PLUGPlug Power Inc.Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.02 · now $2.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PLUG has typically landed between $1.32 and $2.81 — a range of −34.5% to +39.2% from the issuance price $2.02.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,000 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PLUG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.32worst · -34.5%$2.81best · +39.2%
  • now $2.02 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.92 (-5.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.57–$2.27
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.32–$2.81
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,000 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2013-01-15−78.2%−78.2%+0.0%
2013-01-25−75.9%−75.9%+0.0%
2013-01-24−74.5%−74.5%+4.3%
3 best
2013-11-12+297.7%+0.0%+297.7%
2013-11-05+274.5%−12.7%+274.5%
2013-11-11+273.7%−0.8%+288.8%

5,000 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
35%
+9.5%
n=20
Feb
50%
+0.3%
n=20
Mar
50%
+3.0%
n=20
Apr
40%
−4.6%
n=20
May
45%
+2.9%
n=20
Jun
45%
+5.1%
n=20
Jul
60%
+2.5%
n=20
Aug
35%
−2.5%
n=20
Sep
50%
+3.4%
n=20
Oct
50%
+3.5%
n=20
Nov
40%
+1.5%
n=20
Dec
20%
−1.9%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$4$12026-09-15: 1 insider sale, $39K — Haycraft Benjamin2026-09-11: 1 insider sale, $30K — Haycraft Benjamin2026-06-08: 1 insider sale, $162K — HELMER MAUREEN O2026-01-12: 1 insider sale, $87K — Haycraft Benjamin2025-12-15: 1 insider purchase, $87K — Crespo Jose Luis2025-12-10: 1 insider sale, $88K — Haycraft Benjamin2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $29K — Haycraft Benjamin2025-10-10: 1 insider sale, $38K — Haycraft Benjamin2025-09-16: 1 insider sale, $17K — Haycraft Benjamin2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $17K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $38K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $29K2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $87K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $88K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $87K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $162K2026-09: 2 open-market sales, $68K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Haycraft Benjamin — Sale on 2026-09-15, filed same dayofficer Haycraft Benjamin — Sale on 2026-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HELMER MAUREEN O — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Haycraft Benjamin — Sale on 2026-01-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Crespo Jose Luis — Purchase on 2025-12-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Haycraft Benjamin — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Haycraft Benjamin — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Haycraft Benjamin — Sale on 2025-10-10, filed 63 days after the tradeofficer Haycraft Benjamin — Sale on 2025-09-16, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15Haycraft BenjaminofficerSale18,750 @ $2.06$39K−5.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open301,249Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-11Haycraft BenjaminofficerSale13,810 @ $2.14$30K−4.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open319,999Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-08HELMER MAUREEN OdirectorSale50,000 @ $3.23$162K−13.5% of holding−27.3%not yet — horizon still open321,565Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-12Haycraft BenjaminofficerSale40,000 @ $2.17$87K−10.7% of holding−13.6%−12.2%333,809Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-15Crespo Jose LuisofficerPurchase37,300 @ $2.34$87K+13.8% of holding−0.2%+9.9%307,332Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-10Haycraft BenjaminofficerSale40,000 @ $2.20$88K−9.7% of holding−0.5%+13.6%373,809Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10Haycraft BenjaminofficerSale10,000 @ $2.92$29K−2.1% of holding−12.6%+45.1%467,583Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-10Haycraft BenjaminofficerSale10,000 @ $3.80$38K−2.1% of holding−29.5%−21.0%457,583Form 4 · filed 63 days after the trade
2025-09-16Haycraft BenjaminofficerSale10,972 @ $1.59$17K−2.2% of holding+128.1%+37.3%477,583Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11Crespo Jose LuisofficerSale37,300 @ $1.32$49K−12.1% of holding+9.6%+48.8%270,032Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-09MIDDLETON PAUL BofficerPurchase650,000 @ $1.03$672K+34.1% of holding+33.0%+62.4%2,558,064Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-16MIDDLETON PAUL BofficerPurchase350,000 @ $0.72$250K+22.5% of holding+40.6%+177.6%1,908,064Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

111 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01BONNEY MARK JdirectorAward / grant8,764271,530Form 4
2026-07-01Joggerst PatrickdirectorAward / grant7,644253,184Form 4
2026-07-01Kenausis GregorydirectorAward / grant3,980514,412Form 4
2026-07-01Angle Colin MdirectorAward / grant3,558153,102Form 4
2026-06-30Marsh AndrewdirectorAward / grant72,46972,469Form 4
2026-06-25MIDDLETON PAUL BofficerAward / grant389,1052,947,169Form 4
2026-06-25MIDDLETON PAUL BofficerAward / grant510,204510,204Form 4
2026-06-25Haycraft BenjaminofficerAward / grant362,694362,694Form 4
2026-06-25Haycraft BenjaminofficerAward / grant357,143357,143Form 4
2026-06-25Conway Gerard L JRofficerAward / grant357,143357,143Form 4
2026-06-25Conway Gerard L JRofficerAward / grant362,694362,694Form 4
2026-06-25Crespo Jose LuisofficerAward / grant765,306765,306Form 4
2026-06-25Crespo Jose LuisofficerAward / grant777,202777,202Form 4
2026-06-25Fullerton DeanofficerAward / grant408,163408,163Form 4
2026-06-25Fullerton DeanofficerAward / grant414,508414,508Form 4
2026-06-11Joggerst PatrickdirectorAward / grant39,75339,753Form 4
2026-06-11Angle Colin MdirectorAward / grant39,753149,544Form 4
2026-06-11Angle Colin MdirectorAward / grant39,75339,753Form 4
2026-06-11BONNEY MARK JdirectorAward / grant39,753262,766Form 4
2026-06-11BONNEY MARK JdirectorAward / grant39,75339,753Form 4
2026-06-11HELMER MAUREEN OdirectorAward / grant39,753361,318Form 4
2026-06-11HELMER MAUREEN OdirectorAward / grant39,75339,753Form 4
2026-06-11Joggerst PatrickdirectorAward / grant39,753245,540Form 4
2026-06-11Kenausis GregorydirectorAward / grant39,753510,432Form 4
2026-06-11Kenausis GregorydirectorAward / grant39,75339,753Form 4
2026-06-11MCNAMEE GEORGE CdirectorAward / grant39,753873,282Form 4
2026-06-11MCNAMEE GEORGE CdirectorAward / grant39,75339,753Form 4
2026-06-11WILLIS GARY KdirectorAward / grant39,753730,107Form 4
2026-06-11WILLIS GARY KdirectorAward / grant39,75339,753Form 4
2026-04-01BONNEY MARK JdirectorAward / grant10,509223,013Form 4
2026-04-01Mahtani KavitadirectorAward / grant9,956239,847Form 4
2026-04-01Joggerst PatrickdirectorAward / grant8,850205,787Form 4
2026-04-01Kenausis GregorydirectorAward / grant8,712470,679Form 4
2026-04-01Angle Colin MdirectorAward / grant3,872109,791Form 4
2026-04-01Marsh AndrewdirectorAward / grant3,688853,378Form 4
2026-03-31Marsh AndrewdirectorAward / grant87,26087,260Form 4
2026-03-02Marsh AndrewdirectorAward / grant163,638163,638Form 4
2026-01-02WILLIS GARY KdirectorAward / grant16,497690,354Form 4
2026-01-02HELMER MAUREEN OdirectorAward / grant13,959371,565Form 4
2026-01-02MCNAMEE GEORGE CdirectorAward / grant13,008833,529Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.