Issued 2026-09-16 at $49.61 · now $49.61 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PLSE has typically landed between $35.13 and $80.40 — a range of −29.2% to +62.1% from the issuance price $49.61.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,576 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-05-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($49.61) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PLSE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $49.61 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $49.61 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $50.05 (+0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $42.61–$57.49
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $35.13–$80.4
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-02-01 | −62.7% | −62.7% | +0.0% |
| 2022-04-12 | −61.7% | −61.7% | +10.9% |
| 2022-02-04 | −58.8% | −58.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-03-30 | +174.6% | +0.0% | +174.6% |
| 2017-02-09 | +173.2% | +0.0% | +173.2% |
| 2023-03-29 | +156.6% | −1.2% | +171.3% |
2,576 overlapping windows · 2016-05-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Teplitsky Liane Rae | officer | Purchase | 1,001 @ $49.95 | $50K | +32.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,095 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | Teplitsky Liane Rae | officer | Purchase | 1,024 @ $48.80 | $50K | +49.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,094 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | Teplitsky Liane Rae | officer | Purchase | 1,034 @ $48.35 | $50K | +99.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,070 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-26 | Teplitsky Liane Rae | officer | Purchase | 1,036 @ $48.23 | $50K | ownership Δ n/a | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,036 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | DUGGAN ROBERT W | director | Purchase | 660,233 @ $19.69 | $13.0M | +1.4% of holding | +32.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 48,211,433 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | LAVIOLETTE PAUL A | director | Purchase | 15,000 @ $19.69 | $295K | ownership Δ n/a | +32.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-18 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $23.64 | $118K | −10.4% of holding | −8.2% | +72.0% | 43,298 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $23.63 | $473K | −31.6% of holding | −1.8% | +81.4% | 43,298 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-13 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $23.53 | $471K | −31.6% of holding | −1.4% | +89.4% | 43,298 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-12 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $23.37 | $467K | −31.6% of holding | −4.9% | +75.8% | 43,298 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $25.20 | $504K | −31.6% of holding | −10.3% | +64.9% | 43,298 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-10 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $23.52 | $470K | −31.6% of holding | −7.2% | +68.9% | 43,298 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $21.45 | $429K | −31.6% of holding | −14.8% | +71.8% | 43,298 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Sale | 4,600 @ $18.53 | $85K | −9.6% of holding | −12.8% | +21.8% | 43,298 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-19 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Sale | 400 @ $18.48 | $7K | −0.9% of holding | +2.3% | +19.5% | 43,298 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-18 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $18.49 | $370K | −31.6% of holding | −5.8% | +20.6% | 43,298 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-17 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $16.21 | $324K | −14.0% of holding | +7.5% | +37.0% | 122,872 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $16.28 | $407K | −16.9% of holding | +2.8% | +34.5% | 122,872 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $15.77 | $394K | −16.9% of holding | +9.2% | +39.7% | 122,872 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-12 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $14.32 | $358K | −16.9% of holding | +18.2% | +48.0% | 122,872 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $14.78 | $370K | −16.9% of holding | +17.0% | +41.6% | 122,872 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | DUGGAN ROBERT W | director | Purchase | 34,659 @ $14.66 | $508K | +0.1% of holding | +27.1% | +41.5% | 47,551,200 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $15.98 | $240K | −10.9% of holding | −5.2% | −24.6% | 122,872 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-12 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $16.40 | $246K | −9.8% of holding | −9.3% | −29.8% | 137,872 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | DUGGAN ROBERT W | director | Purchase | 55,256 @ $17.18 | $949K | +0.1% of holding | +1.7% | −14.2% | 42,328,717 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | Barrett Burke Thomas | other | Sale | 50,000 @ $17.42 | $871K | −44.2% of holding | +3.4% | −11.1% | 63,172 | Form 4 · filed 9 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | DUGGAN ROBERT W | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $17.42 | $871K | +0.1% of holding | +3.4% | −11.1% | 42,228,057 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | DUGGAN ROBERT W | director | Purchase | 6,054 @ $16.74 | $101K | +0.0% of holding | +3.4% | −11.1% | 42,178,057 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-09-12 | DUGGAN ROBERT W | director | Purchase | 145,140 @ $14.41 | $2.1M | +0.3% of holding | −13.7% | −17.2% | 47,709,140 | Form 4 · filed 365 days after the trade |
| 2024-09-11 | DUGGAN ROBERT W | director | Purchase | 12,800 @ $14.77 | $189K | +0.0% of holding | −13.2% | −3.5% | 47,564,000 | Form 4 · filed 366 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
71 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Teplitsky Liane Rae | officer | Award / grant | 200,000 | 200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-08 | Teplitsky Liane Rae | officer | Award / grant | 700,000 | 700,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | van den Broek Richard | director | Award / grant | 8,423 | 8,423 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Zanganeh Mahkam | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Zanganeh Mahkam | director | Award / grant | 14,504 | 14,504 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Soni Manmeet Singh | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | DUGGAN ROBERT W | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | DUGGAN ROBERT W | director | Award / grant | 12,495 | 12,495 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Sainz Maria | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Sainz Maria | director | Award / grant | 3,793 | 3,793 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | van den Broek Richard | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 48,298 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 300,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 63,298 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 305,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 63,298 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 325,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 63,298 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 345,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 63,298 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 365,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 63,298 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 385,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 63,298 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 405,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Sainz Maria | director | Award / grant | 3,104 | 3,104 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-08 | Sainz Maria | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-02 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 4,600 | 47,898 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-02 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 4,600 | 425,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-19 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 400 | 43,698 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-19 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 400 | 429,600 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-18 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 63,298 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-18 | Danahy Kevin Patrick | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 430,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-17 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Option exercise | 100,000 | 284,406 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-17 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Option exercise | 61,534 | 184,406 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-17 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Option exercise | 20,000 | 142,872 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-17 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Option exercise | 61,534 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-17 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Option exercise | 20,000 | 61,534 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-17 | UECKER DARRIN | director | Option exercise | 100,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.