75
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−49.0%−49.0%+0.0%
2020-02-20−46.7%−48.1%+0.0%
2020-02-18−46.6%−46.6%+2.9%
3 best
2009-03-06+59.7%−0.4%+81.6%
2009-03-05+56.5%−7.1%+69.4%
2009-03-09+52.1%+0.0%+82.4%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+0.2%
n=20
Feb
50%
+1.2%
n=20
Mar
50%
−0.3%
n=20
Apr
40%
−1.6%
n=20
May
50%
−1.7%
n=20
Jun
60%
+1.0%
n=20
Jul
65%
+3.3%
n=20
Aug
45%
−1.4%
n=20
Sep
55%
−0.2%
n=20
Oct
60%
+4.0%
n=20
Nov
55%
+4.1%
n=20
Dec
60%
+3.6%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$109$812026-09-10: 1 insider purchase, $49K — Montana Gregory G2026-09-01: 1 insider purchase, $250K — Blair Kevin S.2026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $5.9M — TURNER M TERRY2026-08-14: 1 insider sale, $7.2M — TURNER M TERRY2026-08-13: 1 insider sale, $5.8M — TURNER M TERRY2026-08-06: 1 insider sale, $296K — TURNER M TERRY2026-07-24: 1 insider purchase, $1.0M — MCCABE ROBERT A JR2026-02-12: 1 insider purchase, $95K — GREGORY ANDREW J. JR.2025-11-26: 1 insider sale, $630K — MCCABE ROBERT A JR2025-10-20: 1 insider purchase, $438K — THOMPSON G KENNEDY2025-08-15: 1 insider purchase, $60K — BURNS GREGORY L2025-08: 4 open-market purchases, $3.0M2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $438K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $630K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $95K2026-07: 1 open-market purchase, $1.0M2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $19.2M2026-09: 2 open-market purchases, $299K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Montana Gregory G — Purchase on 2026-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Blair Kevin S. — Purchase on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TURNER M TERRY — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed same daydirector TURNER M TERRY — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 3 days after the tradedirector TURNER M TERRY — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 4 days after the tradedirector TURNER M TERRY — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MCCABE ROBERT A JR — Purchase on 2026-07-24, filed same dayofficer GREGORY ANDREW J. JR. — Purchase on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MCCABE ROBERT A JR — Sale on 2025-11-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector THOMPSON G KENNEDY — Purchase on 2025-10-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURNS GREGORY L — Purchase on 2025-08-15, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Montana Gregory GdirectorPurchase500 @ $98.61$49K+11.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open4,959Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01Blair Kevin S.directorPurchase2,565 @ $97.48$250K+1.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open152,397Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17TURNER M TERRYdirectorSale54,107 @ $108.13$5.9M−17.9% of holding−8.1%not yet — horizon still open248,123Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-14TURNER M TERRYdirectorSale66,783 @ $108.01$7.2M−18.1% of holding−5.6%not yet — horizon still open302,230Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-13TURNER M TERRYdirectorSale53,601 @ $108.10$5.8M−12.7% of holding−4.4%not yet — horizon still open369,013Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-06TURNER M TERRYdirectorSale2,737 @ $108.01$296K−0.6% of holding−4.9%not yet — horizon still open422,614Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-24MCCABE ROBERT A JRdirectorPurchase10,013 @ $99.90$1.0M+3.2% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open324,233Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-12GREGORY ANDREW J. JR.officerPurchase1,000 @ $94.52$95K+2.1% of holding−10.6%+0.1%49,485Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-26MCCABE ROBERT A JRdirectorSale6,775 @ $93.00$630K−3.2% of holding+6.6%−7.2%202,505Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-20THOMPSON G KENNEDYdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $87.63$438K+17.6% of