Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.33 · now $2.33 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PLTK has typically landed between $1.84 and $2.74 — a range of −21.2% to +17.4% from the issuance price $2.33.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,402 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-01-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.33) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PLTK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.33 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.33 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.27 (-2.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.09–$2.46
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.84–$2.74
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-08-03 | −45.8% | −45.8% | +0.0% |
| 2026-08-04 | −44.8% | −45.8% | +0.0% |
| 2021-11-01 | −44.6% | −44.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-01-26 | +38.5% | −1.5% | +38.5% |
| 2022-01-27 | +36.1% | +0.0% | +40.6% |
| 2026-04-01 | +35.8% | +0.0% | +35.8% |
1,402 overlapping windows · 2021-01-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-28 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 150,869 @ $4.77 | $720K | −0.1% of holding | −5.2% | −28.4% | 199,359,642 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-27 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 389,053 @ $4.70 | $1.8M | −0.2% of holding | −0.6% | −27.6% | 199,510,511 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 47,484 @ $4.80 | $228K | −0.0% of holding | −2.3% | −23.9% | 199,899,564 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $4.96 | $993K | −0.1% of holding | −8.8% | −28.2% | 199,947,048 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $4.97 | $993K | −0.1% of holding | −7.7% | −26.5% | 200,147,048 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $5.00 | $1.0M | −0.1% of holding | −7.5% | −27.6% | 200,347,048 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,612 @ $7.50 | $57K | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | −35.5% | 200,547,048 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,923 @ $7.54 | $573K | −0.0% of holding | −3.9% | −36.1% | 200,554,660 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 369,560 @ $7.78 | $2.9M | −0.2% of holding | −5.4% | −37.3% | 200,630,583 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-12 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 291,508 @ $8.17 | $2.4M | −0.1% of holding | −11.9% | −41.6% | 201,000,143 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 225,669 @ $8.28 | $1.9M | −0.1% of holding | −11.9% | −40.4% | 201,291,651 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 170,408 @ $8.36 | $1.4M | −0.1% of holding | −12.4% | −40.9% | 201,517,320 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 207,198 @ $8.64 | $1.8M | −0.1% of holding | −16.5% | −42.5% | 201,687,728 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-06 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 211,151 @ $8.54 | $1.8M | −0.1% of holding | −15.5% | −40.9% | 201,894,926 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 167,390 @ $8.62 | $1.4M | −0.1% of holding | −12.7% | −40.4% | 202,106,077 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-04 | Playtika Holding UK II Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $8.56 | $1.7M | −0.1% of holding | −14.8% | −41.2% | 202,273,467 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
93 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Cohen Michael Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,628 | 970,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Lee Tae | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,241 | 533,127 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Korczak Nir | officer | Award / grant | 64,154 | 926,671 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lee Tae | officer | Award / grant | 346,051 | 534,368 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lee Tae | officer | Award / grant | 692,101 | 692,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Sandler Ariel | officer | Award / grant | 60,590 | 831,319 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Sandler Ariel | officer | Award / grant | 121,180 | 310,723 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Antokol Robert | director | Award / grant | 1,122,694 | 20,620,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Korczak Nir | officer | Award / grant | 128,308 | 383,210 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cohen Michael Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 320,770 | 582,208 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cohen Michael Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 160,385 | 987,624 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Brudno Gili | officer | Award / grant | 213,847 | 318,423 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Brudno Gili | officer | Award / grant | 106,923 | 517,822 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Antokol Robert | director | Award / grant | 2,245,389 | 3,838,853 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lee Tae | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,674 | 188,317 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Cohen Michael Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,628 | 827,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lee Tae | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,240 | 192,991 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Abrahams Craig Justin | director | Withheld for tax | 26,604 | 1,328,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Cohen Michael Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,628 | 843,867 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Gross Dana Rebecca | director | Withheld for tax | 33,557 | 79,582 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Du Hong | director | Award / grant | 67,114 | 174,426 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Gross Dana Rebecca | director | Award / grant | 67,114 | 113,139 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Yuan Bing | director | Award / grant | 67,114 | 183,685 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | BEILINSON MARC A | director | Award / grant | 67,114 | 183,685 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Abrahams Craig Justin | director | Withheld for tax | 53,208 | 1,408,386 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Abrahams Craig Justin | director | Withheld for tax | 53,208 | 1,355,178 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Abrahams Craig Justin | director | Withheld for tax | 48,130 | 1,461,594 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Cohen Michael Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 33,255 | 860,495 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Cohen Michael Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 33,255 | 893,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Cohen Michael Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 25,784 | 927,005 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Rubin Uri | officer | Award / grant | 26,143 | 683,209 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sandler Ariel | officer | Award / grant | 37,188 | 675,959 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sandler Ariel | officer | Award / grant | 47,385 | 723,344 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sandler Ariel | officer | Award / grant | 47,385 | 770,729 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Abrahams Craig Justin | director | Award / grant | 94,595 | 1,300,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Abrahams Craig Justin | director | Award / grant | 104,575 | 1,405,149 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Abrahams Craig Justin | director | Award / grant | 104,575 | 1,509,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Cohen Michael Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 50,676 | 822,071 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Cohen Michael Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 65,359 | 887,430 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Cohen Michael Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 65,359 | 952,789 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.