PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Leisureas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $50.02 · now $50.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PLNT has typically landed between $41.82 and $58.05 — a range of −16.4% to +16.1% from the issuance price $50.02.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,773 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-08-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($50.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PLNT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $50.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$41.82worst · -16.4%$58.05best · +16.1%
  • now $50.02 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $49.94 (-0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $46.77–$53.11
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $41.82–$58.05
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,773 windows spanning 2015-08-06 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−68.7%−68.7%+0.1%
2020-02-19−62.9%−68.7%+0.2%
2020-02-20−61.5%−68.7%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+105.4%+0.0%+105.4%
2020-03-19+72.0%+0.0%+73.5%
2020-03-20+62.7%+0.0%+66.7%

2,773 overlapping windows · 2015-08-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−0.5%
n=11
Feb
45%
−2.2%
n=11
Mar
45%
−2.2%
n=11
Apr
55%
+3.3%
n=11
May
55%
−1.7%
n=11
Jun
55%
+2.6%
n=11
Jul
73%
+2.9%
n=11
Aug
55%
+1.3%
n=11
Sep
33%
−4.8%
n=12
Oct
45%
+0.7%
n=11
Nov
91%
+15.8%
n=11
Dec
55%
+2.2%
n=11

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$112$442026-09-14: 1 insider sale, $359K — Bode William2026-09-14: 1 insider purchase, $119K — Tanco Christopher2026-08-10: 1 insider purchase, $493K — Spinelli Stephen JR2026-05-12: 1 insider purchase, $248K — Keating Colleen2026-05-08: 1 insider purchase, $231K — RATHKE FRANCES G2026-05: 2 open-market purchases, $479K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $493K2026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $119K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $359K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Bode William — Sale on 2026-09-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Tanco Christopher — Purchase on 2026-09-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Spinelli Stephen JR — Purchase on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Keating Colleen — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector RATHKE FRANCES G — Purchase on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Bode WilliamofficerSale7,000 @ $51.22$359K−17.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open32,939Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-14Tanco ChristopherdirectorPurchase2,328 @ $51.23$119Kownership Δ n/anot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,328Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Spinelli Stephen JRdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $49.28$493K+28.2% of holding+3.3%not yet — horizon still open45,516Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Keating ColleendirectorPurchase5,000 @ $49.54$248K+3.7% of holding+4.1%not yet — horizon still open141,511Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-08RATHKE FRANCES GdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $46.21$231Kownership Δ n/a+11.1%not yet — horizon still open5,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-11Keating ColleendirectorSale14,932 @ $102.57$1.5M−12.4% of holding+4.8%−9.7%105,339Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11Keating ColleendirectorSale8,738 @ $102.11$892K−6.8% of holding+4.8%−9.7%120,271Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10DUNAWAY CAMBRIA WdirectorSale3,000 @ $92.11$276K−14.9% of holding+7.8%−7.3%17,152Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-05Bode WilliamofficerSale4,641 @ $100.14$465K−17.4% of holding+0.7%+1.9%22,063Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

71 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Bode WilliamofficerOption exercise9,86339,939Form 4
2026-09-14Bode WilliamofficerOption exercise9,8630Form 4
2026-07-01Spinelli Stephen JRdirectorAward / grant71135,516Form 4
2026-07-01Singh Harmit JdirectorAward / grant3322,892Form 4
2026-07-01Tanco ChristopherdirectorAward / grant43815,551Form 4
2026-07-01Anderson EnshalladirectorAward / grant45016,529Form 4
2026-07-01Beard, Stephen W.directorAward / grant3323,093Form 4
2026-07-01RATHKE FRANCES GdirectorAward / grant47429,220Form 4
2026-06-25Sudhanshu PriyadarshidirectorAward / grant92,83292,832Form 4
2026-06-10Keating ColleendirectorWithheld for tax22,494119,017Form 4
2026-05-05RATHKE FRANCES GdirectorAward / grant2,25428,746Form 4
2026-05-05Spinelli Stephen JRdirectorAward / grant3,22634,805Form 4
2026-05-05Beard, Stephen W.directorAward / grant2,2542,761Form 4
2026-05-05Singh Harmit JdirectorAward / grant2,2542,560Form 4
2026-05-05Tanco ChristopherdirectorAward / grant2,25415,113Form 4
2026-05-05DUNAWAY CAMBRIA WdirectorAward / grant2,25420,857Form 4
2026-05-05Acoca BernarddirectorAward / grant2,2549,385Form 4
2026-05-05Anderson EnshalladirectorAward / grant2,25416,079Form 4
2026-05-05BENSON CRAIG RdirectorAward / grant2,25421,563Form 4
2026-04-01RATHKE FRANCES GdirectorAward / grant34626,492Form 4
2026-04-01Beard, Stephen W.directorAward / grant139507Form 4
2026-04-01Anderson EnshalladirectorAward / grant32913,825Form 4
2026-04-01Singh Harmit JdirectorAward / grant43306Form 4
2026-04-01Spinelli Stephen JRdirectorAward / grant73631,579Form 4
2026-04-01Tanco ChristopherdirectorAward / grant32012,859Form 4
2026-03-16Singh Harmit JdirectorAward / grant263263Form 4
2026-03-15Keating ColleendirectorWithheld for tax4,219136,511Form 4
2026-03-15Bode WilliamofficerWithheld for tax1,41730,076Form 4
2026-03-15Bode WilliamofficerWithheld for tax71131,493Form 4
2026-03-15Povinelli BrianofficerWithheld for tax2208,900Form 4
2026-03-10Keating ColleendirectorAward / grant35,391140,730Form 4
2026-03-10Povinelli BrianofficerAward / grant4,9309,120Form 4
2026-03-10Bode WilliamofficerAward / grant6,56032,204Form 4
2026-02-10Povinelli BrianofficerWithheld for tax1634,190Form 4
2026-02-09Beard, Stephen W.directorAward / grant368368Form 4
2026-01-02RATHKE FRANCES GdirectorAward / grant22726,146Form 4
2026-01-02Tanco ChristopherdirectorAward / grant21012,539Form 4
2026-01-02Spinelli Stephen JRdirectorAward / grant48430,843Form 4
2026-01-02Anderson EnshalladirectorAward / grant21613,496Form 4
2025-12-04Bode WilliamofficerWithheld for tax1,13025,644Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.