holding−0.2%+2.9%33,372Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-15BURNS GREGORY LdirectorPurchase652 @ $92.50$60K+3.1% of holding+0.1%−1.4%21,384Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-07INGRAM DAVID BdirectorPurchase22,000 @ $90.09$2.0M+52.8% of holding+9.5%+7.6%63,692Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-01THOMPSON G KENNEDYdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $85.65$857K+54.4% of holding+10.2%+1.8%28,372Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-01Farnsworth Thomas C IIIdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $84.94$85K+3.7% of holding+10.2%+1.8%28,277Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-31CARPENTER HAROLD RofficerPurchase1,000 @ $89.73$90K+1.0% of holding+8.9%−1.3%105,050Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-30BURNS GREGORY LdirectorPurchase174 @ $91.43$16Kownership Δ n/a+5.6%−3.9%174Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-07MCCABE ROBERT A JRdirectorSale50,589 @ $105.29$5.3M−19.5% of holding−3.5%−38.6%209,280Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-14Glover Glenda BaskindirectorSale3,000 @ $101.55$305K−23.2% of holding−6.4%−24.9%9,943Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-12TURNER M TERRYdirectorSale2,000 @ $100.63$201K−0.8% of holding−5.1%−21.4%254,552Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

281 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10GREGORY ANDREW J. JR.officerGift8,00040,742Form 4
2026-08-03BOXLEY ABNEY S IIIdirectorOther acquisition13,08713,473Form 4
2026-08-03BOXLEY ABNEY S IIIdirectorOther acquisition13,0870Form 4
2026-08-03BOXLEY ABNEY S IIIdirectorOther acquisition13,08713,473Form 4
2026-08-03BOXLEY ABNEY S IIIdirectorOther acquisition13,0870Form 4
2026-05-27MCCABE ROBERT A JRdirectorGift775314,220Form 4
2026-05-21Farnsworth Thomas C IIIdirectorAward / grant1,49029,767Form 4
2026-05-21BURNS GREGORY LdirectorAward / grant1,49022,874Form 4
2026-05-21WHITE TERESA LdirectorAward / grant1,49013,628Form 4
2026-05-21Bentsen Tim EdirectorAward / grant1,49023,347Form 4
2026-05-21BOXLEY ABNEY S IIIdirectorAward / grant1,49023,814Form 4
2026-05-21Irby John H.directorAward / grant1,49012,933Form 4
2026-05-21Storey Barry L.directorAward / grant1,49028,041Form 4
2026-05-21Jenkins DecostadirectorAward / grant1,4905,350Form 4
2026-05-21Cherry Pedro P.directorAward / grant1,49011,291Form 4
2026-05-21INGRAM DAVID BdirectorAward / grant1,49065,182Form 4
2026-05-21THOMPSON G KENNEDYdirectorAward / grant1,49034,862Form 4
2026-05-21Montana Gregory GdirectorAward / grant1,4904,459Form 4
2026-05-07TURNER M TERRYdirectorGift27,335425,351Form 4
2026-03-30Bishop Daniel ZacharyofficerWithheld for tax733,186Form 4
2026-03-30GREGORY ANDREW J. JR.officerWithheld for tax548,742Form 4
2026-03-30Creson ShellieofficerWithheld for tax424,036Form 4
2026-03-30Hurley Jill KofficerWithheld for tax32,662Form 4
2026-03-30Upshaw Jennifer SpinksofficerWithheld for tax312,525Form 4
2026-02-16Blair Kevin S.directorDisposition4,840149,832Form 4
2026-02-16GREGORY ANDREW J. JR.officerDisposition1,29148,747Form 4
2026-02-16KAMENSKY ALLAN EofficerDisposition80748,940Form 4
2026-02-16KAMENSKY ALLAN EofficerOption exercise80749,747Form 4
2026-02-16KAMENSKY ALLAN EofficerOption exercise8070Form 4
2026-02-16Blair Kevin S.directorOption exercise4,840154,672Form 4
2026-02-16GREGORY ANDREW J. JR.officerOption exercise1,29150,038Form 4
2026-02-16GREGORY ANDREW J. JR.officerOption exercise1,2910Form 4
2026-02-16Blair Kevin S.directorOption exercise4,8400Form 4
2026-02-15Blair Kevin S.directorDisposition6,276149,832Form 4
2026-02-15KAMENSKY ALLAN EofficerDisposition1,09448,940Form 4
2026-02-15KAMENSKY ALLAN EofficerOption exercise1,0941,093Form 4
2026-02-15KAMENSKY ALLAN EofficerOption exercise1,09450,034Form 4
2026-02-15Blair Kevin S.directorOption exercise6,276156,108Form 4
2026-02-15Blair Kevin S.directorOption exercise6,2766,275Form 4
2026-02-13Blair Kevin S.directorDisposition4,744149,832Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.